**Incumbent Republican Mike Rogers, long-serving chair of the House Armed Services Committee, drives trader consensus at 92% for a GOP hold in Alabama's 3rd Congressional District, a deeply red seat with strong historical Republican margins exceeding 30 points.** Recent primary filings confirm Rogers faces minimal intra-party opposition ahead of the May 19 Republican primary for unchanged districts, bolstered by his early re-election announcement and alignment with conservative priorities on defense and border security. Democrat Lee McInnis advances unopposed but enters a district where Trump carried over 70% in recent cycles. While commanding odds reflect incumbency advantages and weak Democratic turnout in safe seats, shifts could arise from a late scandal, health event, or national midterm wave flipping battlegrounds, though structural barriers remain high.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоAL-03 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
AL-03 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
$15,867 Объем
$15,867 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Республиканская партия
92%
Демократическая партия
8%
$15,867 Объем
$15,867 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Республиканская партия
$8,731 Объем
92%
Демократическая партия
$7,136 Объем
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Incumbent Republican Mike Rogers, long-serving chair of the House Armed Services Committee, drives trader consensus at 92% for a GOP hold in Alabama's 3rd Congressional District, a deeply red seat with strong historical Republican margins exceeding 30 points.** Recent primary filings confirm Rogers faces minimal intra-party opposition ahead of the May 19 Republican primary for unchanged districts, bolstered by his early re-election announcement and alignment with conservative priorities on defense and border security. Democrat Lee McInnis advances unopposed but enters a district where Trump carried over 70% in recent cycles. While commanding odds reflect incumbency advantages and weak Democratic turnout in safe seats, shifts could arise from a late scandal, health event, or national midterm wave flipping battlegrounds, though structural barriers remain high.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
Объем
$15,867Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Incumbent Republican Mike Rogers, long-serving chair of the House Armed Services Committee, drives trader consensus at 92% for a GOP hold in Alabama's 3rd Congressional District, a deeply red seat with strong historical Republican margins exceeding 30 points.** Recent primary filings confirm Rogers faces minimal intra-party opposition ahead of the May 19 Republican primary for unchanged districts, bolstered by his early re-election announcement and alignment with conservative priorities on defense and border security. Democrat Lee McInnis advances unopposed but enters a district where Trump carried over 70% in recent cycles. While commanding odds reflect incumbency advantages and weak Democratic turnout in safe seats, shifts could arise from a late scandal, health event, or national midterm wave flipping battlegrounds, though structural barriers remain high.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$15,867Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...**Incumbent Republican Mike Rogers, long-serving chair of the House Armed Services Committee, drives trader consensus at 92% for a GOP hold in Alabama's 3rd Congressional District, a deeply red seat with strong historical Republican margins exceeding 30 points.** Recent primary filings confirm Rogers faces minimal intra-party opposition ahead of the May 19 Republican primary for unchanged districts, bolstered by his early re-election announcement and alignment with conservative priorities on defense and border security. Democrat Lee McInnis advances unopposed but enters a district where Trump carried over 70% in recent cycles. While commanding odds reflect incumbency advantages and weak Democratic turnout in safe seats, shifts could arise from a late scandal, health event, or national midterm wave flipping battlegrounds, though structural barriers remain high.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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