Mailza Assis entered the second round of the Acre gubernatorial election holding a clear advantage after securing 49.76% in the first round against Alan Rick’s 32.27%, backed by her incumbency since April and a broad coalition spanning PP, União Brasil, MDB, PDT, PL, and Democratas. Recent polling from Quaest and AtlasIntel showed her support consolidating near 60-62% of valid votes in the days before the October 25 runoff, reflecting endorsements from eliminated candidates and consistent strength across municipalities including Rio Branco. These factors aligned with the trader consensus pricing a margin above 20 points as the dominant outcome, while the confirmed final tally of 66.21% to 33.79% left limited room for reversal absent procedural disputes during certification.