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Desporto·Recompensas 50, 4.5, 20

Uma nação que nunca ganhou a Copa do Mundo vencerá em 2026?

icon for Uma nação que nunca ganhou a Copa do Mundo vencerá em 2026?
Desporto·Recompensas 50, 4.5, 20

Uma nação que nunca ganhou a Copa do Mundo vencerá em 2026?

32% chance
Polymarket

$54,795 Vol.

32% chance
Polymarket

$54,795 Vol.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the winner of the 2026 FIFA World Cup is a nation that has never previously won a FIFA World Cup. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purpose of this market, the nations that have previously won a FIFA World Cup are: Uruguay, Italy, Germany, Brazil, England, Argentina, France, and Spain. If the 2026 champion is any nation other than these eight, this market resolves “Yes”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The concentration of elite talent and recent success among nations with prior World Cup titles underpins the market's 68% lean toward No. Spain and France lead outright projections as the expanded 48-team tournament opens this week across North America, followed closely by England, Argentina, Brazil, and Portugal—all previous champions with deep squads and proven knockout pedigree. Never-before winners such as the Netherlands trail at longer odds due to historical final appearances without silverware and tougher paths against these established powers. Recent form from European qualifiers and national team camps has reinforced the edge for repeat contenders while highlighting the barriers facing first-time hopefuls.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the winner of the 2026 FIFA World Cup is a nation that has never previously won a FIFA World Cup. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

For the purpose of this market, the nations that have previously won a FIFA World Cup are: Uruguay, Italy, Germany, Brazil, England, Argentina, France, and Spain. If the 2026 champion is any nation other than these eight, this market resolves “Yes”.

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$54,795
Data de Término
20 jul 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jun 5, 2026, 7:04 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the winner of the 2026 FIFA World Cup is a nation that has never previously won a FIFA World Cup. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purpose of this market, the nations that have previously won a FIFA World Cup are: Uruguay, Italy, Germany, Brazil, England, Argentina, France, and Spain. If the 2026 champion is any nation other than these eight, this market resolves “Yes”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the winner of the 2026 FIFA World Cup is a nation that has never previously won a FIFA World Cup. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purpose of this market, the nations that have previously won a FIFA World Cup are: Uruguay, Italy, Germany, Brazil, England, Argentina, France, and Spain. If the 2026 champion is any nation other than these eight, this market resolves “Yes”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The concentration of elite talent and recent success among nations with prior World Cup titles underpins the market's 68% lean toward No. Spain and France lead outright projections as the expanded 48-team tournament opens this week across North America, followed closely by England, Argentina, Brazil, and Portugal—all previous champions with deep squads and proven knockout pedigree. Never-before winners such as the Netherlands trail at longer odds due to historical final appearances without silverware and tougher paths against these established powers. Recent form from European qualifiers and national team camps has reinforced the edge for repeat contenders while highlighting the barriers facing first-time hopefuls.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the winner of the 2026 FIFA World Cup is a nation that has never previously won a FIFA World Cup. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

For the purpose of this market, the nations that have previously won a FIFA World Cup are: Uruguay, Italy, Germany, Brazil, England, Argentina, France, and Spain. If the 2026 champion is any nation other than these eight, this market resolves “Yes”.

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$54,795
Data de Término
20 jul 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jun 5, 2026, 7:04 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the winner of the 2026 FIFA World Cup is a nation that has never previously won a FIFA World Cup. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purpose of this market, the nations that have previously won a FIFA World Cup are: Uruguay, Italy, Germany, Brazil, England, Argentina, France, and Spain. If the 2026 champion is any nation other than these eight, this market resolves “Yes”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Uma nação que nunca ganhou a Copa do Mundo vencerá em 2026?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 32% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 32¢, the market collectively assigns a 32% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Uma nação que nunca ganhou a Copa do Mundo vencerá em 2026?" has generated $54.8K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jun 5, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Uma nação que nunca ganhou a Copa do Mundo vencerá em 2026?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Uma nação que nunca ganhou a Copa do Mundo vencerá em 2026?" is 32% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 32% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Uma nação que nunca ganhou a Copa do Mundo vencerá em 2026?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.