Jannik Sinner’s commanding position as ATP No. 1 and his elite hard-court record—55-5 over the past year with multiple recent Masters titles—anchor trader consensus at 53.5% implied probability for the 2026 US Open title. Carlos Alcaraz, the defending champion and No. 2, sits at 16% after a wrist injury that sidelined him since April and prompted his Cincinnati withdrawal, raising questions about readiness for the late-August hard-court major. Alexander Zverev (10.3%) benefits from steady top-three ranking and consistent results, while Novak Djokovic (5.1%) faces workload management at age 39. Recent form, surface specialization, and injury timelines continue to shape these probabilities ahead of the August 30 start.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоЯнник Синнер 54%
Карлос Алькарас 16%
Александр Зверев 10.3%
Новак Джокович 5.1%
$5,620,839 Объем
$5,620,839 Объем
Янник Синнер
54%
Карлос Алькарас
16%
Александр Зверев
10%
Новак Джокович
5%
Тейлор Фритц
3%
Бен Шелтон
2%
Даниил Медведев
2%
Жоау Фонсека
1%
Якуб Меншик
1%
Артур Фис
1%
Йиржи Легечка
1%
Феликс Оже-Альяссим
1%
Андрей Рублёв
1%
Александр Бублик
1%
Флавио Коболли
1%
Фрэнсис Тиафо
1%
Джек Дрэпер
<1%
Маттео Берреттини
<1%
Лоренцо Музетти
<1%
Хуберт Хуркач
<1%
Григор Димитров
<1%
Хольгер Руне
<1%
Янник Синнер 54%
Карлос Алькарас 16%
Александр Зверев 10.3%
Новак Джокович 5.1%
$5,620,839 Объем
$5,620,839 Объем
Янник Синнер
54%
Карлос Алькарас
16%
Александр Зверев
10%
Новак Джокович
5%
Тейлор Фритц
3%
Бен Шелтон
2%
Даниил Медведев
2%
Жоау Фонсека
1%
Якуб Меншик
1%
Артур Фис
1%
Йиржи Легечка
1%
Феликс Оже-Альяссим
1%
Андрей Рублёв
1%
Александр Бублик
1%
Флавио Коболли
1%
Фрэнсис Тиафо
1%
Джек Дрэпер
<1%
Маттео Берреттини
<1%
Лоренцо Музетти
<1%
Хуберт Хуркач
<1%
Григор Димитров
<1%
Хольгер Руне
<1%
This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Jan 2, 2026, 2:09 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Jannik Sinner’s commanding position as ATP No. 1 and his elite hard-court record—55-5 over the past year with multiple recent Masters titles—anchor trader consensus at 53.5% implied probability for the 2026 US Open title. Carlos Alcaraz, the defending champion and No. 2, sits at 16% after a wrist injury that sidelined him since April and prompted his Cincinnati withdrawal, raising questions about readiness for the late-August hard-court major. Alexander Zverev (10.3%) benefits from steady top-three ranking and consistent results, while Novak Djokovic (5.1%) faces workload management at age 39. Recent form, surface specialization, and injury timelines continue to shape these probabilities ahead of the August 30 start.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено


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