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Ballon d'Or Winner 2026

icon for Ballon d'Or Winner 2026

Ballon d'Or Winner 2026

Kylian Mbappé 23%

Harry Kane 21.6%

Ousmane Dembélé 12.6%

Lionel Messi 10.8%

Polymarket

$4,907,315 Vol.

Kylian Mbappé 23%

Harry Kane 21.6%

Ousmane Dembélé 12.6%

Lionel Messi 10.8%

Polymarket

$4,907,315 Vol.

Kylian Mbappé

$195,992 Vol.

23%

Harry Kane

$785,881 Vol.

22%

Ousmane Dembélé

$609,052 Vol.

13%

Lionel Messi

$49,856 Vol.

11%

Michael Olise

$124,254 Vol.

9%

Lamine Yamal

$110,533 Vol.

8%

Vitinha

$85,835 Vol.

3%

Vinícius Júnior

$499,332 Vol.

3%

Declan Rice

$88,564 Vol.

2%

Cristiano Ronaldo

$94,548 Vol.

2%

Achraf Hakimi

$49,007 Vol.

2%

Erling Haaland

$302,786 Vol.

1%

Lautaro Martinez

$59,390 Vol.

1%

Bruno Fernandes

$68,998 Vol.

1%

Pedri

$303,989 Vol.

1%

Luis Diaz

$57,796 Vol.

1%

Khvicha Kvaratskhelia

$95,087 Vol.

<1%

Mohamed Salah

$460,072 Vol.

<1%

Cole Palmer

$221,773 Vol.

<1%

Jude Bellingham

$298,139 Vol.

<1%

Julian Alvarez

$60,669 Vol.

<1%

Raphinha

$79,806 Vol.

<1%

Federico Valverde

$52,062 Vol.

<1%

Desire Doue

$48,889 Vol.

<1%

Dominik Szoboszlai

$105,005 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or. If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).Harry Kane leads Ballon d'Or 2026 trader sentiment at 30.6% implied probability due to his record goal output and domestic honors with Bayern Munich in the 2025-26 campaign, positioning the England captain as the standout individual performer heading into the World Cup. Kylian Mbappé (12.5%), Lamine Yamal (11.0%), Michael Olise (10.5%), and Ousmane Dembélé (9.3%) follow, reflecting strong club seasons at Real Madrid, Barcelona, and PSG alongside France's depth. Vitinha (8.0%) and others benefit from similar European consistency. The approaching World Cup represents the primary near-term variable that could elevate or diminish candidates based on national team results and standout performances.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.

If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
Volume
$4,907,315
Data de Término
31 out 2026
Mercado Aberto
Sep 22, 2025, 7:24 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or. If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or. If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).Harry Kane leads Ballon d'Or 2026 trader sentiment at 30.6% implied probability due to his record goal output and domestic honors with Bayern Munich in the 2025-26 campaign, positioning the England captain as the standout individual performer heading into the World Cup. Kylian Mbappé (12.5%), Lamine Yamal (11.0%), Michael Olise (10.5%), and Ousmane Dembélé (9.3%) follow, reflecting strong club seasons at Real Madrid, Barcelona, and PSG alongside France's depth. Vitinha (8.0%) and others benefit from similar European consistency. The approaching World Cup represents the primary near-term variable that could elevate or diminish candidates based on national team results and standout performances.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.

If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
Volume
$4,907,315
Data de Término
31 out 2026
Mercado Aberto
Sep 22, 2025, 7:24 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or. If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Ballon d'Or Winner 2026" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 25 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Kylian Mbappé" at 23%, followed by "Harry Kane" at 22%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 23¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 23% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Ballon d'Or Winner 2026" has generated $4.9 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Sep 22, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Ballon d'Or Winner 2026," browse the 25 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Ballon d'Or Winner 2026" is "Kylian Mbappé" at 23%, meaning the market assigns a 23% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Harry Kane" at 22%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Ballon d'Or Winner 2026" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.