France currently leads the 2026 FIFA World Cup winner market at 17.9% implied probability, narrowly ahead of Spain at 16.8%, with England, Brazil, and Argentina clustered just behind, reflecting a deep pool of contenders rather than a clear frontrunner. Spain’s Euro 2024 triumph and continued strong Nations League performances underscore their technical cohesion and emerging talent, while France benefits from squad depth and forward firepower despite recent transitional phases. England’s consistent qualifying results and tactical evolution under recent leadership keep them in contention, as do Brazil and Argentina’s historical pedigree and ongoing Copa America momentum. The tight spread across top European and South American sides stems from unpredictable qualification paths, injury risks to key players, and the expanded 48-team format that rewards balanced rosters and home-soil advantages for North American hosts.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоФранция 18.4%
Испания 16.8%
Англия 11.5%
Бразилия 9.2%
$1,005,429,176 Объем
$1,005,429,176 Объем
Франция
18%
Испания
17%
Англия
11%
Бразилия
9%
Аргентина
9%
Португалия
8%
Германия
5%
Нидерланды
3%
Норвегия
2%
Япония
2%
Бельгия
2%
Колумбия
2%
США
2%
Марокко
2%
Швейцария
1%
Уругвай
1%
Мексика
1%
Хорватия
1%
Эквадор
1%
Сенегал
1%
Турция
1%
Австрия
1%
Швеция
1%
Канада
<1%
Южная Корея
<1%
Парагвай
<1%
Шотландия
<1%
Кот-д’Ивуар
<1%
Египет
<1%
Ghana
<1%
Алжир
<1%
Босния и Герцеговина
<1%
Чехия
<1%
Австралия
<1%
Новая Зеландия
<1%
Гаити
<1%
Иордания
<1%
Кюрасао
<1%
Иран
<1%
Тунис
<1%
Узбекистан
<1%
Панама
<1%
Ирак
<1%
Южная Африка
<1%
ДР Конго
<1%
Кабо-Верде
<1%
Катар
<1%
Саудовская Аравия
<1%
Франция 18.4%
Испания 16.8%
Англия 11.5%
Бразилия 9.2%
$1,005,429,176 Объем
$1,005,429,176 Объем
Франция
18%
Испания
17%
Англия
11%
Бразилия
9%
Аргентина
9%
Португалия
8%
Германия
5%
Нидерланды
3%
Норвегия
2%
Япония
2%
Бельгия
2%
Колумбия
2%
США
2%
Марокко
2%
Швейцария
1%
Уругвай
1%
Мексика
1%
Хорватия
1%
Эквадор
1%
Сенегал
1%
Турция
1%
Австрия
1%
Швеция
1%
Канада
<1%
Южная Корея
<1%
Парагвай
<1%
Шотландия
<1%
Кот-д’Ивуар
<1%
Египет
<1%
Ghana
<1%
Алжир
<1%
Босния и Герцеговина
<1%
Чехия
<1%
Австралия
<1%
Новая Зеландия
<1%
Гаити
<1%
Иордания
<1%
Кюрасао
<1%
Иран
<1%
Тунис
<1%
Узбекистан
<1%
Панама
<1%
Ирак
<1%
Южная Африка
<1%
ДР Конго
<1%
Кабо-Верде
<1%
Катар
<1%
Саудовская Аравия
<1%
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Jul 2, 2025, 6:06 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...France currently leads the 2026 FIFA World Cup winner market at 17.9% implied probability, narrowly ahead of Spain at 16.8%, with England, Brazil, and Argentina clustered just behind, reflecting a deep pool of contenders rather than a clear frontrunner. Spain’s Euro 2024 triumph and continued strong Nations League performances underscore their technical cohesion and emerging talent, while France benefits from squad depth and forward firepower despite recent transitional phases. England’s consistent qualifying results and tactical evolution under recent leadership keep them in contention, as do Brazil and Argentina’s historical pedigree and ongoing Copa America momentum. The tight spread across top European and South American sides stems from unpredictable qualification paths, injury risks to key players, and the expanded 48-team format that rewards balanced rosters and home-soil advantages for North American hosts.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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