Strong momentum from AI-fueled corporate earnings growth and cooler-than-expected inflation data positions the >$8,000 bucket as the leading outcome at 38% implied probability. The S&P 500 recently closed at record levels near 7,800 in mid-August 2026 after softer CPI and PPI prints reduced odds of near-term Federal Reserve rate hikes, supporting risk appetite and tech leadership. Analyst targets from firms like Goldman Sachs and Citi cluster around 8,000–8,100, reflecting upgraded 2026 EPS estimates amid resilient margins. With roughly four months remaining, the $7,500–$8,000 range at 22.5% captures the base case of continued but moderating gains, while lower buckets reflect tail risks from potential policy shifts or earnings misses. Market-implied odds aggregate trader capital at risk, embedding current equity valuations, Treasury yields, and economic data releases.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoO que o S&P 500 (SPX) fechará no final de 2026?
O que o S&P 500 (SPX) fechará no final de 2026?
>$8.000 35%
$7.500-$8.000 22%
$7.000-$7.500 13%
$6.500-$7.000 12%
$39,930 Vol.
$39,930 Vol.
31 dez 2026
Abaixo de $6.000
6%
$6.000–$6.500
9%
$6.500-$7.000
12%
$7.000-$7.500
13%
$7.500-$8.000
22%
>$8.000
38%
>$8.000 35%
$7.500-$8.000 22%
$7.000-$7.500 13%
$6.500-$7.000 12%
$39,930 Vol.
$39,930 Vol.
31 dez 2026
Abaixo de $6.000
$20,619 Vol.
6%
$6.000–$6.500
$2,312 Vol.
9%
$6.500-$7.000
$4,408 Vol.
12%
$7.000-$7.500
$2,483 Vol.
13%
$7.500-$8.000
$4,060 Vol.
22%
>$8.000
$6,048 Vol.
38%
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on the final trading day of December 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under "Historical Prices."Strong momentum from AI-fueled corporate earnings growth and cooler-than-expected inflation data positions the >$8,000 bucket as the leading outcome at 38% implied probability. The S&P 500 recently closed at record levels near 7,800 in mid-August 2026 after softer CPI and PPI prints reduced odds of near-term Federal Reserve rate hikes, supporting risk appetite and tech leadership. Analyst targets from firms like Goldman Sachs and Citi cluster around 8,000–8,100, reflecting upgraded 2026 EPS estimates amid resilient margins. With roughly four months remaining, the $7,500–$8,000 range at 22.5% captures the base case of continued but moderating gains, while lower buckets reflect tail risks from potential policy shifts or earnings misses. Market-implied odds aggregate trader capital at risk, embedding current equity valuations, Treasury yields, and economic data releases.
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on the final trading day of December 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under "Historical Prices."
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Mercado Aberto: Jan 6, 2026, 9:22 PM ET
Volume
$39,930Data de Término
31 dez 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 6, 2026, 9:22 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/historyResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the official closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on the final trading day of December 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under "Historical Prices."Strong momentum from AI-fueled corporate earnings growth and cooler-than-expected inflation data positions the >$8,000 bucket as the leading outcome at 38% implied probability. The S&P 500 recently closed at record levels near 7,800 in mid-August 2026 after softer CPI and PPI prints reduced odds of near-term Federal Reserve rate hikes, supporting risk appetite and tech leadership. Analyst targets from firms like Goldman Sachs and Citi cluster around 8,000–8,100, reflecting upgraded 2026 EPS estimates amid resilient margins. With roughly four months remaining, the $7,500–$8,000 range at 22.5% captures the base case of continued but moderating gains, while lower buckets reflect tail risks from potential policy shifts or earnings misses. Market-implied odds aggregate trader capital at risk, embedding current equity valuations, Treasury yields, and economic data releases.
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on the final trading day of December 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under "Historical Prices."
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Volume
$39,930Data de Término
31 dez 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 6, 2026, 9:22 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/historyResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Strong momentum from AI-fueled corporate earnings growth and cooler-than-expected inflation data positions the >$8,000 bucket as the leading outcome at 38% implied probability. The S&P 500 recently closed at record levels near 7,800 in mid-August 2026 after softer CPI and PPI prints reduced odds of near-term Federal Reserve rate hikes, supporting risk appetite and tech leadership. Analyst targets from firms like Goldman Sachs and Citi cluster around 8,000–8,100, reflecting upgraded 2026 EPS estimates amid resilient margins. With roughly four months remaining, the $7,500–$8,000 range at 22.5% captures the base case of continued but moderating gains, while lower buckets reflect tail risks from potential policy shifts or earnings misses. Market-implied odds aggregate trader capital at risk, embedding current equity valuations, Treasury yields, and economic data releases.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions