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Vencedor da Bola de Ouro 2026

icon for Vencedor da Bola de Ouro 2026

Vencedor da Bola de Ouro 2026

Ousmane Dembélé 24.6%

Harry Kane 18.0%

Lamine Yamal 9%

Kylian Mbappé 9%

Polymarket

$3,260,052 Vol.

Ousmane Dembélé 24.6%

Harry Kane 18.0%

Lamine Yamal 9%

Kylian Mbappé 9%

Polymarket

$3,260,052 Vol.

Ousmane Dembélé

$387,935 Vol.

25%

Harry Kane

$709,040 Vol.

18%

Lamine Yamal

$76,340 Vol.

9%

Kylian Mbappé

$125,793 Vol.

9%

Vitinha

$47,064 Vol.

8%

Declan Rice

$44,940 Vol.

8%

Michael Olise

$77,742 Vol.

6%

Khvicha Kvaratskhelia

$47,177 Vol.

4%

Cristiano Ronaldo

$42,245 Vol.

3%

Vinícius Júnior

$467,014 Vol.

1%

Erling Haaland

$258,558 Vol.

1%

Bruno Fernandes

$30,546 Vol.

1%

Pedri

$276,667 Vol.

1%

Desejo Doue

$24,383 Vol.

1%

Achraf Hakimi

$22,871 Vol.

1%

Federico Valverde

$27,423 Vol.

1%

Raphinha

$28,023 Vol.

1%

Julian Alvarez

$24,649 Vol.

1%

Lautaro Martinez

$20,209 Vol.

1%

Luis Diaz

$36,005 Vol.

<1%

Jude Bellingham

$211,518 Vol.

<1%

Mohamed Salah

$162,732 Vol.

<1%

Cole Palmer

$61,038 Vol.

<1%

Dominik Szoboszlai

$50,143 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or. If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).The closely bunched probabilities in the 2026 Ballon d'Or market underscore a highly competitive field where Ousmane Dembélé leads on the strength of his decisive contributions in Ligue 1 and European ties, yet Harry Kane and Lamine Yamal remain within reach through prolific scoring records and creative output in the Premier League and La Liga. Multiple midfielders and forwards from elite clubs continue to post strong goal tallies, assists, and clean-sheet impacts, while international form and consistency across competitions prevent any candidate from establishing a decisive advantage. Trader consensus captures this depth of talent, with ongoing schedule demands and potential late-season surges poised to influence final positioning.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.

If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
Volume
$3,260,052
Data de Término
31 out 2026
Mercado Aberto
Sep 22, 2025, 7:24 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or. If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or. If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).The closely bunched probabilities in the 2026 Ballon d'Or market underscore a highly competitive field where Ousmane Dembélé leads on the strength of his decisive contributions in Ligue 1 and European ties, yet Harry Kane and Lamine Yamal remain within reach through prolific scoring records and creative output in the Premier League and La Liga. Multiple midfielders and forwards from elite clubs continue to post strong goal tallies, assists, and clean-sheet impacts, while international form and consistency across competitions prevent any candidate from establishing a decisive advantage. Trader consensus captures this depth of talent, with ongoing schedule demands and potential late-season surges poised to influence final positioning.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.

If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
Volume
$3,260,052
Data de Término
31 out 2026
Mercado Aberto
Sep 22, 2025, 7:24 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or. If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Vencedor da Bola de Ouro 2026" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 24 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Ousmane Dembélé" at 25%, followed by "Harry Kane" at 18%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 25¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 25% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Vencedor da Bola de Ouro 2026" has generated $3.3 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Sep 22, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Vencedor da Bola de Ouro 2026," browse the 24 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Vencedor da Bola de Ouro 2026" is "Ousmane Dembélé" at 25%, meaning the market assigns a 25% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Harry Kane" at 18%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Vencedor da Bola de Ouro 2026" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.