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Justin Gaethje vs Ilia Topuria

5g 53m 41s
Polymarket
$1.53M Vol.Polymarket

Moneyline

$1.4M Wol.

Totale

$42.9K Wol.

Go the Distance?

$21.3K Wol.

Fight won by KO/TKO?

$4.2K Wol.

Gaethje to win by KO/TKO?

$4.1K Wol.

Fight won by submission?

$1.2K Wol.

Topuria to win by KO/TKO?

$25.6K Wol.

This market will resolve to "Justin Gaethje" if Justin Gaethje is officially declared the winner of the fight against Ilia Topuria at UFC Freedom 250: Topuria vs. Gaethje, scheduled for June 14, 2026. It will resolve to "Ilia Topuria" if Ilia Topuria is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond June 28, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Justin Gaethje and Ilia Topuria at UFC Freedom 250: Topuria vs. Gaethje, scheduled for June 14, 2026, goes the full scheduled number of rounds and the result is determined by the judges' scorecards. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." Draws decided by the judges' scorecards after all scheduled rounds are completed will resolve "Yes." Technical decisions or technical draws declared before all rounds are completed will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond June 28, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Justin Gaethje and Ilia Topuria at UFC Freedom 250: Topuria vs. Gaethje, scheduled for June 14, 2026, ends by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond June 28, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Justin Gaethje defeats Ilia Topuria at UFC Freedom 250: Topuria vs. Gaethje, scheduled for June 14, 2026, by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond June 28, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ilia Topuria defeats Justin Gaethje at UFC Freedom 250: Topuria vs. Gaethje, scheduled for June 14, 2026, by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond June 28, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Justin Gaethje and Ilia Topuria at UFC Freedom 250: Topuria vs. Gaethje, scheduled for June 14, 2026, ends by submission, including tapout, verbal submission, or technical submission (referee stoppage due to a submission hold). Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond June 28, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Each market will resolve to “Over” if the fight between Justin Gaethje and Ilia Topuria at UFC Freedom 250: Topuria vs. Gaethje, scheduled for June 14, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold. Each market will resolve to “Under” if the fight between Justin Gaethje and Ilia Topuria at UFC Freedom 250: Topuria vs. Gaethje, scheduled for June 14, 2026, does not last beyond the listed round threshold. For example: “Over 0.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 1. “Under 0.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 1. If the fight ends exactly at the threshold (e.g., 2:30 of Round 1 for a 0.5 line), it will resolve “50-50.” If the bout is not scored, postponed beyond June 28, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve “50-50.” The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Each market will resolve to “Over” if the fight between Justin Gaethje and Ilia Topuria at UFC Freedom 250: Topuria vs. Gaethje, scheduled for June 14, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold. Each market will resolve to “Under” if the fight between Justin Gaethje and Ilia Topuria at UFC Freedom 250: Topuria vs. Gaethje, scheduled for June 14, 2026, does not last beyond the listed round threshold. For example: “Over 1.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 2. “Under 1.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 2. If the fight ends exactly at the threshold (e.g., 2:30 of Round 2 for a 1.5 line), it will resolve “50-50.” If the bout is not scored, postponed beyond June 28, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve “50-50.” The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Each market will resolve to “Over” if the fight between Justin Gaethje and Ilia Topuria at UFC Freedom 250: Topuria vs. Gaethje, scheduled for June 14, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold. Each market will resolve to “Under” if the fight between Justin Gaethje and Ilia Topuria at UFC Freedom 250: Topuria vs. Gaethje, scheduled for June 14, 2026, does not last beyond the listed round threshold. For example: “Over 2.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 3. “Under 2.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 3. If the fight ends exactly at the threshold (e.g., 2:30 of Round 3 for a 2.5 line), it will resolve “50-50.” If the bout is not scored, postponed beyond June 28, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve “50-50.” The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Each market will resolve to “Over” if the fight between Justin Gaethje and Ilia Topuria at UFC Freedom 250: Topuria vs. Gaethje, scheduled for June 14, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold. Each market will resolve to “Under” if the fight between Justin Gaethje and Ilia Topuria at UFC Freedom 250: Topuria vs. Gaethje, scheduled for June 14, 2026, does not last beyond the listed round threshold. For example: “Over 3.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 4. “Under 3.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 4. If the fight ends exactly at the threshold (e.g., 2:30 of Round 4 for a 3.5 line), it will resolve “50-50.” If the bout is not scored, postponed beyond June 28, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve “50-50.” The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Each market will resolve to “Over” if the fight between Justin Gaethje and Ilia Topuria at UFC Freedom 250: Topuria vs. Gaethje, scheduled for June 14, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold. Each market will resolve to “Under” if the fight between Justin Gaethje and Ilia Topuria at UFC Freedom 250: Topuria vs. Gaethje, scheduled for June 14, 2026, does not last beyond the listed round threshold. For example: “Over 4.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 5. “Under 4.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 5. If the fight ends exactly at the threshold (e.g., 2:30 of Round 5 for a 4.5 line), it will resolve “50-50.” If the bout is not scored, postponed beyond June 28, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve “50-50.” The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Ilia Topuria enters the UFC Freedom 250 lightweight title unification bout undefeated at 17-0 with an 88% finish rate, having claimed the vacant belt via first-round knockout last year, while interim champion Justin Gaethje brings a 27-5 record and proven knockout power in a five-round main event on the White House South Lawn. Both fighters made weight at 155 pounds during official weigh-ins, but tensions escalated after Topuria shoved Gaethje during the final press conference at the Lincoln Memorial. The matchup pits Topuria’s elite striking and finishing threat against Gaethje’s veteran durability, pressure fighting, and experience in high-stakes lightweight bouts. The unique outdoor venue and historic setting add external variables, though resolution hinges on the in-cage outcome. Trader consensus reflects Topuria’s undefeated streak and recent dominance as the primary drivers of implied probabilities.

This market will resolve to "Justin Gaethje" if Justin Gaethje is officially declared the winner of the fight against Ilia Topuria at UFC Freedom 250: Topuria vs. Gaethje, scheduled for June 14, 2026.

It will resolve to "Ilia Topuria" if Ilia Topuria is officially declared the winner.

If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond June 28, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Wolumen
$1,533,248
Data zakończenia
Jun 15, 2026
Rynek otwarty
May 25, 2026, 6:00 PM ET

Źródło rozstrzygnięcia

https://www.ufc.com/events
This market will resolve to "Justin Gaethje" if Justin Gaethje is officially declared the winner of the fight against Ilia Topuria at UFC Freedom 250: Topuria vs. Gaethje, scheduled for June 14, 2026. It will resolve to "Ilia Topuria" if Ilia Topuria is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond June 28, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.

Często zadawane pytania

Rynek "Topuria vs. Gaethje" na Polymarket pozwala handlować na wyniku meczu UFC między Ilia Topuria a Justin Gaethje, zaplanowanego na June 14, 2026 o 4:00 PM ET. Głównym rynkiem jest moneyline — która drużyna wygra mecz — gdzie Topuria jest wyceniany na 80¢ (80% implikowanego prawdopodobieństwa), a Gaethje na 21¢ (21%). Poza moneyline, rynki sportowe na Polymarket mogą oferować spready, totale (over/under) i propsy zawodników. Ceny odzwierciedlają zbiorowe prawdopodobieństwa w czasie rzeczywistym. Udziały w poprawnym wyniku wypłacają $1 za sztukę po rozstrzygnięciu.

Na chwilę obecną rynek "Topuria vs. Gaethje" wygenerował $1.5 million łącznego wolumenu we wszystkich typach rynku (moneyline, spready, totale i propsy). Ten wolumen odzwierciedla aktywne zaangażowanie społeczności Polymarket. Możesz śledzić ruchy cen na żywo i handlować bezpośrednio na tej stronie.

Aby handlować na "Topuria vs. Gaethje", zacznij od wyboru typu rynku: Moneyline (kto wygra), Spready (margines zwycięstwa), Totale (łączny wynik over/under) lub Propsy zawodników (statystyki indywidualne). Każdy rynek pokazuje bieżącą cenę — np. moneyline pokazuje ILI1 po 80¢ i JUS3 po 21¢. Wybierz stronę, kliknij Kup lub Sprzedaj, wpisz kwotę i kliknij Handluj. Jeśli Twoja strona okaże się poprawna, udziały wypłacają $1 za sztukę.

Obecne kursy moneyline na "Topuria vs. Gaethje" to Ilia Topuria po 80¢ (80% implikowanego prawdopodobieństwa) i Justin Gaethje po 21¢ (21%). Kursy aktualizują się w czasie rzeczywistym.

Rynek "Topuria vs. Gaethje" rozstrzyga się na podstawie oficjalnego końcowego wyniku meczu UFC, w tym dogrywki. Rynki moneyline rozstrzygają się na podstawie zwycięzcy. Rynki spread na podstawie marginesu zwycięstwa. Totale na podstawie łącznego wyniku obu drużyn. Propsy na podstawie oficjalnych statystyk.

Justin Gaethje vs Ilia Topuria

5g 53m 41s
Polymarket
$1.53M Vol.Polymarket

Moneyline

$1.4M Wol.

Totale

$42.9K Wol.

Go the Distance?

$21.3K Wol.

Fight won by KO/TKO?

$4.2K Wol.

Gaethje to win by KO/TKO?

$4.1K Wol.

Fight won by submission?

$1.2K Wol.

Topuria to win by KO/TKO?

$25.6K Wol.

This market will resolve to "Justin Gaethje" if Justin Gaethje is officially declared the winner of the fight against Ilia Topuria at UFC Freedom 250: Topuria vs. Gaethje, scheduled for June 14, 2026. It will resolve to "Ilia Topuria" if Ilia Topuria is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond June 28, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Justin Gaethje and Ilia Topuria at UFC Freedom 250: Topuria vs. Gaethje, scheduled for June 14, 2026, goes the full scheduled number of rounds and the result is determined by the judges' scorecards. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." Draws decided by the judges' scorecards after all scheduled rounds are completed will resolve "Yes." Technical decisions or technical draws declared before all rounds are completed will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond June 28, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Justin Gaethje and Ilia Topuria at UFC Freedom 250: Topuria vs. Gaethje, scheduled for June 14, 2026, ends by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond June 28, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Justin Gaethje defeats Ilia Topuria at UFC Freedom 250: Topuria vs. Gaethje, scheduled for June 14, 2026, by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond June 28, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ilia Topuria defeats Justin Gaethje at UFC Freedom 250: Topuria vs. Gaethje, scheduled for June 14, 2026, by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond June 28, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Justin Gaethje and Ilia Topuria at UFC Freedom 250: Topuria vs. Gaethje, scheduled for June 14, 2026, ends by submission, including tapout, verbal submission, or technical submission (referee stoppage due to a submission hold). Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond June 28, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Each market will resolve to “Over” if the fight between Justin Gaethje and Ilia Topuria at UFC Freedom 250: Topuria vs. Gaethje, scheduled for June 14, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold. Each market will resolve to “Under” if the fight between Justin Gaethje and Ilia Topuria at UFC Freedom 250: Topuria vs. Gaethje, scheduled for June 14, 2026, does not last beyond the listed round threshold. For example: “Over 0.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 1. “Under 0.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 1. If the fight ends exactly at the threshold (e.g., 2:30 of Round 1 for a 0.5 line), it will resolve “50-50.” If the bout is not scored, postponed beyond June 28, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve “50-50.” The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Each market will resolve to “Over” if the fight between Justin Gaethje and Ilia Topuria at UFC Freedom 250: Topuria vs. Gaethje, scheduled for June 14, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold. Each market will resolve to “Under” if the fight between Justin Gaethje and Ilia Topuria at UFC Freedom 250: Topuria vs. Gaethje, scheduled for June 14, 2026, does not last beyond the listed round threshold. For example: “Over 1.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 2. “Under 1.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 2. If the fight ends exactly at the threshold (e.g., 2:30 of Round 2 for a 1.5 line), it will resolve “50-50.” If the bout is not scored, postponed beyond June 28, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve “50-50.” The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Each market will resolve to “Over” if the fight between Justin Gaethje and Ilia Topuria at UFC Freedom 250: Topuria vs. Gaethje, scheduled for June 14, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold. Each market will resolve to “Under” if the fight between Justin Gaethje and Ilia Topuria at UFC Freedom 250: Topuria vs. Gaethje, scheduled for June 14, 2026, does not last beyond the listed round threshold. For example: “Over 2.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 3. “Under 2.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 3. If the fight ends exactly at the threshold (e.g., 2:30 of Round 3 for a 2.5 line), it will resolve “50-50.” If the bout is not scored, postponed beyond June 28, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve “50-50.” The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Each market will resolve to “Over” if the fight between Justin Gaethje and Ilia Topuria at UFC Freedom 250: Topuria vs. Gaethje, scheduled for June 14, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold. Each market will resolve to “Under” if the fight between Justin Gaethje and Ilia Topuria at UFC Freedom 250: Topuria vs. Gaethje, scheduled for June 14, 2026, does not last beyond the listed round threshold. For example: “Over 3.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 4. “Under 3.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 4. If the fight ends exactly at the threshold (e.g., 2:30 of Round 4 for a 3.5 line), it will resolve “50-50.” If the bout is not scored, postponed beyond June 28, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve “50-50.” The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Each market will resolve to “Over” if the fight between Justin Gaethje and Ilia Topuria at UFC Freedom 250: Topuria vs. Gaethje, scheduled for June 14, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold. Each market will resolve to “Under” if the fight between Justin Gaethje and Ilia Topuria at UFC Freedom 250: Topuria vs. Gaethje, scheduled for June 14, 2026, does not last beyond the listed round threshold. For example: “Over 4.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 5. “Under 4.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 5. If the fight ends exactly at the threshold (e.g., 2:30 of Round 5 for a 4.5 line), it will resolve “50-50.” If the bout is not scored, postponed beyond June 28, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve “50-50.” The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Ilia Topuria enters the UFC Freedom 250 lightweight title unification bout undefeated at 17-0 with an 88% finish rate, having claimed the vacant belt via first-round knockout last year, while interim champion Justin Gaethje brings a 27-5 record and proven knockout power in a five-round main event on the White House South Lawn. Both fighters made weight at 155 pounds during official weigh-ins, but tensions escalated after Topuria shoved Gaethje during the final press conference at the Lincoln Memorial. The matchup pits Topuria’s elite striking and finishing threat against Gaethje’s veteran durability, pressure fighting, and experience in high-stakes lightweight bouts. The unique outdoor venue and historic setting add external variables, though resolution hinges on the in-cage outcome. Trader consensus reflects Topuria’s undefeated streak and recent dominance as the primary drivers of implied probabilities.

This market will resolve to "Justin Gaethje" if Justin Gaethje is officially declared the winner of the fight against Ilia Topuria at UFC Freedom 250: Topuria vs. Gaethje, scheduled for June 14, 2026.

It will resolve to "Ilia Topuria" if Ilia Topuria is officially declared the winner.

If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond June 28, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Wolumen
$1,533,248
Data zakończenia
Jun 15, 2026
Rynek otwarty
May 25, 2026, 6:00 PM ET

Źródło rozstrzygnięcia

https://www.ufc.com/events
This market will resolve to "Justin Gaethje" if Justin Gaethje is officially declared the winner of the fight against Ilia Topuria at UFC Freedom 250: Topuria vs. Gaethje, scheduled for June 14, 2026. It will resolve to "Ilia Topuria" if Ilia Topuria is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond June 28, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.

Często zadawane pytania

Rynek "Topuria vs. Gaethje" na Polymarket pozwala handlować na wyniku meczu UFC między Ilia Topuria a Justin Gaethje, zaplanowanego na June 14, 2026 o 4:00 PM ET. Głównym rynkiem jest moneyline — która drużyna wygra mecz — gdzie Topuria jest wyceniany na 80¢ (80% implikowanego prawdopodobieństwa), a Gaethje na 21¢ (21%). Poza moneyline, rynki sportowe na Polymarket mogą oferować spready, totale (over/under) i propsy zawodników. Ceny odzwierciedlają zbiorowe prawdopodobieństwa w czasie rzeczywistym. Udziały w poprawnym wyniku wypłacają $1 za sztukę po rozstrzygnięciu.

Na chwilę obecną rynek "Topuria vs. Gaethje" wygenerował $1.5 million łącznego wolumenu we wszystkich typach rynku (moneyline, spready, totale i propsy). Ten wolumen odzwierciedla aktywne zaangażowanie społeczności Polymarket. Możesz śledzić ruchy cen na żywo i handlować bezpośrednio na tej stronie.

Aby handlować na "Topuria vs. Gaethje", zacznij od wyboru typu rynku: Moneyline (kto wygra), Spready (margines zwycięstwa), Totale (łączny wynik over/under) lub Propsy zawodników (statystyki indywidualne). Każdy rynek pokazuje bieżącą cenę — np. moneyline pokazuje ILI1 po 80¢ i JUS3 po 21¢. Wybierz stronę, kliknij Kup lub Sprzedaj, wpisz kwotę i kliknij Handluj. Jeśli Twoja strona okaże się poprawna, udziały wypłacają $1 za sztukę.

Obecne kursy moneyline na "Topuria vs. Gaethje" to Ilia Topuria po 80¢ (80% implikowanego prawdopodobieństwa) i Justin Gaethje po 21¢ (21%). Kursy aktualizują się w czasie rzeczywistym.

Rynek "Topuria vs. Gaethje" rozstrzyga się na podstawie oficjalnego końcowego wyniku meczu UFC, w tym dogrywki. Rynki moneyline rozstrzygają się na podstawie zwycięzcy. Rynki spread na podstawie marginesu zwycięstwa. Totale na podstawie łącznego wyniku obu drużyn. Propsy na podstawie oficjalnych statystyk.