Alexi Giannoulias leads the 2027 Chicago mayoral race in trader consensus at 54.5% implied probability, driven by his August 2026 campaign launch, roughly $22 million in cash on hand, trade union endorsements, and 53% voter excitement in University of Chicago polling. Incumbent Brandon Johnson, who formally announced his re-election bid on September 13 despite 23% approval and just 13.6% support for another run, trails at 12% amid a projected $882 million budget shortfall and criticism over spending and public safety. A crowded field of more than a dozen candidates, including Susana Mendoza at 13.5%, makes a February 23 first-round majority unlikely and positions a potential April runoff as the decisive stage. Early polling shows limited separation among challengers, with fundraising gaps and name recognition currently anchoring Giannoulias ahead in the market.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоАлекси Джаннулиас 55%
Сусана Мендоса 13%
Брендон Джонсон 12%
Мэтт Брюэр 8%

Алекси Джаннулиас
55%

Сусана Мендоса
13%

Брендон Джонсон
12%

Мэтт Брюэр
8%

Джордж Карденас
7%

Майк Куигли
6%

Джо Холберг
6%

Джон Келли
5%

Кэм Бакнер
5%

Даниэль Картер-Уолтерс
4%

Уилли Уилсон
3%

Мария Паппас
3%
Алекси Джаннулиас 55%
Сусана Мендоса 13%
Брендон Джонсон 12%
Мэтт Брюэр 8%

Алекси Джаннулиас
55%

Сусана Мендоса
13%

Брендон Джонсон
12%

Мэтт Брюэр
8%

Джордж Карденас
7%

Майк Куигли
6%

Джо Холберг
6%

Джон Келли
5%

Кэм Бакнер
5%

Даниэль Картер-Уолтерс
4%

Уилли Уилсон
3%

Мария Паппас
3%
This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Chicago.
Открытие рынка: Sep 15, 2026, 1:48 PM ET
Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Chicago.
Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Alexi Giannoulias leads the 2027 Chicago mayoral race in trader consensus at 54.5% implied probability, driven by his August 2026 campaign launch, roughly $22 million in cash on hand, trade union endorsements, and 53% voter excitement in University of Chicago polling. Incumbent Brandon Johnson, who formally announced his re-election bid on September 13 despite 23% approval and just 13.6% support for another run, trails at 12% amid a projected $882 million budget shortfall and criticism over spending and public safety. A crowded field of more than a dozen candidates, including Susana Mendoza at 13.5%, makes a February 23 first-round majority unlikely and positions a potential April runoff as the decisive stage. Early polling shows limited separation among challengers, with fundraising gaps and name recognition currently anchoring Giannoulias ahead in the market.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено



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