Rising energy prices from the Middle East conflict have pushed UK CPI inflation to 3.3% as of March 2026, prompting the Bank of England’s Monetary Policy Committee to hold Bank Rate at 3.75% in its April decision while signaling upside risks to second-round wage and price effects. Markets now price in roughly 60 basis points of tightening by year-end, shifting from earlier expectations of cuts, as oil prices remain elevated near $108 per barrel and the Bank’s scenarios project inflation climbing further in the second half of 2026. This backdrop underpins the 70% market-implied probability of at least one rate hike during the year. The June 18 Monetary Policy Committee meeting and upcoming CPI releases will provide key updates on whether persistent inflationary pressures outweigh the loosening labor market.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоДа
$27,800 Объем
$27,800 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
Да
$27,800 Объем
$27,800 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Bank of England's Bank Rate is increased at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET has passed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Rising energy prices from the Middle East conflict have pushed UK CPI inflation to 3.3% as of March 2026, prompting the Bank of England’s Monetary Policy Committee to hold Bank Rate at 3.75% in its April decision while signaling upside risks to second-round wage and price effects. Markets now price in roughly 60 basis points of tightening by year-end, shifting from earlier expectations of cuts, as oil prices remain elevated near $108 per barrel and the Bank’s scenarios project inflation climbing further in the second half of 2026. This backdrop underpins the 70% market-implied probability of at least one rate hike during the year. The June 18 Monetary Policy Committee meeting and upcoming CPI releases will provide key updates on whether persistent inflationary pressures outweigh the loosening labor market.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Bank of England's Bank Rate is increased at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET has passed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may not resolve to "No" until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET has passed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Feb 26, 2026, 6:44 PM ET
Объем
$27,800Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Feb 26, 2026, 6:44 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Bank of England's Bank Rate is increased at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET has passed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Rising energy prices from the Middle East conflict have pushed UK CPI inflation to 3.3% as of March 2026, prompting the Bank of England’s Monetary Policy Committee to hold Bank Rate at 3.75% in its April decision while signaling upside risks to second-round wage and price effects. Markets now price in roughly 60 basis points of tightening by year-end, shifting from earlier expectations of cuts, as oil prices remain elevated near $108 per barrel and the Bank’s scenarios project inflation climbing further in the second half of 2026. This backdrop underpins the 70% market-implied probability of at least one rate hike during the year. The June 18 Monetary Policy Committee meeting and upcoming CPI releases will provide key updates on whether persistent inflationary pressures outweigh the loosening labor market.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Bank of England's Bank Rate is increased at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET has passed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may not resolve to "No" until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET has passed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$27,800Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Feb 26, 2026, 6:44 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Rising energy prices from the Middle East conflict have pushed UK CPI inflation to 3.3% as of March 2026, prompting the Bank of England’s Monetary Policy Committee to hold Bank Rate at 3.75% in its April decision while signaling upside risks to second-round wage and price effects. Markets now price in roughly 60 basis points of tightening by year-end, shifting from earlier expectations of cuts, as oil prices remain elevated near $108 per barrel and the Bank’s scenarios project inflation climbing further in the second half of 2026. This backdrop underpins the 70% market-implied probability of at least one rate hike during the year. The June 18 Monetary Policy Committee meeting and upcoming CPI releases will provide key updates on whether persistent inflationary pressures outweigh the loosening labor market.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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