Harry Kane leads the 2026 Ballon d'Or market at 58.5% implied probability due to his record-breaking 2025/26 campaign at Bayern Munich, where he netted 61 goals and added assists across 51 appearances while securing multiple domestic titles and advancing deep in the Champions League. His strong showing at the 2026 World Cup, including six goals as England finished third, has further elevated his case in the eyes of traders weighing individual output, team silverware, and international impact. Lamine Yamal sits second at 15.7% on the strength of his Barcelona form, creative output, and pivotal role in Spain’s World Cup triumph, though his numbers trail Kane’s. Lower-probability names such as Rodri and Kylian Mbappé reflect comparatively quieter club seasons or national team results amid the post-tournament reassessment of candidates.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoHarry Kane 58.5%
Lamine Yamal 15.7%
Rodri 9%
Kylian Mbappé 8.6%
$29,174,431 Vol.
$29,174,431 Vol.
Harry Kane
58%
Lamine Yamal
16%
Rodri
9%
Kylian Mbappé
9%
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
4%
Lionel Messi
2%
Ousmane Dembélé
2%
Fabian Ruiz
1%
Erling Haaland
<1%
Michael Olise
<1%
Jude Bellingham
<1%
Declan Rice
<1%
Vitinha
<1%
Pau Cubarsi
<1%
Mohamed Salah
<1%
Vinícius Júnior
<1%
Pedri
<1%
Cole Palmer
<1%
Julian Alvarez
<1%
Raphinha
<1%
Bruno Fernandes
<1%
Lautaro Martinez
<1%
Cristiano Ronaldo
<1%
Enzo Fernandez
<1%
Federico Valverde
<1%
Desejo Doue
<1%
Achraf Hakimi
<1%
Luis Diaz
<1%
Dominik Szoboszlai
<1%
Rodrygo
<1%
Bukayo Saka
<1%
Harry Kane 58.5%
Lamine Yamal 15.7%
Rodri 9%
Kylian Mbappé 8.6%
$29,174,431 Vol.
$29,174,431 Vol.
Harry Kane
58%
Lamine Yamal
16%
Rodri
9%
Kylian Mbappé
9%
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
4%
Lionel Messi
2%
Ousmane Dembélé
2%
Fabian Ruiz
1%
Erling Haaland
<1%
Michael Olise
<1%
Jude Bellingham
<1%
Declan Rice
<1%
Vitinha
<1%
Pau Cubarsi
<1%
Mohamed Salah
<1%
Vinícius Júnior
<1%
Pedri
<1%
Cole Palmer
<1%
Julian Alvarez
<1%
Raphinha
<1%
Bruno Fernandes
<1%
Lautaro Martinez
<1%
Cristiano Ronaldo
<1%
Enzo Fernandez
<1%
Federico Valverde
<1%
Desejo Doue
<1%
Achraf Hakimi
<1%
Luis Diaz
<1%
Dominik Szoboszlai
<1%
Rodrygo
<1%
Bukayo Saka
<1%
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
Mercado Aberto: Sep 22, 2025, 7:24 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Harry Kane leads the 2026 Ballon d'Or market at 58.5% implied probability due to his record-breaking 2025/26 campaign at Bayern Munich, where he netted 61 goals and added assists across 51 appearances while securing multiple domestic titles and advancing deep in the Champions League. His strong showing at the 2026 World Cup, including six goals as England finished third, has further elevated his case in the eyes of traders weighing individual output, team silverware, and international impact. Lamine Yamal sits second at 15.7% on the strength of his Barcelona form, creative output, and pivotal role in Spain’s World Cup triumph, though his numbers trail Kane’s. Lower-probability names such as Rodri and Kylian Mbappé reflect comparatively quieter club seasons or national team results amid the post-tournament reassessment of candidates.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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