No EU member state has invoked Article 50 or advanced a binding referendum on withdrawal since the United Kingdom's 2020 departure, keeping the implied probability of any exit before 2027 at just 5.5 percent. Recent statements from Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orbán explicitly ruled out departure while criticizing EU leadership, and pro-EU polling in Poland dismissed Polexit speculation in early 2026. French eurosceptic marches in February drew limited support without shifting National Rally policy toward exit. Economic interdependence and institutional barriers continue to outweigh isolated rhetoric, though sudden shifts in national elections or external crises could still introduce volatility before the deadline.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоЛюбая страна выходит из ЕС до 2027 года?
Любая страна выходит из ЕС до 2027 года?
Да
$138,092 Объем
$138,092 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
Да
$138,092 Объем
$138,092 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any European Union (EU) member state withdraws from the EU by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An EU member state will be considered to have withdrawn once they officially initiate their withdrawal and/or formally notify the European Council of their intention to withdraw, regardless of whether the withdrawal is finalized after this market’s timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the European Union and EU member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.No EU member state has invoked Article 50 or advanced a binding referendum on withdrawal since the United Kingdom's 2020 departure, keeping the implied probability of any exit before 2027 at just 5.5 percent. Recent statements from Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orbán explicitly ruled out departure while criticizing EU leadership, and pro-EU polling in Poland dismissed Polexit speculation in early 2026. French eurosceptic marches in February drew limited support without shifting National Rally policy toward exit. Economic interdependence and institutional barriers continue to outweigh isolated rhetoric, though sudden shifts in national elections or external crises could still introduce volatility before the deadline.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any European Union (EU) member state withdraws from the EU by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An EU member state will be considered to have withdrawn once they officially initiate their withdrawal and/or formally notify the European Council of their intention to withdraw, regardless of whether the withdrawal is finalized after this market’s timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the European Union and EU member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An EU member state will be considered to have withdrawn once they officially initiate their withdrawal and/or formally notify the European Council of their intention to withdraw, regardless of whether the withdrawal is finalized after this market’s timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the European Union and EU member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Dec 7, 2025, 7:10 PM ET
Объем
$138,092Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Dec 7, 2025, 7:10 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if any European Union (EU) member state withdraws from the EU by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An EU member state will be considered to have withdrawn once they officially initiate their withdrawal and/or formally notify the European Council of their intention to withdraw, regardless of whether the withdrawal is finalized after this market’s timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the European Union and EU member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.No EU member state has invoked Article 50 or advanced a binding referendum on withdrawal since the United Kingdom's 2020 departure, keeping the implied probability of any exit before 2027 at just 5.5 percent. Recent statements from Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orbán explicitly ruled out departure while criticizing EU leadership, and pro-EU polling in Poland dismissed Polexit speculation in early 2026. French eurosceptic marches in February drew limited support without shifting National Rally policy toward exit. Economic interdependence and institutional barriers continue to outweigh isolated rhetoric, though sudden shifts in national elections or external crises could still introduce volatility before the deadline.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any European Union (EU) member state withdraws from the EU by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An EU member state will be considered to have withdrawn once they officially initiate their withdrawal and/or formally notify the European Council of their intention to withdraw, regardless of whether the withdrawal is finalized after this market’s timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the European Union and EU member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An EU member state will be considered to have withdrawn once they officially initiate their withdrawal and/or formally notify the European Council of their intention to withdraw, regardless of whether the withdrawal is finalized after this market’s timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the European Union and EU member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$138,092Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Dec 7, 2025, 7:10 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...No EU member state has invoked Article 50 or advanced a binding referendum on withdrawal since the United Kingdom's 2020 departure, keeping the implied probability of any exit before 2027 at just 5.5 percent. Recent statements from Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orbán explicitly ruled out departure while criticizing EU leadership, and pro-EU polling in Poland dismissed Polexit speculation in early 2026. French eurosceptic marches in February drew limited support without shifting National Rally policy toward exit. Economic interdependence and institutional barriers continue to outweigh isolated rhetoric, though sudden shifts in national elections or external crises could still introduce volatility before the deadline.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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