Recent European Championship results and robust qualification campaigns have tightened the 2026 FIFA World Cup winner market, with trader consensus assigning Spain and France the narrowest edges due to their exceptional squad depth and tactical cohesion. Spain's blend of emerging talents and disciplined structure, alongside France's proven resilience in knockout stages, creates competitive balance against England’s consistent major-tournament record. Favorable group draws and minimal roster disruptions sustain this bunched positioning among the leading sides, though injuries, form swings, or unexpected group-stage results remain factors that could alter implied probabilities before the July final.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоФранция 18.3%
Испания 16.7%
Англия 11.3%
Бразилия 9.2%
$1,014,374,428 Объем
$1,014,374,428 Объем
20 июл. 2026 г.
Франция
18%
Испания
17%
Англия
11%
Бразилия
9%
Аргентина
8%
Португалия
8%
Германия
5%
Нидерланды
3%
Норвегия
2%
Япония
2%
Бельгия
2%
Колумбия
2%
США
2%
Марокко
2%
Швейцария
1%
Уругвай
1%
Мексика
1%
Хорватия
1%
Эквадор
1%
Сенегал
1%
Турция
1%
Австрия
1%
Швеция
1%
Канада
<1%
Южная Корея
<1%
Парагвай
<1%
Шотландия
<1%
Кот-д’Ивуар
<1%
Египет
<1%
Ghana
<1%
Алжир
<1%
Босния и Герцеговина
<1%
Чехия
<1%
Австралия
<1%
Новая Зеландия
<1%
Гаити
<1%
Иордания
<1%
Кюрасао
<1%
Иран
<1%
Тунис
<1%
Узбекистан
<1%
Панама
<1%
Ирак
<1%
Южная Африка
<1%
ДР Конго
<1%
Кабо-Верде
<1%
Катар
<1%
Саудовская Аравия
<1%
Франция 18.3%
Испания 16.7%
Англия 11.3%
Бразилия 9.2%
$1,014,374,428 Объем
$1,014,374,428 Объем
20 июл. 2026 г.
Франция
$27,277,763 Объем
18%
Испания
$21,498,404 Объем
17%
Англия
$17,689,309 Объем
11%
Бразилия
$18,928,298 Объем
9%
Аргентина
$18,540,550 Объем
8%
Португалия
$20,230,153 Объем
8%
Германия
$17,269,924 Объем
5%
Нидерланды
$19,376,474 Объем
3%
Норвегия
$17,810,726 Объем
2%
Япония
$22,063,247 Объем
2%
Бельгия
$16,997,124 Объем
2%
Колумбия
$15,758,321 Объем
2%
США
$32,336,430 Объем
2%
Марокко
$20,692,058 Объем
2%
Швейцария
$18,529,042 Объем
1%
Уругвай
$17,968,348 Объем
1%
Мексика
$19,654,681 Объем
1%
Хорватия
$21,570,650 Объем
1%
Эквадор
$22,250,748 Объем
1%
Сенегал
$17,634,357 Объем
1%
Турция
$11,028,083 Объем
1%
Австрия
$18,801,907 Объем
1%
Швеция
$9,962,146 Объем
1%
Канада
$23,068,686 Объем
<1%
Южная Корея
$24,553,039 Объем
<1%
Парагвай
$19,738,716 Объем
<1%
Шотландия
$18,703,980 Объем
<1%
Кот-д’Ивуар
$23,382,604 Объем
<1%
Египет
$23,794,167 Объем
<1%
Ghana
$18,265,628 Объем
<1%
Алжир
$21,942,715 Объем
<1%
Босния и Герцеговина
$10,820,823 Объем
<1%
Чехия
$9,516,684 Объем
<1%
Австралия
$23,961,981 Объем
<1%
Новая Зеландия
$31,177,693 Объем
<1%
Гаити
$18,036,284 Объем
<1%
Иордания
$26,180,568 Объем
<1%
Кюрасао
$36,732,770 Объем
<1%
Иран
$24,921,327 Объем
<1%
Тунис
$22,390,107 Объем
<1%
Узбекистан
$39,029,402 Объем
<1%
Панама
$13,154,334 Объем
<1%
Ирак
$12,741,059 Объем
<1%
Южная Африка
$27,176,647 Объем
<1%
ДР Конго
$16,547,542 Объем
<1%
Кабо-Верде
$23,182,634 Объем
<1%
Катар
$24,801,584 Объем
<1%
Саудовская Аравия
$27,771,346 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent European Championship results and robust qualification campaigns have tightened the 2026 FIFA World Cup winner market, with trader consensus assigning Spain and France the narrowest edges due to their exceptional squad depth and tactical cohesion. Spain's blend of emerging talents and disciplined structure, alongside France's proven resilience in knockout stages, creates competitive balance against England’s consistent major-tournament record. Favorable group draws and minimal roster disruptions sustain this bunched positioning among the leading sides, though injuries, form swings, or unexpected group-stage results remain factors that could alter implied probabilities before the July final.
This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Jul 2, 2025, 6:06 PM ET
Объем
$1,014,374,428Дата окончания
20 июл. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 2, 2025, 6:06 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent European Championship results and robust qualification campaigns have tightened the 2026 FIFA World Cup winner market, with trader consensus assigning Spain and France the narrowest edges due to their exceptional squad depth and tactical cohesion. Spain's blend of emerging talents and disciplined structure, alongside France's proven resilience in knockout stages, creates competitive balance against England’s consistent major-tournament record. Favorable group draws and minimal roster disruptions sustain this bunched positioning among the leading sides, though injuries, form swings, or unexpected group-stage results remain factors that could alter implied probabilities before the July final.
This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$1,014,374,428Дата окончания
20 июл. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 2, 2025, 6:06 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent European Championship results and robust qualification campaigns have tightened the 2026 FIFA World Cup winner market, with trader consensus assigning Spain and France the narrowest edges due to their exceptional squad depth and tactical cohesion. Spain's blend of emerging talents and disciplined structure, alongside France's proven resilience in knockout stages, creates competitive balance against England’s consistent major-tournament record. Favorable group draws and minimal roster disruptions sustain this bunched positioning among the leading sides, though injuries, form swings, or unexpected group-stage results remain factors that could alter implied probabilities before the July final.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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