Positive Phase 3 results from Moderna and Merck’s personalized mRNA cancer vaccine intismeran (mRNA-4157/V940) in resected high-risk melanoma, announced August 19, 2026, represent the key catalyst for trader sentiment around a potential BLA submission. The INTerpath-001 trial met its primary recurrence-free survival endpoint and key secondary distant metastasis-free survival goal, marking the first late-stage success for an individualized neoantigen mRNA therapy combined with pembrolizumab. Full data presentation at an upcoming medical meeting and direct regulatory engagement discussions are the immediate next steps that could accelerate filing timelines, with executives signaling possible approval as early as 2027. This positions the program ahead of other mRNA or neoantigen candidates while highlighting manufacturing and CMC considerations unique to personalized biologics. No BLA has been submitted yet as of mid-September 2026, leaving room for shifts based on data maturity or agency feedback.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoVacina contra o cancro da pele BLA submetida por...?
$44,260 Vol.
31 de março de 2027
47%
30 de junho de 2027?
88%
$44,260 Vol.
31 de março de 2027
47%
30 de junho de 2027?
88%
Intismeran autogene refers to the individualized neoantigen therapy developed by Moderna and Merck and evaluated in the Phase 3 INTerpath-001 trial (NCT05933577), also known as mRNA-4157 and V940, together with any brand, trade, or nonproprietary name later assigned to that product, as well as any renamed or modified version that the relevant company or the FDA identify as the same product or a direct continuation of the V940/mRNA-4157 program.
A qualifying application must seek FDA licensure of intismeran autogene through a Biologics License Application (BLA). An original BLA or a resubmission of such a BLA following FDA action will qualify. The application may cover any indication.
A qualifying announcement must come from the relevant company submitting the BLA, the FDA, or authorized representatives thereof.
The submission must already have occurred at the time of the statement. A statement of intent, plan, guidance, or expected timing will not qualify.
If the FDA grants approval of intismeran autogene on or before March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes", whether or not a submission was separately disclosed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official communications from the company submitting the BLA, the FDA, or authorized representatives thereof; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 31, 2026, 11:11 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Intismeran autogene refers to the individualized neoantigen therapy developed by Moderna and Merck and evaluated in the Phase 3 INTerpath-001 trial (NCT05933577), also known as mRNA-4157 and V940, together with any brand, trade, or nonproprietary name later assigned to that product, as well as any renamed or modified version that the relevant company or the FDA identify as the same product or a direct continuation of the V940/mRNA-4157 program.
A qualifying application must seek FDA licensure of intismeran autogene through a Biologics License Application (BLA). An original BLA or a resubmission of such a BLA following FDA action will qualify. The application may cover any indication.
A qualifying announcement must come from the relevant company submitting the BLA, the FDA, or authorized representatives thereof.
The submission must already have occurred at the time of the statement. A statement of intent, plan, guidance, or expected timing will not qualify.
If the FDA grants approval of intismeran autogene on or before March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes", whether or not a submission was separately disclosed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official communications from the company submitting the BLA, the FDA, or authorized representatives thereof; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Positive Phase 3 results from Moderna and Merck’s personalized mRNA cancer vaccine intismeran (mRNA-4157/V940) in resected high-risk melanoma, announced August 19, 2026, represent the key catalyst for trader sentiment around a potential BLA submission. The INTerpath-001 trial met its primary recurrence-free survival endpoint and key secondary distant metastasis-free survival goal, marking the first late-stage success for an individualized neoantigen mRNA therapy combined with pembrolizumab. Full data presentation at an upcoming medical meeting and direct regulatory engagement discussions are the immediate next steps that could accelerate filing timelines, with executives signaling possible approval as early as 2027. This positions the program ahead of other mRNA or neoantigen candidates while highlighting manufacturing and CMC considerations unique to personalized biologics. No BLA has been submitted yet as of mid-September 2026, leaving room for shifts based on data maturity or agency feedback.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado


Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions