Skip to main content
icon for 46º Vencedor do Torneio Aberto das Olimpíadas de Xadrez da FIDE
Desporto·Xadrez

46º Vencedor do Torneio Aberto das Olimpíadas de Xadrez da FIDE

icon for 46º Vencedor do Torneio Aberto das Olimpíadas de Xadrez da FIDE
Desporto·Xadrez

46º Vencedor do Torneio Aberto das Olimpíadas de Xadrez da FIDE

India 28%

United States of America 25%

Uzbekistan 24%

China 8%

Polymarket
NOVO

India 28%

United States of America 25%

Uzbekistan 24%

China 8%

Polymarket
NOVO

India

$204 Vol.

28%

United States of America

$406 Vol.

25%

Uzbekistan

$256 Vol.

24%

China

$806 Vol.

8%

Armenia

$162 Vol.

5%

Germany

$212 Vol.

4%

Azerbaijan

$286 Vol.

4%

Georgia

$36 Vol.

3%

Netherlands

$236 Vol.

3%

Hungary

$36 Vol.

3%

Spain

$150 Vol.

3%

Poland

$36 Vol.

3%

France

$139 Vol.

3%

Ukraine

$36 Vol.

3%

England

$36 Vol.

2%

Vietnam

$26 Vol.

2%

Bulgaria

$460 Vol.

2%

Serbia

$133 Vol.

2%

Turkiye

$26 Vol.

2%

Norway

$131 Vol.

1%

Turkmenistan

$198 Vol.

1%

Sweden

$180 Vol.

<1%

Iran

$194 Vol.

<1%

Argentina

$61 Vol.

<1%

Austria

$61 Vol.

<1%

Brazil

$61 Vol.

<1%

Canada

$61 Vol.

<1%

Chile

$61 Vol.

<1%

Colombia

$61 Vol.

<1%

Croatia

$61 Vol.

<1%

Czech Republic

$61 Vol.

<1%

Egypt

$61 Vol.

<1%

Greece

$61 Vol.

<1%

Kazakhstan

$61 Vol.

<1%

Latvia

$61 Vol.

<1%

Lithuania

$61 Vol.

<1%

Moldova

$61 Vol.

<1%

Mexico

$61 Vol.

<1%

Romania

$61 Vol.

<1%

Slovenia

$61 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament, currently scheduled for September 15, 2026 to September 28, 2026. If this tournament is postponed after October 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other." If multiple teams are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, FIDE (https://chessolympiad2026.fide.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent confirmation of team line-ups for the September 2026 event in Samarkand has highlighted razor-thin gaps in average ratings among the top Open squads. The United States leads the seeding at 2751 with Caruana, So, and Niemann, followed closely by defending champions India at 2733 featuring Erigaisi and Praggnanandhaa, then hosts Uzbekistan at 2720 and China. This narrow separation, combined with the 11-round Swiss format, board depth, and potential for individual upsets or fatigue across the field of over 200 teams, sustains the tight implied probabilities around the leading contenders. Home advantage for Uzbekistan and India's recent title defense add further balance to the competitive outlook.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament, currently scheduled for September 15, 2026 to September 28, 2026.

If this tournament is postponed after October 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other."

If multiple teams are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, FIDE (https://chessolympiad2026.fide.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$5,414
Data de Término
28 set 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jul 30, 2026, 11:29 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament, currently scheduled for September 15, 2026 to September 28, 2026. If this tournament is postponed after October 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other." If multiple teams are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, FIDE (https://chessolympiad2026.fide.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament, currently scheduled for September 15, 2026 to September 28, 2026. If this tournament is postponed after October 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other." If multiple teams are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, FIDE (https://chessolympiad2026.fide.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent confirmation of team line-ups for the September 2026 event in Samarkand has highlighted razor-thin gaps in average ratings among the top Open squads. The United States leads the seeding at 2751 with Caruana, So, and Niemann, followed closely by defending champions India at 2733 featuring Erigaisi and Praggnanandhaa, then hosts Uzbekistan at 2720 and China. This narrow separation, combined with the 11-round Swiss format, board depth, and potential for individual upsets or fatigue across the field of over 200 teams, sustains the tight implied probabilities around the leading contenders. Home advantage for Uzbekistan and India's recent title defense add further balance to the competitive outlook.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament, currently scheduled for September 15, 2026 to September 28, 2026.

If this tournament is postponed after October 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other."

If multiple teams are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, FIDE (https://chessolympiad2026.fide.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$5,414
Data de Término
28 set 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jul 30, 2026, 11:29 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament, currently scheduled for September 15, 2026 to September 28, 2026. If this tournament is postponed after October 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other." If multiple teams are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, FIDE (https://chessolympiad2026.fide.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Relacionado

icon for Will Wesley So Win the Sinquefield Cup?

Will Wesley So Win the Sinquefield Cup?

45%
icon for Will Javokhir Sindarov win the 2026 World Chess Championship?

Will Javokhir Sindarov win the 2026 World Chess Championship?

70%
icon for Will Magnus Carlsen win Titled Tuesday on August 18?

Will Magnus Carlsen win Titled Tuesday on August 18?

10%

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"46º Vencedor do Torneio Aberto das Olimpíadas de Xadrez da FIDE" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 40+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "India" at 28%, followed by "United States of America" at 25%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 28¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 28% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"46º Vencedor do Torneio Aberto das Olimpíadas de Xadrez da FIDE" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jul 30, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "46º Vencedor do Torneio Aberto das Olimpíadas de Xadrez da FIDE," browse the 40+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "46º Vencedor do Torneio Aberto das Olimpíadas de Xadrez da FIDE" is "India" at 28%, meaning the market assigns a 28% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "United States of America" at 25%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "46º Vencedor do Torneio Aberto das Olimpíadas de Xadrez da FIDE" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.