Harry Kane leads the 2026 Ballon d’Or market at 60.8% implied probability after a standout 2025-26 campaign with Bayern Munich that featured prolific goal tallies, domestic treble success, and a decisive World Cup contribution for England that elevated his standing among voters and traders. Lamine Yamal sits at 15.4% on the back of Barcelona’s La Liga and cup achievements plus his continued individual output at a young age. Kylian Mbappé, Rodri, and Khvicha Kvaratskhelia trail further back, reflecting strong but comparatively less dominant seasons at club and international level. Recent post-World Cup trading has reinforced Kane’s position while keeping the race open for late-season or award-cycle shifts in form and team results.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoHarry Kane 60.7%
Lamine Yamal 15.4%
Kylian Mbappé 8.8%
Rodri 9%
$29,063,796 Vol.
$29,063,796 Vol.
31 out 2026
Harry Kane
61%
Lamine Yamal
15%
Kylian Mbappé
9%
Rodri
9%
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
5%
Lionel Messi
2%
Ousmane Dembélé
2%
Fabian Ruiz
1%
Michael Olise
<1%
Erling Haaland
<1%
Jude Bellingham
<1%
Declan Rice
<1%
Vitinha
<1%
Mohamed Salah
<1%
Vinícius Júnior
<1%
Pedri
<1%
Cole Palmer
<1%
Julian Alvarez
<1%
Raphinha
<1%
Bruno Fernandes
<1%
Lautaro Martinez
<1%
Cristiano Ronaldo
<1%
Enzo Fernandez
<1%
Federico Valverde
<1%
Desejo Doue
<1%
Achraf Hakimi
<1%
Luis Diaz
<1%
Dominik Szoboszlai
<1%
Pau Cubarsi
<1%
Rodrygo
<1%
Bukayo Saka
<1%
Harry Kane 60.7%
Lamine Yamal 15.4%
Kylian Mbappé 8.8%
Rodri 9%
$29,063,796 Vol.
$29,063,796 Vol.
31 out 2026
Harry Kane
$3,405,563 Vol.
61%
Lamine Yamal
$1,834,455 Vol.
15%
Kylian Mbappé
$1,592,993 Vol.
9%
Rodri
$1,100,741 Vol.
9%
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
$1,114,934 Vol.
5%
Lionel Messi
$1,928,021 Vol.
2%
Ousmane Dembélé
$1,861,164 Vol.
2%
Fabian Ruiz
$875,967 Vol.
1%
Michael Olise
$1,091,994 Vol.
<1%
Erling Haaland
$1,282,109 Vol.
<1%
Jude Bellingham
$1,034,439 Vol.
<1%
Declan Rice
$815,490 Vol.
<1%
Vitinha
$711,887 Vol.
<1%
Mohamed Salah
$1,057,708 Vol.
<1%
Vinícius Júnior
$1,067,431 Vol.
<1%
Pedri
$884,675 Vol.
<1%
Cole Palmer
$679,621 Vol.
<1%
Julian Alvarez
$732,885 Vol.
<1%
Raphinha
$695,107 Vol.
<1%
Bruno Fernandes
$709,212 Vol.
<1%
Lautaro Martinez
$487,143 Vol.
<1%
Cristiano Ronaldo
$457,373 Vol.
<1%
Enzo Fernandez
$67,071 Vol.
<1%
Federico Valverde
$447,652 Vol.
<1%
Desejo Doue
$733,383 Vol.
<1%
Achraf Hakimi
$740,043 Vol.
<1%
Luis Diaz
$439,309 Vol.
<1%
Dominik Szoboszlai
$168,279 Vol.
<1%
Pau Cubarsi
$811,282 Vol.
<1%
Rodrygo
$88,121 Vol.
<1%
Bukayo Saka
$147,747 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).Harry Kane leads the 2026 Ballon d’Or market at 60.8% implied probability after a standout 2025-26 campaign with Bayern Munich that featured prolific goal tallies, domestic treble success, and a decisive World Cup contribution for England that elevated his standing among voters and traders. Lamine Yamal sits at 15.4% on the back of Barcelona’s La Liga and cup achievements plus his continued individual output at a young age. Kylian Mbappé, Rodri, and Khvicha Kvaratskhelia trail further back, reflecting strong but comparatively less dominant seasons at club and international level. Recent post-World Cup trading has reinforced Kane’s position while keeping the race open for late-season or award-cycle shifts in form and team results.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
Mercado Aberto: Sep 22, 2025, 7:24 PM ET
Volume
$29,063,796Data de Término
31 out 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 22, 2025, 7:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).Harry Kane leads the 2026 Ballon d’Or market at 60.8% implied probability after a standout 2025-26 campaign with Bayern Munich that featured prolific goal tallies, domestic treble success, and a decisive World Cup contribution for England that elevated his standing among voters and traders. Lamine Yamal sits at 15.4% on the back of Barcelona’s La Liga and cup achievements plus his continued individual output at a young age. Kylian Mbappé, Rodri, and Khvicha Kvaratskhelia trail further back, reflecting strong but comparatively less dominant seasons at club and international level. Recent post-World Cup trading has reinforced Kane’s position while keeping the race open for late-season or award-cycle shifts in form and team results.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
Volume
$29,063,796Data de Término
31 out 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 22, 2025, 7:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Harry Kane leads the 2026 Ballon d’Or market at 60.8% implied probability after a standout 2025-26 campaign with Bayern Munich that featured prolific goal tallies, domestic treble success, and a decisive World Cup contribution for England that elevated his standing among voters and traders. Lamine Yamal sits at 15.4% on the back of Barcelona’s La Liga and cup achievements plus his continued individual output at a young age. Kylian Mbappé, Rodri, and Khvicha Kvaratskhelia trail further back, reflecting strong but comparatively less dominant seasons at club and international level. Recent post-World Cup trading has reinforced Kane’s position while keeping the race open for late-season or award-cycle shifts in form and team results.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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