Polling averages from the final surveys published on May 11, 2026—the last day permitted under electoral law—place the Partido Popular (PP) at around 43% of the vote, projecting 55 or more seats in the 109-seat Parliament of Andalusia, on the cusp of an absolute majority. Incumbent president Juanma Moreno benefits from strong approval amid economic stability and governance record, while PSOE-A candidate María Jesús Montero faces historical lows near 23-24%, compounded by fragmented left-wing votes split among Por Andalucía and Adelante Andalucía. Vox trails at 14-15%. This trader consensus, implying near-certainty for PP as the winner on May 17, stems from consistent poll trends over the past month; rare challenges could arise from differential turnout favoring opposition or unforeseen scandals in the final days.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоPP 99.4%
PSOE-A <1%
VOX <1%
PA <1%
$91,577 Объем
$91,577 Объем
17 мая 2026 г.
PP
99%
PSOE-A
<1%
VOX
<1%
PA
<1%
AA
<1%
PP 99.4%
PSOE-A <1%
VOX <1%
PA <1%
$91,577 Объем
$91,577 Объем
17 мая 2026 г.
PP
$28,133 Объем
99%
PSOE-A
$30,252 Объем
<1%
VOX
$24,647 Объем
<1%
PA
$4,119 Объем
<1%
AA
$4,426 Объем
<1%
Elections for the autonomous community of Andalusia’s unicameral parliament are scheduled for May 17, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party/coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Parliament of Andalusia as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the listed party or coalition.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. If that also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Spanish Junta Electoral Central (JEC) (https://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/inicio).
Note: If a listed coalition splits prior to this election and does not contest this election as a unified coalition, the corresponding market will represent the party formerly in that coalition that holds the greatest number of seats in the Parliament of Andalusia at the time of the split.Polling averages from the final surveys published on May 11, 2026—the last day permitted under electoral law—place the Partido Popular (PP) at around 43% of the vote, projecting 55 or more seats in the 109-seat Parliament of Andalusia, on the cusp of an absolute majority. Incumbent president Juanma Moreno benefits from strong approval amid economic stability and governance record, while PSOE-A candidate María Jesús Montero faces historical lows near 23-24%, compounded by fragmented left-wing votes split among Por Andalucía and Adelante Andalucía. Vox trails at 14-15%. This trader consensus, implying near-certainty for PP as the winner on May 17, stems from consistent poll trends over the past month; rare challenges could arise from differential turnout favoring opposition or unforeseen scandals in the final days.
Elections for the autonomous community of Andalusia’s unicameral parliament are scheduled for May 17, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party/coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Parliament of Andalusia as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the listed party or coalition.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. If that also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Spanish Junta Electoral Central (JEC) (https://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/inicio).
Note: If a listed coalition splits prior to this election and does not contest this election as a unified coalition, the corresponding market will represent the party formerly in that coalition that holds the greatest number of seats in the Parliament of Andalusia at the time of the split.
This market will resolve according to the political party/coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Parliament of Andalusia as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the listed party or coalition.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. If that also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Spanish Junta Electoral Central (JEC) (https://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/inicio).
Note: If a listed coalition splits prior to this election and does not contest this election as a unified coalition, the corresponding market will represent the party formerly in that coalition that holds the greatest number of seats in the Parliament of Andalusia at the time of the split.
Открытие рынка: Apr 16, 2026, 7:37 PM ET
Объем
$91,577Дата окончания
17 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 16, 2026, 7:37 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Elections for the autonomous community of Andalusia’s unicameral parliament are scheduled for May 17, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party/coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Parliament of Andalusia as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the listed party or coalition.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. If that also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Spanish Junta Electoral Central (JEC) (https://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/inicio).
Note: If a listed coalition splits prior to this election and does not contest this election as a unified coalition, the corresponding market will represent the party formerly in that coalition that holds the greatest number of seats in the Parliament of Andalusia at the time of the split.Polling averages from the final surveys published on May 11, 2026—the last day permitted under electoral law—place the Partido Popular (PP) at around 43% of the vote, projecting 55 or more seats in the 109-seat Parliament of Andalusia, on the cusp of an absolute majority. Incumbent president Juanma Moreno benefits from strong approval amid economic stability and governance record, while PSOE-A candidate María Jesús Montero faces historical lows near 23-24%, compounded by fragmented left-wing votes split among Por Andalucía and Adelante Andalucía. Vox trails at 14-15%. This trader consensus, implying near-certainty for PP as the winner on May 17, stems from consistent poll trends over the past month; rare challenges could arise from differential turnout favoring opposition or unforeseen scandals in the final days.
Elections for the autonomous community of Andalusia’s unicameral parliament are scheduled for May 17, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party/coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Parliament of Andalusia as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the listed party or coalition.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. If that also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Spanish Junta Electoral Central (JEC) (https://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/inicio).
Note: If a listed coalition splits prior to this election and does not contest this election as a unified coalition, the corresponding market will represent the party formerly in that coalition that holds the greatest number of seats in the Parliament of Andalusia at the time of the split.
This market will resolve according to the political party/coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Parliament of Andalusia as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the listed party or coalition.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. If that also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Spanish Junta Electoral Central (JEC) (https://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/inicio).
Note: If a listed coalition splits prior to this election and does not contest this election as a unified coalition, the corresponding market will represent the party formerly in that coalition that holds the greatest number of seats in the Parliament of Andalusia at the time of the split.
Объем
$91,577Дата окончания
17 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 16, 2026, 7:37 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Polling averages from the final surveys published on May 11, 2026—the last day permitted under electoral law—place the Partido Popular (PP) at around 43% of the vote, projecting 55 or more seats in the 109-seat Parliament of Andalusia, on the cusp of an absolute majority. Incumbent president Juanma Moreno benefits from strong approval amid economic stability and governance record, while PSOE-A candidate María Jesús Montero faces historical lows near 23-24%, compounded by fragmented left-wing votes split among Por Andalucía and Adelante Andalucía. Vox trails at 14-15%. This trader consensus, implying near-certainty for PP as the winner on May 17, stems from consistent poll trends over the past month; rare challenges could arise from differential turnout favoring opposition or unforeseen scandals in the final days.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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