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icon for 2027 NBA Draft Lottery: 1st Pick

2027 NBA Draft Lottery: 1st Pick

icon for 2027 NBA Draft Lottery: 1st Pick

2027 NBA Draft Lottery: 1st Pick

Boston Celtics 46%

Minnesota Timberwolves 46%

Houston Rockets 45%

Oklahoma City Thunder 45%

Polymarket
NOVO

Boston Celtics 46%

Minnesota Timberwolves 46%

Houston Rockets 45%

Oklahoma City Thunder 45%

Polymarket
NOVO

Boston Celtics

$0 Vol.

46%

Minnesota Timberwolves

$0 Vol.

46%

Houston Rockets

$0 Vol.

45%

Oklahoma City Thunder

$0 Vol.

45%

Washington Wizards

$0 Vol.

45%

Denver Nuggets

$0 Vol.

45%

Golden State Warriors

$0 Vol.

45%

Indiana Pacers

$0 Vol.

45%

New Orleans Pelicans

$0 Vol.

45%

Portland Trail Blazers

$0 Vol.

45%

San Antonio Spurs

$0 Vol.

45%

Utah Jazz

$0 Vol.

45%

Atlanta Hawks

$0 Vol.

45%

Dallas Mavericks

$0 Vol.

45%

Los Angeles Lakers

$0 Vol.

45%

Cleveland Cavaliers

$0 Vol.

44%

Toronto Raptors

$0 Vol.

44%

Sacramento Kings

$0 Vol.

44%

Charlotte Hornets

$0 Vol.

42%

Detroit Pistons

$0 Vol.

37%

New York Knicks

$0 Vol.

36%

Miami Heat

$0 Vol.

36%

Philadelphia 76ers

$0 Vol.

25%

Orlando Magic

$0 Vol.

25%

Phoenix Suns

$0 Vol.

25%

Memphis Grizzlies

$0 Vol.

8%

Brooklyn Nets

$0 Vol.

7%

Los Angeles Clippers

$0 Vol.

7%

Milwaukee Bucks

$0 Vol.

7%

Chicago Bulls

$0 Vol.

6%

This market will resolve based on which team holds the draft rights to the first overall pick at the conclusion of the 2027 NBA Draft Lottery. If a listed team holds another franchise's draft pick via trade at the time of the lottery, and that traded pick results in the first overall selection, the holder of the draft rights is considered the winner. If a traded pick is subject to protection (e.g., "top-5 protected"), the winner is determined by which team ultimately receives the first overall pick after all protections are applied. If the 2027 NBA Draft Lottery is postponed, not completed, or no team has been announced as the recipient of the first overall pick by June 1, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus reflects a tightly bunched field for the 2027 NBA Draft Lottery first pick, with multiple teams holding implied probabilities near 45-50% due to substantial uncertainty in projected 2026-27 regular-season records. League parity, summer roster adjustments, and variable young-core development keep many franchises within striking distance of the worst standings that determine lottery positioning. Stronger projected clubs such as the Milwaukee Bucks, Los Angeles Clippers, and Chicago Bulls sit at single-digit levels, consistent with expectations of competitive finishes, while the broad middle group remains vulnerable to slumps or tanking scenarios that could shift outcomes before the season concludes.

This market will resolve based on which team holds the draft rights to the first overall pick at the conclusion of the 2027 NBA Draft Lottery.

If a listed team holds another franchise's draft pick via trade at the time of the lottery, and that traded pick results in the first overall selection, the holder of the draft rights is considered the winner.

If a traded pick is subject to protection (e.g., "top-5 protected"), the winner is determined by which team ultimately receives the first overall pick after all protections are applied.

If the 2027 NBA Draft Lottery is postponed, not completed, or no team has been announced as the recipient of the first overall pick by June 1, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$0
Data de Término
18 mai 2027
Mercado Aberto
Aug 7, 2026, 12:00 PM ET
This market will resolve based on which team holds the draft rights to the first overall pick at the conclusion of the 2027 NBA Draft Lottery. If a listed team holds another franchise's draft pick via trade at the time of the lottery, and that traded pick results in the first overall selection, the holder of the draft rights is considered the winner. If a traded pick is subject to protection (e.g., "top-5 protected"), the winner is determined by which team ultimately receives the first overall pick after all protections are applied. If the 2027 NBA Draft Lottery is postponed, not completed, or no team has been announced as the recipient of the first overall pick by June 1, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve based on which team holds the draft rights to the first overall pick at the conclusion of the 2027 NBA Draft Lottery. If a listed team holds another franchise's draft pick via trade at the time of the lottery, and that traded pick results in the first overall selection, the holder of the draft rights is considered the winner. If a traded pick is subject to protection (e.g., "top-5 protected"), the winner is determined by which team ultimately receives the first overall pick after all protections are applied. If the 2027 NBA Draft Lottery is postponed, not completed, or no team has been announced as the recipient of the first overall pick by June 1, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus reflects a tightly bunched field for the 2027 NBA Draft Lottery first pick, with multiple teams holding implied probabilities near 45-50% due to substantial uncertainty in projected 2026-27 regular-season records. League parity, summer roster adjustments, and variable young-core development keep many franchises within striking distance of the worst standings that determine lottery positioning. Stronger projected clubs such as the Milwaukee Bucks, Los Angeles Clippers, and Chicago Bulls sit at single-digit levels, consistent with expectations of competitive finishes, while the broad middle group remains vulnerable to slumps or tanking scenarios that could shift outcomes before the season concludes.

This market will resolve based on which team holds the draft rights to the first overall pick at the conclusion of the 2027 NBA Draft Lottery.

If a listed team holds another franchise's draft pick via trade at the time of the lottery, and that traded pick results in the first overall selection, the holder of the draft rights is considered the winner.

If a traded pick is subject to protection (e.g., "top-5 protected"), the winner is determined by which team ultimately receives the first overall pick after all protections are applied.

If the 2027 NBA Draft Lottery is postponed, not completed, or no team has been announced as the recipient of the first overall pick by June 1, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$0
Data de Término
18 mai 2027
Mercado Aberto
Aug 7, 2026, 12:00 PM ET
This market will resolve based on which team holds the draft rights to the first overall pick at the conclusion of the 2027 NBA Draft Lottery. If a listed team holds another franchise's draft pick via trade at the time of the lottery, and that traded pick results in the first overall selection, the holder of the draft rights is considered the winner. If a traded pick is subject to protection (e.g., "top-5 protected"), the winner is determined by which team ultimately receives the first overall pick after all protections are applied. If the 2027 NBA Draft Lottery is postponed, not completed, or no team has been announced as the recipient of the first overall pick by June 1, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"2027 NBA Draft Lottery: 1st Pick" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 30 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Boston Celtics" at 46%, followed by "Minnesota Timberwolves" at 46%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 46¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 46% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"2027 NBA Draft Lottery: 1st Pick" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 7, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "2027 NBA Draft Lottery: 1st Pick," browse the 30 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "2027 NBA Draft Lottery: 1st Pick" is "Boston Celtics" at 46%, meaning the market assigns a 46% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Minnesota Timberwolves" at 46%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "2027 NBA Draft Lottery: 1st Pick" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.