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Vencedor da Bola de Ouro 2026

icon for Vencedor da Bola de Ouro 2026

Vencedor da Bola de Ouro 2026

Ousmane Dembélé 24.9%

Harry Kane 17.6%

Declan Rice 9.2%

Lamine Yamal 9%

Polymarket

$3,254,972 Vol.

Ousmane Dembélé 24.9%

Harry Kane 17.6%

Declan Rice 9.2%

Lamine Yamal 9%

Polymarket

$3,254,972 Vol.

Ousmane Dembélé

$387,912 Vol.

25%

Harry Kane

$708,326 Vol.

18%

Declan Rice

$44,842 Vol.

9%

Lamine Yamal

$76,184 Vol.

9%

Kylian Mbappé

$125,791 Vol.

9%

Vitinha

$46,915 Vol.

8%

Michael Olise

$77,608 Vol.

6%

Cristiano Ronaldo

$42,216 Vol.

5%

Khvicha Kvaratskhelia

$47,050 Vol.

5%

Vinícius Júnior

$467,014 Vol.

1%

Erling Haaland

$258,460 Vol.

1%

Bruno Fernandes

$30,546 Vol.

1%

Pedri

$276,667 Vol.

1%

Desejo Doue

$24,383 Vol.

1%

Achraf Hakimi

$22,871 Vol.

1%

Federico Valverde

$27,423 Vol.

1%

Raphinha

$28,012 Vol.

1%

Julian Alvarez

$24,633 Vol.

<1%

Lautaro Martinez

$20,171 Vol.

<1%

Luis Diaz

$35,991 Vol.

<1%

Jude Bellingham

$211,076 Vol.

<1%

Mohamed Salah

$160,776 Vol.

<1%

Cole Palmer

$61,030 Vol.

<1%

Dominik Szoboszlai

$49,073 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or. If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).Ousmane Dembélé holds the edge in the 2026 Ballon d'Or race after PSG secured the Ligue 1 title and he earned league Player of the Season honors, building on his strong 2025 campaign with consistent goal contributions and assists. Harry Kane remains a close challenger thanks to his prolific scoring for Bayern Munich across domestic and European competitions, though recent Champions League results have tempered momentum. Lamine Yamal, Declan Rice, Kylian Mbappé, and Vitinha stay tightly grouped behind them on the back of standout club form, defensive solidity, and attacking output. With the World Cup looming and several title contenders still in contention, the field stays highly competitive, as voters weigh individual brilliance against team success in the final stretch of the season.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.

If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
Volume
$3,254,972
Data de Término
31 out 2026
Mercado Aberto
Sep 22, 2025, 7:24 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or. If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or. If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).Ousmane Dembélé holds the edge in the 2026 Ballon d'Or race after PSG secured the Ligue 1 title and he earned league Player of the Season honors, building on his strong 2025 campaign with consistent goal contributions and assists. Harry Kane remains a close challenger thanks to his prolific scoring for Bayern Munich across domestic and European competitions, though recent Champions League results have tempered momentum. Lamine Yamal, Declan Rice, Kylian Mbappé, and Vitinha stay tightly grouped behind them on the back of standout club form, defensive solidity, and attacking output. With the World Cup looming and several title contenders still in contention, the field stays highly competitive, as voters weigh individual brilliance against team success in the final stretch of the season.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.

If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
Volume
$3,254,972
Data de Término
31 out 2026
Mercado Aberto
Sep 22, 2025, 7:24 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or. If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Vencedor da Bola de Ouro 2026" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 24 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Ousmane Dembélé" at 25%, followed by "Harry Kane" at 18%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 25¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 25% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Vencedor da Bola de Ouro 2026" has generated $3.3 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Sep 22, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Vencedor da Bola de Ouro 2026," browse the 24 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Vencedor da Bola de Ouro 2026" is "Ousmane Dembélé" at 25%, meaning the market assigns a 25% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Harry Kane" at 18%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Vencedor da Bola de Ouro 2026" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.