Omar Aziz (PSD) holds the strongest position in trader pricing due to consistent leads in recent polling, including a July Projeta survey showing him at 27% against Roberto Cidade at 23.4%, with David Almeida and Professora Maria do Carmo clustered lower. Multiple parties including PT, PCdoB, and PV have formalized alliances behind Aziz, bolstering his path in the first round. Cidade benefits from incumbency as current governor, while Almeida faces elevated rejection levels that compress his support. The fragmented field among challengers sustains uncertainty over a potential October runoff, with no single opponent consolidating enough to threaten Aziz's frontrunner status decisively. Late shifts in voter turnout or coalition negotiations could still alter the implied probabilities reflected in current market prices.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоРоберто Сидаде 45%
Давид Алмейда 43%
Кабо Даçiоло 41%
Гилберто Васконселос 8%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
4 окт. 2026 г.
Роберто Сидаде
45%
Давид Алмейда
43%
Кабо Даçiоло
41%
Гилберто Васконселос
8%
Исаэль Мундуруку
7%
Омар Азиз
53%
Профессор Мария ду Карму
53%
Роберто Сидаде 45%
Давид Алмейда 43%
Кабо Даçiоло 41%
Гилберто Васконселос 8%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
4 окт. 2026 г.
Роберто Сидаде
$0 Объем
45%
Давид Алмейда
$0 Объем
43%
Кабо Даçiоло
$0 Объем
41%
Гилберто Васконселос
$20 Объем
8%
Исаэль Мундуруку
$25 Объем
7%
Омар Азиз
$21 Объем
53%
Профессор Мария ду Карму
$21 Объем
53%
The Amazonas gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Omar Aziz (PSD) holds the strongest position in trader pricing due to consistent leads in recent polling, including a July Projeta survey showing him at 27% against Roberto Cidade at 23.4%, with David Almeida and Professora Maria do Carmo clustered lower. Multiple parties including PT, PCdoB, and PV have formalized alliances behind Aziz, bolstering his path in the first round. Cidade benefits from incumbency as current governor, while Almeida faces elevated rejection levels that compress his support. The fragmented field among challengers sustains uncertainty over a potential October runoff, with no single opponent consolidating enough to threaten Aziz's frontrunner status decisively. Late shifts in voter turnout or coalition negotiations could still alter the implied probabilities reflected in current market prices.
The Amazonas gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Открытие рынка: Aug 17, 2026, 5:28 AM ET
Объем
$87Дата окончания
4 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 17, 2026, 5:28 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Amazonas gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Omar Aziz (PSD) holds the strongest position in trader pricing due to consistent leads in recent polling, including a July Projeta survey showing him at 27% against Roberto Cidade at 23.4%, with David Almeida and Professora Maria do Carmo clustered lower. Multiple parties including PT, PCdoB, and PV have formalized alliances behind Aziz, bolstering his path in the first round. Cidade benefits from incumbency as current governor, while Almeida faces elevated rejection levels that compress his support. The fragmented field among challengers sustains uncertainty over a potential October runoff, with no single opponent consolidating enough to threaten Aziz's frontrunner status decisively. Late shifts in voter turnout or coalition negotiations could still alter the implied probabilities reflected in current market prices.
The Amazonas gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Объем
$87Дата окончания
4 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 17, 2026, 5:28 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Omar Aziz (PSD) holds the strongest position in trader pricing due to consistent leads in recent polling, including a July Projeta survey showing him at 27% against Roberto Cidade at 23.4%, with David Almeida and Professora Maria do Carmo clustered lower. Multiple parties including PT, PCdoB, and PV have formalized alliances behind Aziz, bolstering his path in the first round. Cidade benefits from incumbency as current governor, while Almeida faces elevated rejection levels that compress his support. The fragmented field among challengers sustains uncertainty over a potential October runoff, with no single opponent consolidating enough to threaten Aziz's frontrunner status decisively. Late shifts in voter turnout or coalition negotiations could still alter the implied probabilities reflected in current market prices.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы