Ella Langley's "Choosin' Texas" holds the strongest trader consensus at 69.5% implied probability following the September 10 CMA nominations, where it earned nods alongside her second single "Be Her" for the first dual Single of the Year placement by a lead artist in years. The track's record-tying 22 weeks at No. 1 on the Billboard Hot 100, extended country chart dominance, and prior ACM Single of the Year win have built overwhelming momentum among voters and bettors. Lainey Wilson's "Somewhere Over Laredo" and Taylor Swift's "I Knew It, I Knew You" sit in the low teens amid solid but less dominant chart runs, while Cody Johnson's "The Fall" trails at under 2%. With the November 18 ceremony approaching, guild and precursor signals could still influence late shifts in this female-heavy field.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoCMA Single do Ano 2026
CMA Single do Ano 2026
Choosin' Texas (Ella Langley) 70%
Somewhere Over Laredo (Lainey Wilson) 10%
I Knew It, I Knew You (Taylor Swift) 9%
Be Her (Ella Langley) 4.0%
NOVO
NOVO
18 nov 2026
Choosin' Texas (Ella Langley)
70%
Somewhere Over Laredo (Lainey Wilson)
12%
I Knew It, I Knew You (Taylor Swift)
9%
Be Her (Ella Langley)
4%
The Fall (Cody Johnson)
2%
Choosin' Texas (Ella Langley) 70%
Somewhere Over Laredo (Lainey Wilson) 10%
I Knew It, I Knew You (Taylor Swift) 9%
Be Her (Ella Langley) 4.0%
NOVO
NOVO
18 nov 2026
Choosin' Texas (Ella Langley)
$73 Vol.
70%
Somewhere Over Laredo (Lainey Wilson)
$63 Vol.
12%
I Knew It, I Knew You (Taylor Swift)
$13 Vol.
9%
Be Her (Ella Langley)
$200 Vol.
4%
The Fall (Cody Johnson)
$33 Vol.
2%
The Country Music Association Awards are presented annually by the Country Music Association (CMA) to honor outstanding achievement in country music. The 60th Annual Country Music Association Awards are currently scheduled for November 18, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed single that wins the 60th Annual Country Music Association Award for Single of the Year.
If a listed single is not officially nominated for the Country Music Association Award for Single of the Year when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the tied winning single whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the CMA Awards and the Country Music Association, including data from their website (e.g., https://cmaawards.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Ella Langley's "Choosin' Texas" holds the strongest trader consensus at 69.5% implied probability following the September 10 CMA nominations, where it earned nods alongside her second single "Be Her" for the first dual Single of the Year placement by a lead artist in years. The track's record-tying 22 weeks at No. 1 on the Billboard Hot 100, extended country chart dominance, and prior ACM Single of the Year win have built overwhelming momentum among voters and bettors. Lainey Wilson's "Somewhere Over Laredo" and Taylor Swift's "I Knew It, I Knew You" sit in the low teens amid solid but less dominant chart runs, while Cody Johnson's "The Fall" trails at under 2%. With the November 18 ceremony approaching, guild and precursor signals could still influence late shifts in this female-heavy field.
The Country Music Association Awards are presented annually by the Country Music Association (CMA) to honor outstanding achievement in country music. The 60th Annual Country Music Association Awards are currently scheduled for November 18, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed single that wins the 60th Annual Country Music Association Award for Single of the Year.
If a listed single is not officially nominated for the Country Music Association Award for Single of the Year when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the tied winning single whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the CMA Awards and the Country Music Association, including data from their website (e.g., https://cmaawards.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed single that wins the 60th Annual Country Music Association Award for Single of the Year.
If a listed single is not officially nominated for the Country Music Association Award for Single of the Year when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the tied winning single whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the CMA Awards and the Country Music Association, including data from their website (e.g., https://cmaawards.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 17, 2026, 7:53 PM ET
Volume
$382Data de Término
19 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 17, 2026, 7:53 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Country Music Association Awards are presented annually by the Country Music Association (CMA) to honor outstanding achievement in country music. The 60th Annual Country Music Association Awards are currently scheduled for November 18, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed single that wins the 60th Annual Country Music Association Award for Single of the Year.
If a listed single is not officially nominated for the Country Music Association Award for Single of the Year when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the tied winning single whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the CMA Awards and the Country Music Association, including data from their website (e.g., https://cmaawards.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Ella Langley's "Choosin' Texas" holds the strongest trader consensus at 69.5% implied probability following the September 10 CMA nominations, where it earned nods alongside her second single "Be Her" for the first dual Single of the Year placement by a lead artist in years. The track's record-tying 22 weeks at No. 1 on the Billboard Hot 100, extended country chart dominance, and prior ACM Single of the Year win have built overwhelming momentum among voters and bettors. Lainey Wilson's "Somewhere Over Laredo" and Taylor Swift's "I Knew It, I Knew You" sit in the low teens amid solid but less dominant chart runs, while Cody Johnson's "The Fall" trails at under 2%. With the November 18 ceremony approaching, guild and precursor signals could still influence late shifts in this female-heavy field.
The Country Music Association Awards are presented annually by the Country Music Association (CMA) to honor outstanding achievement in country music. The 60th Annual Country Music Association Awards are currently scheduled for November 18, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed single that wins the 60th Annual Country Music Association Award for Single of the Year.
If a listed single is not officially nominated for the Country Music Association Award for Single of the Year when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the tied winning single whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the CMA Awards and the Country Music Association, including data from their website (e.g., https://cmaawards.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed single that wins the 60th Annual Country Music Association Award for Single of the Year.
If a listed single is not officially nominated for the Country Music Association Award for Single of the Year when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the tied winning single whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the CMA Awards and the Country Music Association, including data from their website (e.g., https://cmaawards.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$382Data de Término
19 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 17, 2026, 7:53 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ella Langley's "Choosin' Texas" holds the strongest trader consensus at 69.5% implied probability following the September 10 CMA nominations, where it earned nods alongside her second single "Be Her" for the first dual Single of the Year placement by a lead artist in years. The track's record-tying 22 weeks at No. 1 on the Billboard Hot 100, extended country chart dominance, and prior ACM Single of the Year win have built overwhelming momentum among voters and bettors. Lainey Wilson's "Somewhere Over Laredo" and Taylor Swift's "I Knew It, I Knew You" sit in the low teens amid solid but less dominant chart runs, while Cody Johnson's "The Fall" trails at under 2%. With the November 18 ceremony approaching, guild and precursor signals could still influence late shifts in this female-heavy field.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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