Kimi Antonelli leads trader consensus at 38.6% implied probability for the 2026 F1 Drivers' Championship after extending his standings advantage to 20 points over Mercedes teammate George Russell (80 points) with a commanding Miami Grand Prix victory on May 3, marking his third consecutive win following China and Japan. Mercedes' superior pace under new power unit regulations has dominated the opening rounds, with Antonelli maximizing results through strong qualifying and race pace, while Russell's Australia opener win keeps him close at 29.5%. McLaren's rising form—Lando Norris P2 in Miami—positions him third at 11.6%, but Red Bull's struggles have relegated Max Verstappen to 6.2% despite his pedigree, highlighting the constructors' battle's impact on title odds with many Grands Prix remaining.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoKimi Antonelli 38.6%
George Russell 30%
Lando Norris 11.6%
Max Verstappen 6.2%
$148,835,181 Vol.
$148,835,181 Vol.
Kimi Antonelli
39%
George Russell
30%
Lando Norris
12%
Max Verstappen
6%
Oscar Piastri
5%
Charles Leclerc
5%
Lewis Hamilton
2%
Fernando Alonso
<1%
Esteban Ocon
<1%
Nico Hülkenberg
<1%
Arvid Lindblad
<1%
Isack Hadjar
<1%
Gabriel Bortoleto
<1%
Franco Colapinto
<1%
Alexander Albon
<1%
Valtteri Bottas
<1%
Pierre Gasly
<1%
Liam Lawson
<1%
Carlos Sainz Jr.
<1%
Sergio Pérez
<1%
Lance Stroll
<1%
Oliver Bearman
<1%
Kimi Antonelli 38.6%
George Russell 30%
Lando Norris 11.6%
Max Verstappen 6.2%
$148,835,181 Vol.
$148,835,181 Vol.
Kimi Antonelli
39%
George Russell
30%
Lando Norris
12%
Max Verstappen
6%
Oscar Piastri
5%
Charles Leclerc
5%
Lewis Hamilton
2%
Fernando Alonso
<1%
Esteban Ocon
<1%
Nico Hülkenberg
<1%
Arvid Lindblad
<1%
Isack Hadjar
<1%
Gabriel Bortoleto
<1%
Franco Colapinto
<1%
Alexander Albon
<1%
Valtteri Bottas
<1%
Pierre Gasly
<1%
Liam Lawson
<1%
Carlos Sainz Jr.
<1%
Sergio Pérez
<1%
Lance Stroll
<1%
Oliver Bearman
<1%
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
If multiple drivers tie for first place in the drivers standings, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Drivers’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed driver to win the 2026 F1 Drivers Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1.
Mercado Aberto: Dec 8, 2025, 7:46 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
If multiple drivers tie for first place in the drivers standings, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Drivers’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed driver to win the 2026 F1 Drivers Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Kimi Antonelli leads trader consensus at 38.6% implied probability for the 2026 F1 Drivers' Championship after extending his standings advantage to 20 points over Mercedes teammate George Russell (80 points) with a commanding Miami Grand Prix victory on May 3, marking his third consecutive win following China and Japan. Mercedes' superior pace under new power unit regulations has dominated the opening rounds, with Antonelli maximizing results through strong qualifying and race pace, while Russell's Australia opener win keeps him close at 29.5%. McLaren's rising form—Lando Norris P2 in Miami—positions him third at 11.6%, but Red Bull's struggles have relegated Max Verstappen to 6.2% despite his pedigree, highlighting the constructors' battle's impact on title odds with many Grands Prix remaining.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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