The demanding layout at Shinnecock Hills, with its firm turf, thick rough, and exposure to coastal winds, creates volatile first-round scoring conditions that favor no single player. Historical U.S. Open trends at this venue show first-round leaders often emerging from mid-tier or lesser-known names who capitalize on calmer early waves or hot putting streaks, keeping probabilities tightly clustered. Recent form, ball-striking consistency, and course history provide marginal edges for established names like Scottie Scheffler and Rory McIlroy, yet the market reflects broad parity as any of dozens of competitors can post a low round before afternoon gusts intensify. This dynamic sustains competitive implied probabilities across a deep field ahead of the June 18 start.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоAlex Smalley 49%
Nicolai Højgaard 49%
Gary Woodland 49%
Matt Fitzpatrick 49%
Alex Smalley
49%
Nicolai Højgaard
49%
Gary Woodland
49%
Matt Fitzpatrick
49%
Robert MacIntyre
49%
Sepp Straka
49%
Tyrrell Hatton
49%
Bud Cauley
49%
Adam Scott
49%
Carlos Ortiz
49%
Joaquin Niemann
49%
Tommy Fleetwood
49%
Jon Rahm
49%
Aaron Rai
49%
Collin Morikawa
49%
Si Woo Kim
49%
Laurie Canter
48%
Justin Thomas
47%
Sam Burns
46%
Kurt Kitayama
46%
Akshay Bhatia
46%
Viktor Hovland
46%
Kristoffer Reitan
46%
Ryan Gerard
46%
Harris English
46%
Cameron Smith
46%
Ben Griffin
46%
Scottie Scheffler
45%
Patrick Cantlay
45%
Rory McIlroy
44%
Hideki Matsuyama
44%
Min Woo Lee
44%
Keegan Bradley
42%
Jacob Bridgeman
41%
Cameron Young
41%
Daniel Berger
41%
Rickie Fowler
40%
Russell Henley
38%
Jake Knapp
37%
J.T. Poston
33%
Dustin Johnson
33%
J.J. Spaun
29%
Patrick Reed
27%
Ludvig Åberg
27%
David Puig
27%
Xander Schauffele
27%
Chris Gotterup
27%
Justin Rose
27%
Alex Noren
26%
Jordan Spieth
26%
Jason Day
26%
Maverick McNealy
26%
Bryson DeChambeau
25%
Wyndham Clark
24%
Shane Lowry
24%
Lucas Herbert
22%
Michael Kim
22%
Alex Smalley 49%
Nicolai Højgaard 49%
Gary Woodland 49%
Matt Fitzpatrick 49%
Alex Smalley
49%
Nicolai Højgaard
49%
Gary Woodland
49%
Matt Fitzpatrick
49%
Robert MacIntyre
49%
Sepp Straka
49%
Tyrrell Hatton
49%
Bud Cauley
49%
Adam Scott
49%
Carlos Ortiz
49%
Joaquin Niemann
49%
Tommy Fleetwood
49%
Jon Rahm
49%
Aaron Rai
49%
Collin Morikawa
49%
Si Woo Kim
49%
Laurie Canter
48%
Justin Thomas
47%
Sam Burns
46%
Kurt Kitayama
46%
Akshay Bhatia
46%
Viktor Hovland
46%
Kristoffer Reitan
46%
Ryan Gerard
46%
Harris English
46%
Cameron Smith
46%
Ben Griffin
46%
Scottie Scheffler
45%
Patrick Cantlay
45%
Rory McIlroy
44%
Hideki Matsuyama
44%
Min Woo Lee
44%
Keegan Bradley
42%
Jacob Bridgeman
41%
Cameron Young
41%
Daniel Berger
41%
Rickie Fowler
40%
Russell Henley
38%
Jake Knapp
37%
J.T. Poston
33%
Dustin Johnson
33%
J.J. Spaun
29%
Patrick Reed
27%
Ludvig Åberg
27%
David Puig
27%
Xander Schauffele
27%
Chris Gotterup
27%
Justin Rose
27%
Alex Noren
26%
Jordan Spieth
26%
Jason Day
26%
Maverick McNealy
26%
Bryson DeChambeau
25%
Wyndham Clark
24%
Shane Lowry
24%
Lucas Herbert
22%
Michael Kim
22%
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score on the back 9 of the first round. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more eagles thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records more birdies thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records fewer bogeys thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 US Open at Shinnecock Hills Golf Club is cancelled, postponed after July 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if an official Round 1 leader has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the US Open website (https://www.usopen.com/leaderboard).
Открытие рынка: Jun 16, 2026, 11:42 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score on the back 9 of the first round. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more eagles thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records more birdies thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records fewer bogeys thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 US Open at Shinnecock Hills Golf Club is cancelled, postponed after July 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if an official Round 1 leader has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the US Open website (https://www.usopen.com/leaderboard).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The demanding layout at Shinnecock Hills, with its firm turf, thick rough, and exposure to coastal winds, creates volatile first-round scoring conditions that favor no single player. Historical U.S. Open trends at this venue show first-round leaders often emerging from mid-tier or lesser-known names who capitalize on calmer early waves or hot putting streaks, keeping probabilities tightly clustered. Recent form, ball-striking consistency, and course history provide marginal edges for established names like Scottie Scheffler and Rory McIlroy, yet the market reflects broad parity as any of dozens of competitors can post a low round before afternoon gusts intensify. This dynamic sustains competitive implied probabilities across a deep field ahead of the June 18 start.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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