Harry Kane leads the 2026 Ballon d’Or market at 61.9% implied probability following a record-breaking 2025-26 campaign in which he scored 61 goals in 51 appearances for Bayern Munich while securing Bundesliga and DFB-Pokal honors plus the European Golden Shoe. His six World Cup goals for England, including a semifinal run that made him the Three Lions’ all-time leading tournament scorer, reinforced his case despite the absence of a global title. Lamine Yamal sits second at 18.6% after inspiring Spain to World Cup glory at age 19 with decisive creativity and dribbling, complemented by 41 goal contributions and La Liga success at Barcelona. Rodri (7.5%) and Kylian Mbappé (6.7%) trail due to strong but less dominant individual outputs alongside Spain’s triumph and France’s mixed results, respectively, while Messi’s final appearance keeps him in the mix at lower odds. Trader consensus weighs club goal tallies and major-team silverware most heavily in this World Cup year.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoHarry Kane 61.9%
Lamine Yamal 18.6%
Rodri 8%
Kylian Mbappé 6.7%
$30,349,542 Vol.
$30,349,542 Vol.
Harry Kane
62%
Lamine Yamal
19%
Rodri
8%
Kylian Mbappé
7%
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
2%
Lionel Messi
2%
Ousmane Dembélé
1%
Fabian Ruiz
<1%
Michael Olise
<1%
Erling Haaland
<1%
Jude Bellingham
<1%
Declan Rice
<1%
Vitinha
<1%
Mohamed Salah
<1%
Vinícius Júnior
<1%
Pedri
<1%
Cole Palmer
<1%
Julian Alvarez
<1%
Raphinha
<1%
Bruno Fernandes
<1%
Lautaro Martinez
<1%
Cristiano Ronaldo
<1%
Enzo Fernandez
<1%
Federico Valverde
<1%
Desejo Doue
<1%
Achraf Hakimi
<1%
Luis Diaz
<1%
Dominik Szoboszlai
<1%
Pau Cubarsi
<1%
Rodrygo
<1%
Bukayo Saka
<1%
Harry Kane 61.9%
Lamine Yamal 18.6%
Rodri 8%
Kylian Mbappé 6.7%
$30,349,542 Vol.
$30,349,542 Vol.
Harry Kane
62%
Lamine Yamal
19%
Rodri
8%
Kylian Mbappé
7%
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
2%
Lionel Messi
2%
Ousmane Dembélé
1%
Fabian Ruiz
<1%
Michael Olise
<1%
Erling Haaland
<1%
Jude Bellingham
<1%
Declan Rice
<1%
Vitinha
<1%
Mohamed Salah
<1%
Vinícius Júnior
<1%
Pedri
<1%
Cole Palmer
<1%
Julian Alvarez
<1%
Raphinha
<1%
Bruno Fernandes
<1%
Lautaro Martinez
<1%
Cristiano Ronaldo
<1%
Enzo Fernandez
<1%
Federico Valverde
<1%
Desejo Doue
<1%
Achraf Hakimi
<1%
Luis Diaz
<1%
Dominik Szoboszlai
<1%
Pau Cubarsi
<1%
Rodrygo
<1%
Bukayo Saka
<1%
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
Mercado Aberto: Sep 22, 2025, 7:24 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Harry Kane leads the 2026 Ballon d’Or market at 61.9% implied probability following a record-breaking 2025-26 campaign in which he scored 61 goals in 51 appearances for Bayern Munich while securing Bundesliga and DFB-Pokal honors plus the European Golden Shoe. His six World Cup goals for England, including a semifinal run that made him the Three Lions’ all-time leading tournament scorer, reinforced his case despite the absence of a global title. Lamine Yamal sits second at 18.6% after inspiring Spain to World Cup glory at age 19 with decisive creativity and dribbling, complemented by 41 goal contributions and La Liga success at Barcelona. Rodri (7.5%) and Kylian Mbappé (6.7%) trail due to strong but less dominant individual outputs alongside Spain’s triumph and France’s mixed results, respectively, while Messi’s final appearance keeps him in the mix at lower odds. Trader consensus weighs club goal tallies and major-team silverware most heavily in this World Cup year.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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