Recent European Championship success and consistent qualification results have positioned Spain and France as the frontrunners in the 2026 FIFA World Cup market, with their deep squads and tactical cohesion reflected in the tight trader consensus. Spain’s prolonged unbeaten run and young attacking talent continue to support strong implied probabilities, while France benefits from proven depth and experience in high-stakes tournaments. England’s back-to-back major final appearances keep them competitive despite slightly lower pricing. Defending champions Argentina and Brazil maintain realistic paths through historical pedigree and current form, yet the bunched probabilities among the top European sides underscore the unpredictable nature of knockout football and the impact of group-stage matchups on advancement odds.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоФранция 18.6%
Испания 16.7%
Англия 11.3%
Бразилия 9.2%
$1,011,185,649 Объем
$1,011,185,649 Объем
Франция
19%
Испания
17%
Англия
11%
Бразилия
9%
Аргентина
8%
Португалия
8%
Германия
5%
Нидерланды
3%
Норвегия
2%
Япония
2%
Бельгия
2%
Колумбия
2%
США
2%
Марокко
2%
Швейцария
1%
Уругвай
1%
Мексика
1%
Хорватия
1%
Эквадор
1%
Сенегал
1%
Турция
1%
Австрия
1%
Швеция
1%
Канада
<1%
Южная Корея
<1%
Парагвай
<1%
Шотландия
<1%
Кот-д’Ивуар
<1%
Египет
<1%
Ghana
<1%
Алжир
<1%
Босния и Герцеговина
<1%
Чехия
<1%
Австралия
<1%
Новая Зеландия
<1%
Гаити
<1%
Иордания
<1%
Кюрасао
<1%
Иран
<1%
Тунис
<1%
Узбекистан
<1%
Панама
<1%
Ирак
<1%
Южная Африка
<1%
ДР Конго
<1%
Кабо-Верде
<1%
Катар
<1%
Саудовская Аравия
<1%
Франция 18.6%
Испания 16.7%
Англия 11.3%
Бразилия 9.2%
$1,011,185,649 Объем
$1,011,185,649 Объем
Франция
19%
Испания
17%
Англия
11%
Бразилия
9%
Аргентина
8%
Португалия
8%
Германия
5%
Нидерланды
3%
Норвегия
2%
Япония
2%
Бельгия
2%
Колумбия
2%
США
2%
Марокко
2%
Швейцария
1%
Уругвай
1%
Мексика
1%
Хорватия
1%
Эквадор
1%
Сенегал
1%
Турция
1%
Австрия
1%
Швеция
1%
Канада
<1%
Южная Корея
<1%
Парагвай
<1%
Шотландия
<1%
Кот-д’Ивуар
<1%
Египет
<1%
Ghana
<1%
Алжир
<1%
Босния и Герцеговина
<1%
Чехия
<1%
Австралия
<1%
Новая Зеландия
<1%
Гаити
<1%
Иордания
<1%
Кюрасао
<1%
Иран
<1%
Тунис
<1%
Узбекистан
<1%
Панама
<1%
Ирак
<1%
Южная Африка
<1%
ДР Конго
<1%
Кабо-Верде
<1%
Катар
<1%
Саудовская Аравия
<1%
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Jul 2, 2025, 6:06 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent European Championship success and consistent qualification results have positioned Spain and France as the frontrunners in the 2026 FIFA World Cup market, with their deep squads and tactical cohesion reflected in the tight trader consensus. Spain’s prolonged unbeaten run and young attacking talent continue to support strong implied probabilities, while France benefits from proven depth and experience in high-stakes tournaments. England’s back-to-back major final appearances keep them competitive despite slightly lower pricing. Defending champions Argentina and Brazil maintain realistic paths through historical pedigree and current form, yet the bunched probabilities among the top European sides underscore the unpredictable nature of knockout football and the impact of group-stage matchups on advancement odds.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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