Kylian Mbappé and Harry Kane anchor the tight Golden Boot market at 15.5% and 14.5% implied probability because both enter as prior winners—Mbappé with eight goals in 2022 and Kane in 2018—while posting elite club tallies this season at Real Madrid and Bayern Munich. Erling Haaland sits at 8.5% on the strength of his qualifying output and scoring volume, yet Norway’s path limits his ceiling compared with attackers from deeper tournament sides. Early group-stage braces by Folarin Balogun and scattered goals from others have already shifted minor probabilities, underscoring how the expanded 48-team format, rest schedules, and advancing depth keep the race fluid among a cluster of forwards whose teams remain in contention.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoWorld Cup: Golden Boot Winner
Kylian Mbappe 16%
Harry Kane 15%
Erling Haaland 9%
Mikel Oyarzabal 9%
$7,050,677 Wol.
$7,050,677 Wol.
Kylian Mbappe
16%
Harry Kane
15%
Erling Haaland
9%
Mikel Oyarzabal
9%
Lionel Messi
5%
Lamine Yamal
5%
Cristiano Ronaldo
4%
Julian Alvarez
4%
Vinicius Junior
4%
Michael Olise
4%
Kai Havertz
3%
Folarin Balogun
3%
Raphinha
3%
Ferran Torres
2%
Ousmane Dembele
2%
Cody Gakpo
2%
Lautaro Martinez
2%
Bruno Fernandes
2%
Deniz Undav
1%
Luis Diaz
1%
Igor Thiago
1%
Romelu Lukaku
1%
Luis Javier Suárez
1%
Viktor Gyökeres
1%
Endrick
1%
Desire Doue
1%
Depay Memphis
1%
Dani Olmo
1%
Bukayo Saka
<1%
Pedri
<1%
Florian Wirtz
<1%
Jude Bellingham
<1%
Scott McTominay
<1%
Mohamed Salah
<1%
Sadio Mane
<1%
Noah Okafor
<1%
Rafael Leao
<1%
Heung-Min Son
<1%
Marcus Thuram
<1%
Federico Valverde
<1%
Memphis Depay
<1%
Rodrygo
<1%
Amad Diallo
<1%
Edin Džeko
<1%
Ivan Perišić
<1%
Andrej Kramarić
<1%
Bradley Barcola
<1%
Antoine Semenyo
<1%
Serge Gnabry
<1%
Tim Payne
<1%
Donyell Malen
<1%
Dion Beljo
<1%
Kylian Mbappe 16%
Harry Kane 15%
Erling Haaland 9%
Mikel Oyarzabal 9%
$7,050,677 Wol.
$7,050,677 Wol.
Kylian Mbappe
16%
Harry Kane
15%
Erling Haaland
9%
Mikel Oyarzabal
9%
Lionel Messi
5%
Lamine Yamal
5%
Cristiano Ronaldo
4%
Julian Alvarez
4%
Vinicius Junior
4%
Michael Olise
4%
Kai Havertz
3%
Folarin Balogun
3%
Raphinha
3%
Ferran Torres
2%
Ousmane Dembele
2%
Cody Gakpo
2%
Lautaro Martinez
2%
Bruno Fernandes
2%
Deniz Undav
1%
Luis Diaz
1%
Igor Thiago
1%
Romelu Lukaku
1%
Luis Javier Suárez
1%
Viktor Gyökeres
1%
Endrick
1%
Desire Doue
1%
Depay Memphis
1%
Dani Olmo
1%
Bukayo Saka
<1%
Pedri
<1%
Florian Wirtz
<1%
Jude Bellingham
<1%
Scott McTominay
<1%
Mohamed Salah
<1%
Sadio Mane
<1%
Noah Okafor
<1%
Rafael Leao
<1%
Heung-Min Son
<1%
Marcus Thuram
<1%
Federico Valverde
<1%
Memphis Depay
<1%
Rodrygo
<1%
Amad Diallo
<1%
Edin Džeko
<1%
Ivan Perišić
<1%
Andrej Kramarić
<1%
Bradley Barcola
<1%
Antoine Semenyo
<1%
Serge Gnabry
<1%
Tim Payne
<1%
Donyell Malen
<1%
Dion Beljo
<1%
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by FIFA rules. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player who scored fewer goals from penalty kicks. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no leader declared within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rynek otwarty: Apr 24, 2026, 1:07 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by FIFA rules. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player who scored fewer goals from penalty kicks. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no leader declared within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Kylian Mbappé and Harry Kane anchor the tight Golden Boot market at 15.5% and 14.5% implied probability because both enter as prior winners—Mbappé with eight goals in 2022 and Kane in 2018—while posting elite club tallies this season at Real Madrid and Bayern Munich. Erling Haaland sits at 8.5% on the strength of his qualifying output and scoring volume, yet Norway’s path limits his ceiling compared with attackers from deeper tournament sides. Early group-stage braces by Folarin Balogun and scattered goals from others have already shifted minor probabilities, underscoring how the expanded 48-team format, rest schedules, and advancing depth keep the race fluid among a cluster of forwards whose teams remain in contention.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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