Spain, France, England, Portugal, Argentina, and Brazil sit in a tight cluster of implied probabilities because each fields elite squads with exceptional depth and recent major-tournament pedigree heading into the expanded 48-team 2026 finals. Spain’s Euro 2024 title and consistent Nations League results underpin its narrow lead, while France’s generational talent pool and unbeaten recent qualifiers keep it within a point. Argentina’s status as defending champions and top FIFA ranking, combined with England’s and Portugal’s strong form and bracket positioning, prevent any single side from pulling away. Germany and the Netherlands add further pressure through depth, ensuring the market reflects genuine uncertainty rather than a clear favorite.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoWorld Cup Winner
World Cup Winner
Hiszpania 17.0%
Francja 16.1%
Anglia 10.8%
Portugalia 10.8%
$1,948,217,125 Wol.
$1,948,217,125 Wol.
Hiszpania
17%
Francja
16%
Anglia
11%
Portugalia
11%
Argentyna
9%
Brazylia
8%
Niemcy
5%
Holandia
4%
Norwegia
2%
Belgia
2%
Kolumbia
2%
Japonia
2%
Maroko
2%
Meksyk
1%
Szwajcaria
1%
Turcja
1%
USA
1%
Urugwaj
1%
Croatia
1%
Ekwador
1%
Senegal
1%
Wybrzeże Kości Słoniowej
<1%
Austria
<1%
Kanada
<1%
Sweden
<1%
Korea Południowa
<1%
Szkocja
<1%
Egypt
<1%
Iran
<1%
Ghana
<1%
Algieria
<1%
Bośnia i Hercegowina
<1%
Paragwaj
<1%
Demokratyczna Republika Konga
<1%
Czechia
<1%
Australia
<1%
Nowa Zelandia
<1%
Haiti
<1%
Jordania
<1%
Curaçao
<1%
Tunezja
<1%
Uzbekistan
<1%
Panama
<1%
Irak
<1%
Republika Południowej Afryki
<1%
Republika Zielonego Przylądka
<1%
Katar
<1%
Saudi Arabia
<1%
Hiszpania 17.0%
Francja 16.1%
Anglia 10.8%
Portugalia 10.8%
$1,948,217,125 Wol.
$1,948,217,125 Wol.
Hiszpania
17%
Francja
16%
Anglia
11%
Portugalia
11%
Argentyna
9%
Brazylia
8%
Niemcy
5%
Holandia
4%
Norwegia
2%
Belgia
2%
Kolumbia
2%
Japonia
2%
Maroko
2%
Meksyk
1%
Szwajcaria
1%
Turcja
1%
USA
1%
Urugwaj
1%
Croatia
1%
Ekwador
1%
Senegal
1%
Wybrzeże Kości Słoniowej
<1%
Austria
<1%
Kanada
<1%
Sweden
<1%
Korea Południowa
<1%
Szkocja
<1%
Egypt
<1%
Iran
<1%
Ghana
<1%
Algieria
<1%
Bośnia i Hercegowina
<1%
Paragwaj
<1%
Demokratyczna Republika Konga
<1%
Czechia
<1%
Australia
<1%
Nowa Zelandia
<1%
Haiti
<1%
Jordania
<1%
Curaçao
<1%
Tunezja
<1%
Uzbekistan
<1%
Panama
<1%
Irak
<1%
Republika Południowej Afryki
<1%
Republika Zielonego Przylądka
<1%
Katar
<1%
Saudi Arabia
<1%
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rynek otwarty: Jul 2, 2025, 6:06 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Spain, France, England, Portugal, Argentina, and Brazil sit in a tight cluster of implied probabilities because each fields elite squads with exceptional depth and recent major-tournament pedigree heading into the expanded 48-team 2026 finals. Spain’s Euro 2024 title and consistent Nations League results underpin its narrow lead, while France’s generational talent pool and unbeaten recent qualifiers keep it within a point. Argentina’s status as defending champions and top FIFA ranking, combined with England’s and Portugal’s strong form and bracket positioning, prevent any single side from pulling away. Germany and the Netherlands add further pressure through depth, ensuring the market reflects genuine uncertainty rather than a clear favorite.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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