Incumbent Democrat Greg Stanton secured the party's nomination in the July 21, 2026, primary with 62.3% of the vote and now faces Republican nominee Zuhdi Jasser in the November general election for Arizona's 4th congressional district. The Phoenix-area seat, encompassing Tempe, Mesa, and Chandler, has demonstrated consistent Democratic leanings, with Stanton winning reelection in 2024 by roughly seven points and similar margins in recent cycles. This partisan baseline, combined with incumbency advantages and the absence of major post-primary disruptions, underpins trader consensus reflected in the current odds. Late developments such as a national midterm shift, turnout surges among Republican voters, or unforeseen candidate-specific events could still alter the trajectory before election day.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоAZ-04 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
AZ-04 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
$30,232 Объем
$30,232 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
93%
Республиканская партия
7%
$30,232 Объем
$30,232 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
$23,393 Объем
93%
Республиканская партия
$6,839 Объем
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Greg Stanton secured the party's nomination in the July 21, 2026, primary with 62.3% of the vote and now faces Republican nominee Zuhdi Jasser in the November general election for Arizona's 4th congressional district. The Phoenix-area seat, encompassing Tempe, Mesa, and Chandler, has demonstrated consistent Democratic leanings, with Stanton winning reelection in 2024 by roughly seven points and similar margins in recent cycles. This partisan baseline, combined with incumbency advantages and the absence of major post-primary disruptions, underpins trader consensus reflected in the current odds. Late developments such as a national midterm shift, turnout surges among Republican voters, or unforeseen candidate-specific events could still alter the trajectory before election day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
Объем
$30,232Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Greg Stanton secured the party's nomination in the July 21, 2026, primary with 62.3% of the vote and now faces Republican nominee Zuhdi Jasser in the November general election for Arizona's 4th congressional district. The Phoenix-area seat, encompassing Tempe, Mesa, and Chandler, has demonstrated consistent Democratic leanings, with Stanton winning reelection in 2024 by roughly seven points and similar margins in recent cycles. This partisan baseline, combined with incumbency advantages and the absence of major post-primary disruptions, underpins trader consensus reflected in the current odds. Late developments such as a national midterm shift, turnout surges among Republican voters, or unforeseen candidate-specific events could still alter the trajectory before election day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$30,232Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Greg Stanton secured the party's nomination in the July 21, 2026, primary with 62.3% of the vote and now faces Republican nominee Zuhdi Jasser in the November general election for Arizona's 4th congressional district. The Phoenix-area seat, encompassing Tempe, Mesa, and Chandler, has demonstrated consistent Democratic leanings, with Stanton winning reelection in 2024 by roughly seven points and similar margins in recent cycles. This partisan baseline, combined with incumbency advantages and the absence of major post-primary disruptions, underpins trader consensus reflected in the current odds. Late developments such as a national midterm shift, turnout surges among Republican voters, or unforeseen candidate-specific events could still alter the trajectory before election day.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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