Spain edges France as the narrowest favorite in the 2026 World Cup market thanks to Euro 2024 success, a balanced squad blending experience with emerging talents like Lamine Yamal and Pedri, and consistent results in recent internationals. France sits close behind with unmatched attacking depth around Kylian Mbappé and strong tournament pedigree in multiple recent finals. England follows as a competitive third option under Thomas Tuchel, backed by squad quality and recent European Championship runs. Argentina, Portugal, and Brazil remain tightly grouped on the strength of defending-champion pedigree, star power, and South American qualifying form, while Germany and the Netherlands add further depth to a crowded European contingent. The bunched probabilities reflect how similar squad strengths, recent major-tournament experience, and the expanded 48-team format keep outcomes highly contested heading into group stage openers.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoWorld Cup Winner
World Cup Winner
Hiszpania 17.0%
Francja 16.1%
Anglia 10.8%
Portugalia 10.8%
$1,948,654,685 Wol.
$1,948,654,685 Wol.
Hiszpania
17%
Francja
16%
Anglia
11%
Portugalia
11%
Argentyna
9%
Brazylia
8%
Niemcy
5%
Holandia
4%
Norwegia
2%
Belgia
2%
Kolumbia
2%
Japonia
2%
Maroko
2%
Meksyk
1%
Szwajcaria
1%
Turcja
1%
USA
1%
Urugwaj
1%
Croatia
1%
Ekwador
1%
Senegal
1%
Wybrzeże Kości Słoniowej
<1%
Austria
<1%
Kanada
<1%
Sweden
<1%
Korea Południowa
<1%
Szkocja
<1%
Egypt
<1%
Iran
<1%
Ghana
<1%
Algieria
<1%
Bośnia i Hercegowina
<1%
Paragwaj
<1%
Demokratyczna Republika Konga
<1%
Czechia
<1%
Australia
<1%
Nowa Zelandia
<1%
Haiti
<1%
Jordania
<1%
Curaçao
<1%
Tunezja
<1%
Uzbekistan
<1%
Panama
<1%
Irak
<1%
Republika Południowej Afryki
<1%
Republika Zielonego Przylądka
<1%
Katar
<1%
Saudi Arabia
<1%
Hiszpania 17.0%
Francja 16.1%
Anglia 10.8%
Portugalia 10.8%
$1,948,654,685 Wol.
$1,948,654,685 Wol.
Hiszpania
17%
Francja
16%
Anglia
11%
Portugalia
11%
Argentyna
9%
Brazylia
8%
Niemcy
5%
Holandia
4%
Norwegia
2%
Belgia
2%
Kolumbia
2%
Japonia
2%
Maroko
2%
Meksyk
1%
Szwajcaria
1%
Turcja
1%
USA
1%
Urugwaj
1%
Croatia
1%
Ekwador
1%
Senegal
1%
Wybrzeże Kości Słoniowej
<1%
Austria
<1%
Kanada
<1%
Sweden
<1%
Korea Południowa
<1%
Szkocja
<1%
Egypt
<1%
Iran
<1%
Ghana
<1%
Algieria
<1%
Bośnia i Hercegowina
<1%
Paragwaj
<1%
Demokratyczna Republika Konga
<1%
Czechia
<1%
Australia
<1%
Nowa Zelandia
<1%
Haiti
<1%
Jordania
<1%
Curaçao
<1%
Tunezja
<1%
Uzbekistan
<1%
Panama
<1%
Irak
<1%
Republika Południowej Afryki
<1%
Republika Zielonego Przylądka
<1%
Katar
<1%
Saudi Arabia
<1%
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rynek otwarty: Jul 2, 2025, 6:06 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Spain edges France as the narrowest favorite in the 2026 World Cup market thanks to Euro 2024 success, a balanced squad blending experience with emerging talents like Lamine Yamal and Pedri, and consistent results in recent internationals. France sits close behind with unmatched attacking depth around Kylian Mbappé and strong tournament pedigree in multiple recent finals. England follows as a competitive third option under Thomas Tuchel, backed by squad quality and recent European Championship runs. Argentina, Portugal, and Brazil remain tightly grouped on the strength of defending-champion pedigree, star power, and South American qualifying form, while Germany and the Netherlands add further depth to a crowded European contingent. The bunched probabilities reflect how similar squad strengths, recent major-tournament experience, and the expanded 48-team format keep outcomes highly contested heading into group stage openers.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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