Deportivo Alavés enter the 2026/27 La Liga opener at Mendizorroza as slight favorites on the back of a strong pre-season run that included multiple wins, bolstered by home advantage and solid recent league form. Getafe counter with a stout defensive record and an unbeaten streak in the last four head-to-head meetings, though a four-game winless run and absences like Johan Mojica limit their attacking threat. Both sides face notable injury concerns—Lucas Boyé remains doubtful for Alavés while Getafe’s Christantus Uche is ruled out long-term—which points to a low-scoring, tightly contested match where a draw remains highly plausible alongside a narrow home victory. The clustered probabilities reflect these balanced factors in the season’s opening fixture.