Harry Kane holds a dominant 61.1% implied probability in the 2026 Ballon d'Or market due to his record 2025-26 goal tally exceeding 70 across all competitions for Bayern Munich, where he secured the Bundesliga title, DFB-Pokal, and multiple individual scoring honors. This club dominance, paired with key World Cup contributions for England, has driven sustained trader consensus ahead of the October voting window. Lamine Yamal sits at 15.7% on the back of Barcelona's La Liga success and Spain's World Cup triumph, though his lower goal volume limits the challenge. Rodri (8.5%) and Kylian Mbappé (6.9%) trail amid emphasis on sustained output over team silverware alone, with market pricing reflecting post-tournament recalibration around individual metrics.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoHarry Kane 61.1%
Lamine Yamal 15.7%
Rodri 9%
Kylian Mbappé 6.9%
$28,812,488 Vol.
$28,812,488 Vol.
Harry Kane
61%
Lamine Yamal
16%
Rodri
9%
Kylian Mbappé
7%
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
5%
Lionel Messi
2%
Ousmane Dembélé
1%
Fabian Ruiz
1%
Erling Haaland
<1%
Michael Olise
<1%
Jude Bellingham
<1%
Declan Rice
<1%
Vitinha
<1%
Mohamed Salah
<1%
Vinícius Júnior
<1%
Pedri
<1%
Cole Palmer
<1%
Julian Alvarez
<1%
Raphinha
<1%
Bruno Fernandes
<1%
Lautaro Martinez
<1%
Cristiano Ronaldo
<1%
Enzo Fernandez
<1%
Federico Valverde
<1%
Desejo Doue
<1%
Achraf Hakimi
<1%
Luis Diaz
<1%
Dominik Szoboszlai
<1%
Pau Cubarsi
<1%
Rodrygo
<1%
Bukayo Saka
<1%
Harry Kane 61.1%
Lamine Yamal 15.7%
Rodri 9%
Kylian Mbappé 6.9%
$28,812,488 Vol.
$28,812,488 Vol.
Harry Kane
61%
Lamine Yamal
16%
Rodri
9%
Kylian Mbappé
7%
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
5%
Lionel Messi
2%
Ousmane Dembélé
1%
Fabian Ruiz
1%
Erling Haaland
<1%
Michael Olise
<1%
Jude Bellingham
<1%
Declan Rice
<1%
Vitinha
<1%
Mohamed Salah
<1%
Vinícius Júnior
<1%
Pedri
<1%
Cole Palmer
<1%
Julian Alvarez
<1%
Raphinha
<1%
Bruno Fernandes
<1%
Lautaro Martinez
<1%
Cristiano Ronaldo
<1%
Enzo Fernandez
<1%
Federico Valverde
<1%
Desejo Doue
<1%
Achraf Hakimi
<1%
Luis Diaz
<1%
Dominik Szoboszlai
<1%
Pau Cubarsi
<1%
Rodrygo
<1%
Bukayo Saka
<1%
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
Mercado Aberto: Sep 22, 2025, 7:24 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Harry Kane holds a dominant 61.1% implied probability in the 2026 Ballon d'Or market due to his record 2025-26 goal tally exceeding 70 across all competitions for Bayern Munich, where he secured the Bundesliga title, DFB-Pokal, and multiple individual scoring honors. This club dominance, paired with key World Cup contributions for England, has driven sustained trader consensus ahead of the October voting window. Lamine Yamal sits at 15.7% on the back of Barcelona's La Liga success and Spain's World Cup triumph, though his lower goal volume limits the challenge. Rodri (8.5%) and Kylian Mbappé (6.9%) trail amid emphasis on sustained output over team silverware alone, with market pricing reflecting post-tournament recalibration around individual metrics.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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