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icon for Quem será o campeão peso pena do UFC no final de 2026?
Desporto·UFC

Quem será o campeão peso pena do UFC no final de 2026?

icon for Quem será o campeão peso pena do UFC no final de 2026?
Desporto·UFC

Quem será o campeão peso pena do UFC no final de 2026?

Movsar Evloev 28%

Jean Silva 3.8%

Arnold Allen 3.3%

Steve Garcia 2.7%

Polymarket

$13,404 Vol.

Movsar Evloev 28%

Jean Silva 3.8%

Arnold Allen 3.3%

Steve Garcia 2.7%

Polymarket

$13,404 Vol.

Movsar Evloev

$5,423 Vol.

28%

Jean Silva

$2,052 Vol.

4%

Arnold Allen

$521 Vol.

3%

Steve Garcia

$438 Vol.

3%

Aljamain Sterling

$401 Vol.

2%

Lerone Murphy

$1,407 Vol.

1%

Diego Lopes

$611 Vol.

1%

Brian Ortega

$572 Vol.

1%

Youssef Zalal

$447 Vol.

<1%

Yair Rodriguez

$383 Vol.

<1%

Alexander Volkanovski

$1,149 Vol.

61%

This market will resolve according to the official UFC Featherweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).Alexander Volkanovski holds the UFC featherweight title after reclaiming it in 2025 and securing a second victory over Diego Lopes early in 2026, positioning him as the division leader with a record of experience that underpins his 52 percent implied probability in the long-term market. Movsar Evloev sits at 36.5 percent following his March title-eliminator win over Lerone Murphy at UFC London, earning him the next scheduled defense against Volkanovski targeted for August or September. The remaining contenders, including Arnold Allen, Jean Silva, and Steve Garcia, trail with single-digit probabilities due to limited recent title contention opportunities and the champion’s established dominance in high-stakes matchups. Trader consensus reflects Volkanovski’s track record of successful defenses and Evloev’s undefeated momentum as the primary factors shaping probabilities through the end of 2026.

This market will resolve according to the official UFC Featherweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.

Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.

If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Volume
$13,404
Data de Término
31 dez 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jan 2, 2026, 6:24 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the official UFC Featherweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
This market will resolve according to the official UFC Featherweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).Alexander Volkanovski holds the UFC featherweight title after reclaiming it in 2025 and securing a second victory over Diego Lopes early in 2026, positioning him as the division leader with a record of experience that underpins his 52 percent implied probability in the long-term market. Movsar Evloev sits at 36.5 percent following his March title-eliminator win over Lerone Murphy at UFC London, earning him the next scheduled defense against Volkanovski targeted for August or September. The remaining contenders, including Arnold Allen, Jean Silva, and Steve Garcia, trail with single-digit probabilities due to limited recent title contention opportunities and the champion’s established dominance in high-stakes matchups. Trader consensus reflects Volkanovski’s track record of successful defenses and Evloev’s undefeated momentum as the primary factors shaping probabilities through the end of 2026.

This market will resolve according to the official UFC Featherweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.

Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.

If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Volume
$13,404
Data de Término
31 dez 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jan 2, 2026, 6:24 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the official UFC Featherweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Quem será o campeão peso pena do UFC no final de 2026?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Alexander Volkanovski" at 61%, followed by "Movsar Evloev" at 28%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 61¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 61% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Quem será o campeão peso pena do UFC no final de 2026?" has generated $13.4K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 2, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Quem será o campeão peso pena do UFC no final de 2026?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Quem será o campeão peso pena do UFC no final de 2026?" is "Alexander Volkanovski" at 61%, meaning the market assigns a 61% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Movsar Evloev" at 28%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Quem será o campeão peso pena do UFC no final de 2026?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.