The UEFA Europa League league phase begins on September 16 with all 36 clubs at zero clean sheets after eight fixtures each, creating tight clustering around 45-50% implied probabilities. Defensive depth, goalkeeper form, and fixture difficulty will determine outcomes, with sides like Juventus, Milan, Bayer Leverkusen, Celtic, and Lech Poznan entering on strong recent European records and solid backlines. Mid-table contenders such as Sparta Prague, Rennes, and Anderlecht carry comparable upside against varied opposition, while "Other" captures the broad distribution of possibilities. Early match results and any injury disruptions to key defenders or keepers will quickly shift the consensus as the campaign unfolds.