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icon for MLB: Líder de GUERRA de 2026
Desporto·Basebol

MLB: Líder de GUERRA de 2026

icon for MLB: Líder de GUERRA de 2026
Desporto·Basebol

MLB: Líder de GUERRA de 2026

Pete Crow-Armstrong 99.7%

Shohei Ohtani <1%

Bobby Witt Jr. <1%

Yordan Alvarez <1%

Polymarket
NOVO

Pete Crow-Armstrong 99.7%

Shohei Ohtani <1%

Bobby Witt Jr. <1%

Yordan Alvarez <1%

Polymarket
NOVO

Pete Crow-Armstrong

$908 Vol.

100%

Shohei Ohtani

$670 Vol.

<1%

Bobby Witt Jr.

$650 Vol.

<1%

Yordan Alvarez

$686 Vol.

<1%

Jacob Misiorowski

$411 Vol.

<1%

Cristopher Sánchez

$443 Vol.

<1%

Dillon Dingler

$411 Vol.

<1%

Cam Schlittler

$511 Vol.

<1%

Dylan Cease

$476 Vol.

<1%

Chris Sale

$476 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve in favor of the player who finishes the 2026 MLB regular season with the highest Wins Above Replacement (WAR), as calculated by FanGraphs (fWAR). In the event that two or more players are tied for the highest fWAR, this market will resolve to the tied player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to finish with the highest fWAR, the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, shortened, or no fWAR leader is determined by October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be FanGraphs (https://www.fangraphs.com/leaders/war); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Pete Crow-Armstrong holds a commanding lead in the 2026 MLB WAR standings with roughly 9.3 wins above replacement through mid-September, driven by his .277/.369/.571 slash line, 44-plus home runs, 38 stolen bases, and elite center-field defense for the Cubs. This combination of offensive power, baserunning, and Gold Glove-caliber fielding has created a multi-win gap over the next-closest position players and pitchers. Trader consensus reflects the slim remaining schedule and the unlikelihood of any challenger closing such a margin in the final weeks. Late injuries or an unprecedented surge from candidates like Cristopher Sánchez or Bobby Witt Jr. represent the primary paths to altering the outcome, though both appear improbable given current form and innings or at-bats left.

This market will resolve in favor of the player who finishes the 2026 MLB regular season with the highest Wins Above Replacement (WAR), as calculated by FanGraphs (fWAR).

In the event that two or more players are tied for the highest fWAR, this market will resolve to the tied player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to finish with the highest fWAR, the corresponding market will resolve to "No".

If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, shortened, or no fWAR leader is determined by October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source will be FanGraphs (https://www.fangraphs.com/leaders/war); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve in favor of the player who finishes the 2026 MLB regular season with the highest Wins Above Replacement (WAR), as calculated by FanGraphs (fWAR). In the event that two or more players are tied for the highest fWAR, this market will resolve to the tied player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to finish with the highest fWAR, the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, shortened, or no fWAR leader is determined by October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be FanGraphs (https://www.fangraphs.com/leaders/war); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$5,642
Data de Término
27 set 2026
Mercado Aberto
Aug 28, 2026, 3:59 PM ET

Fonte de resolução

https://www.fangraphs.com/leaders/war

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve in favor of the player who finishes the 2026 MLB regular season with the highest Wins Above Replacement (WAR), as calculated by FanGraphs (fWAR). In the event that two or more players are tied for the highest fWAR, this market will resolve to the tied player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to finish with the highest fWAR, the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, shortened, or no fWAR leader is determined by October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be FanGraphs (https://www.fangraphs.com/leaders/war); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Pete Crow-Armstrong holds a commanding lead in the 2026 MLB WAR standings with roughly 9.3 wins above replacement through mid-September, driven by his .277/.369/.571 slash line, 44-plus home runs, 38 stolen bases, and elite center-field defense for the Cubs. This combination of offensive power, baserunning, and Gold Glove-caliber fielding has created a multi-win gap over the next-closest position players and pitchers. Trader consensus reflects the slim remaining schedule and the unlikelihood of any challenger closing such a margin in the final weeks. Late injuries or an unprecedented surge from candidates like Cristopher Sánchez or Bobby Witt Jr. represent the primary paths to altering the outcome, though both appear improbable given current form and innings or at-bats left.

This market will resolve in favor of the player who finishes the 2026 MLB regular season with the highest Wins Above Replacement (WAR), as calculated by FanGraphs (fWAR).

In the event that two or more players are tied for the highest fWAR, this market will resolve to the tied player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to finish with the highest fWAR, the corresponding market will resolve to "No".

If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, shortened, or no fWAR leader is determined by October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source will be FanGraphs (https://www.fangraphs.com/leaders/war); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve in favor of the player who finishes the 2026 MLB regular season with the highest Wins Above Replacement (WAR), as calculated by FanGraphs (fWAR). In the event that two or more players are tied for the highest fWAR, this market will resolve to the tied player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to finish with the highest fWAR, the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, shortened, or no fWAR leader is determined by October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be FanGraphs (https://www.fangraphs.com/leaders/war); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$5,642
Data de Término
27 set 2026
Mercado Aberto
Aug 28, 2026, 3:59 PM ET

Fonte de resolução

https://www.fangraphs.com/leaders/war

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

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Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"MLB: Líder de GUERRA de 2026" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 10 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Pete Crow-Armstrong" at 100%, followed by "Shohei Ohtani" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"MLB: Líder de GUERRA de 2026" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 28, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "MLB: Líder de GUERRA de 2026," browse the 10 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "MLB: Líder de GUERRA de 2026" is "Pete Crow-Armstrong" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Shohei Ohtani" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "MLB: Líder de GUERRA de 2026" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.