Prime Minister Mark Carney's Liberal government secured a parliamentary majority in early April 2026 by-elections, converting a slim minority into stable control of the House of Commons and eliminating risks of a no-confidence vote that could force a snap election. With the fixed federal election date set for 2029, traders price "No" at 98.8%, reflecting consensus on this newfound governing stability amid ongoing focus on trade tensions and domestic priorities. No recent prorogation signals or opposition challenges have emerged in the past month. Realistic shifts would require major disruptions like a sudden scandal, leadership revolt within Liberals, or economic crisis prompting dissolution before June 30.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоДа
$80,456 Объем
$80,456 Объем
30 июн. 2026 г.
Да
$80,456 Объем
$80,456 Объем
30 июн. 2026 г.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Canadian federal election is officially scheduled for a date prior to October 2029, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2025 an election is scheduled for November 23, 2026, this market will resolve to "Yes").
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Prime Minister Mark Carney's Liberal government secured a parliamentary majority in early April 2026 by-elections, converting a slim minority into stable control of the House of Commons and eliminating risks of a no-confidence vote that could force a snap election. With the fixed federal election date set for 2029, traders price "No" at 98.8%, reflecting consensus on this newfound governing stability amid ongoing focus on trade tensions and domestic priorities. No recent prorogation signals or opposition challenges have emerged in the past month. Realistic shifts would require major disruptions like a sudden scandal, leadership revolt within Liberals, or economic crisis prompting dissolution before June 30.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Canadian federal election is officially scheduled for a date prior to October 2029, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2025 an election is scheduled for November 23, 2026, this market will resolve to "Yes").
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2025 an election is scheduled for November 23, 2026, this market will resolve to "Yes").
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Открытие рынка: Nov 24, 2025, 3:34 PM ET
Объем
$80,456Дата окончания
30 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Nov 24, 2025, 3:34 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Canadian federal election is officially scheduled for a date prior to October 2029, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2025 an election is scheduled for November 23, 2026, this market will resolve to "Yes").
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Prime Minister Mark Carney's Liberal government secured a parliamentary majority in early April 2026 by-elections, converting a slim minority into stable control of the House of Commons and eliminating risks of a no-confidence vote that could force a snap election. With the fixed federal election date set for 2029, traders price "No" at 98.8%, reflecting consensus on this newfound governing stability amid ongoing focus on trade tensions and domestic priorities. No recent prorogation signals or opposition challenges have emerged in the past month. Realistic shifts would require major disruptions like a sudden scandal, leadership revolt within Liberals, or economic crisis prompting dissolution before June 30.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Canadian federal election is officially scheduled for a date prior to October 2029, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2025 an election is scheduled for November 23, 2026, this market will resolve to "Yes").
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2025 an election is scheduled for November 23, 2026, this market will resolve to "Yes").
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Объем
$80,456Дата окончания
30 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Nov 24, 2025, 3:34 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Prime Minister Mark Carney's Liberal government secured a parliamentary majority in early April 2026 by-elections, converting a slim minority into stable control of the House of Commons and eliminating risks of a no-confidence vote that could force a snap election. With the fixed federal election date set for 2029, traders price "No" at 98.8%, reflecting consensus on this newfound governing stability amid ongoing focus on trade tensions and domestic priorities. No recent prorogation signals or opposition challenges have emerged in the past month. Realistic shifts would require major disruptions like a sudden scandal, leadership revolt within Liberals, or economic crisis prompting dissolution before June 30.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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