Harry Kane leads Ballon d'Or 2026 trader sentiment at 30.6% implied probability due to his record goal output and domestic honors with Bayern Munich in the 2025-26 campaign, positioning the England captain as the standout individual performer heading into the World Cup. Kylian Mbappé (12.5%), Lamine Yamal (11.0%), Michael Olise (10.5%), and Ousmane Dembélé (9.3%) follow, reflecting strong club seasons at Real Madrid, Barcelona, and PSG alongside France's depth. Vitinha (8.0%) and others benefit from similar European consistency. The approaching World Cup represents the primary near-term variable that could elevate or diminish candidates based on national team results and standout performances.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоBallon d'Or Winner 2026
Ballon d'Or Winner 2026
Kylian Mbappé 26%
Harry Kane 21.6%
Ousmane Dembélé 12.8%
Lionel Messi 11.5%
$4,902,254 Объем
$4,902,254 Объем
31 окт. 2026 г.
Kylian Mbappé
26%
Harry Kane
22%
Ousmane Dembélé
13%
Lionel Messi
12%
Michael Olise
9%
Lamine Yamal
9%
Vitinha
3%
Vinícius Júnior
3%
Declan Rice
2%
Cristiano Ronaldo
2%
Bruno Fernandes
2%
Achraf Hakimi
2%
Erling Haaland
1%
Lautaro Martinez
1%
Pedri
1%
Luis Diaz
<1%
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
<1%
Mohamed Salah
<1%
Cole Palmer
<1%
Jude Bellingham
<1%
Julian Alvarez
<1%
Raphinha
<1%
Federico Valverde
<1%
Desire Doue
<1%
Dominik Szoboszlai
<1%
Kylian Mbappé 26%
Harry Kane 21.6%
Ousmane Dembélé 12.8%
Lionel Messi 11.5%
$4,902,254 Объем
$4,902,254 Объем
31 окт. 2026 г.
Kylian Mbappé
$195,718 Объем
26%
Harry Kane
$785,870 Объем
22%
Ousmane Dembélé
$608,921 Объем
13%
Lionel Messi
$49,779 Объем
12%
Michael Olise
$123,893 Объем
9%
Lamine Yamal
$110,428 Объем
9%
Vitinha
$85,804 Объем
3%
Vinícius Júnior
$499,301 Объем
3%
Declan Rice
$88,533 Объем
2%
Cristiano Ronaldo
$94,517 Объем
2%
Bruno Fernandes
$68,967 Объем
2%
Achraf Hakimi
$48,976 Объем
2%
Erling Haaland
$302,755 Объем
1%
Lautaro Martinez
$59,359 Объем
1%
Pedri
$303,977 Объем
1%
Luis Diaz
$57,765 Объем
<1%
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
$95,056 Объем
<1%
Mohamed Salah
$459,671 Объем
<1%
Cole Palmer
$221,434 Объем
<1%
Jude Bellingham
$295,524 Объем
<1%
Julian Alvarez
$60,635 Объем
<1%
Raphinha
$79,775 Объем
<1%
Federico Valverde
$52,031 Объем
<1%
Desire Doue
$48,858 Объем
<1%
Dominik Szoboszlai
$104,709 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).Harry Kane leads Ballon d'Or 2026 trader sentiment at 30.6% implied probability due to his record goal output and domestic honors with Bayern Munich in the 2025-26 campaign, positioning the England captain as the standout individual performer heading into the World Cup. Kylian Mbappé (12.5%), Lamine Yamal (11.0%), Michael Olise (10.5%), and Ousmane Dembélé (9.3%) follow, reflecting strong club seasons at Real Madrid, Barcelona, and PSG alongside France's depth. Vitinha (8.0%) and others benefit from similar European consistency. The approaching World Cup represents the primary near-term variable that could elevate or diminish candidates based on national team results and standout performances.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
Открытие рынка: Sep 22, 2025, 7:24 PM ET
Объем
$4,902,254Дата окончания
31 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 22, 2025, 7:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).Harry Kane leads Ballon d'Or 2026 trader sentiment at 30.6% implied probability due to his record goal output and domestic honors with Bayern Munich in the 2025-26 campaign, positioning the England captain as the standout individual performer heading into the World Cup. Kylian Mbappé (12.5%), Lamine Yamal (11.0%), Michael Olise (10.5%), and Ousmane Dembélé (9.3%) follow, reflecting strong club seasons at Real Madrid, Barcelona, and PSG alongside France's depth. Vitinha (8.0%) and others benefit from similar European consistency. The approaching World Cup represents the primary near-term variable that could elevate or diminish candidates based on national team results and standout performances.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
Объем
$4,902,254Дата окончания
31 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 22, 2025, 7:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Harry Kane leads Ballon d'Or 2026 trader sentiment at 30.6% implied probability due to his record goal output and domestic honors with Bayern Munich in the 2025-26 campaign, positioning the England captain as the standout individual performer heading into the World Cup. Kylian Mbappé (12.5%), Lamine Yamal (11.0%), Michael Olise (10.5%), and Ousmane Dembélé (9.3%) follow, reflecting strong club seasons at Real Madrid, Barcelona, and PSG alongside France's depth. Vitinha (8.0%) and others benefit from similar European consistency. The approaching World Cup represents the primary near-term variable that could elevate or diminish candidates based on national team results and standout performances.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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