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icon for Drake vai lançar um novo álbum do...?

Drake vai lançar um novo álbum do...?

icon for Drake vai lançar um novo álbum do...?

Drake vai lançar um novo álbum do...?

NOVO

$13,884 Vol.

1 out 2026
Polymarket

$13,884 Vol.

Polymarket

30 de setembro

$6,716 Vol.

9%

31 de dezembro

$7,168 Vol.

23%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Drake officially releases a new album between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM PT (Los Angeles time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Officially released means that a newly released album is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date. Re-releases, deluxe editions, compilations, or greatest hits albums will not count, unless they contain at least 50% tracks that have never been officially released in any format prior to the album's release. The resolution source will be any official music streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify.Drake’s aggressive 2026 output, capped by the simultaneous May 15 drop of *Iceman*, *Habibti*, and *Maid of Honour* that swept the Billboard 200’s top three spots, has reset expectations for his release cadence. Traders are now focused on the September 15 YouTube livestream for the long-teased “Fear of Missing Out” (FOMO) project, which follows months of cryptic Instagram posts and studio sightings. While the exact nature remains unconfirmed, fan and industry speculation centers on new music, potentially another full album that would mark Drake’s fourth project this year. The reveal sits just days after the current date, creating immediate momentum around whether the OVO Sound head will extend his surprise-drop pattern before year-end or pivot to other content. Historical precedent favors quick follow-ups after major rollouts, though the scale of the May trilogy may temper near-term expectations.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Drake officially releases a new album between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM PT (Los Angeles time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Officially released means that a newly released album is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date.

Re-releases, deluxe editions, compilations, or greatest hits albums will not count, unless they contain at least 50% tracks that have never been officially released in any format prior to the album's release.

The resolution source will be any official music streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Drake officially releases a new album between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM PT (Los Angeles time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Officially released means that a newly released album is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date. Re-releases, deluxe editions, compilations, or greatest hits albums will not count, unless they contain at least 50% tracks that have never been officially released in any format prior to the album's release. The resolution source will be any official music streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify.
Volume
$13,884
Data de Término
1 jan 2027
Mercado Aberto
Sep 4, 2026, 2:37 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Drake officially releases a new album between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM PT (Los Angeles time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Officially released means that a newly released album is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date. Re-releases, deluxe editions, compilations, or greatest hits albums will not count, unless they contain at least 50% tracks that have never been officially released in any format prior to the album's release. The resolution source will be any official music streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify.Drake’s aggressive 2026 output, capped by the simultaneous May 15 drop of *Iceman*, *Habibti*, and *Maid of Honour* that swept the Billboard 200’s top three spots, has reset expectations for his release cadence. Traders are now focused on the September 15 YouTube livestream for the long-teased “Fear of Missing Out” (FOMO) project, which follows months of cryptic Instagram posts and studio sightings. While the exact nature remains unconfirmed, fan and industry speculation centers on new music, potentially another full album that would mark Drake’s fourth project this year. The reveal sits just days after the current date, creating immediate momentum around whether the OVO Sound head will extend his surprise-drop pattern before year-end or pivot to other content. Historical precedent favors quick follow-ups after major rollouts, though the scale of the May trilogy may temper near-term expectations.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Drake officially releases a new album between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM PT (Los Angeles time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Officially released means that a newly released album is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date.

Re-releases, deluxe editions, compilations, or greatest hits albums will not count, unless they contain at least 50% tracks that have never been officially released in any format prior to the album's release.

The resolution source will be any official music streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Drake officially releases a new album between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM PT (Los Angeles time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Officially released means that a newly released album is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date. Re-releases, deluxe editions, compilations, or greatest hits albums will not count, unless they contain at least 50% tracks that have never been officially released in any format prior to the album's release. The resolution source will be any official music streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify.
Volume
$13,884
Data de Término
1 jan 2027
Mercado Aberto
Sep 4, 2026, 2:37 PM ET

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Drake vai lançar um novo álbum do...?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "31 de dezembro" at 23%, followed by "30 de setembro" at 9%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 23¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 23% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Drake vai lançar um novo álbum do...?" has generated $13.9K in total trading volume since the market launched on Sep 4, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Drake vai lançar um novo álbum do...?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Drake vai lançar um novo álbum do...?" is "31 de dezembro" at 23%, meaning the market assigns a 23% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "30 de setembro" at 9%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Drake vai lançar um novo álbum do...?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.