Incumbent President Iliana Iotova commands trader consensus at 60.5% implied probability to win Bulgaria's autumn 2026 presidential election, bolstered by her eligibility for a full term and the April 19 parliamentary landslide by former President Rumen Radev's Progressive Bulgaria party, which secured a rare single-party majority. Iotova, a Bulgarian Socialist Party veteran who assumed the presidency after Radev's January resignation, handed him an exploratory mandate to form a government on May 5, signaling alignment that has consolidated support amid voter fatigue with prior instability. Pro-EU challengers Vassil Terziev, Sofia's mayor from We Continue the Change-Democratic Bulgaria at 16.1%, and former PM Nikolai Denkov at 12.0% lag, hampered by their coalition's parliamentary rout. GERB's Rosen Zhelyazkov (4.5%) and Boyko Borissov (2.5%) face uphill battles in the two-round system requiring over 50% in the first or a runoff victory. No new polls have emerged in the past week, leaving odds vulnerable to candidate announcements and endorsements.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПрезидентские выборы в Болгарии
Президентские выборы в Болгарии
Илияна Йотова 61%
Васил Терзиев 14.8%
Николай Денков 12%
Росен Желязков 5%
$101,106 Объем
$101,106 Объем

Илияна Йотова
61%

Васил Терзиев
15%

Николай Денков
12%

Росен Желязков
5%

Бойко Борисов
3%

Благомир Коцев
<1%

Костадин Костадинов
<1%

Атанас Атанасов
<1%

Делян Пеевский
<1%

Росен Плевнелиев
<1%

Крум Зарков
<1%

Янаки Стоилов
<1%

Наталия Киселова
<1%
Илияна Йотова 61%
Васил Терзиев 14.8%
Николай Денков 12%
Росен Желязков 5%
$101,106 Объем
$101,106 Объем

Илияна Йотова
61%

Васил Терзиев
15%

Николай Денков
12%

Росен Желязков
5%

Бойко Борисов
3%

Благомир Коцев
<1%

Костадин Костадинов
<1%

Атанас Атанасов
<1%

Делян Пеевский
<1%

Росен Плевнелиев
<1%

Крум Зарков
<1%

Янаки Стоилов
<1%

Наталия Киселова
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next presidential election in Bulgaria.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission (Centralna izbiratelna komisia, CEC) (www.cik.bg/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 19, 2026, 3:12 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next presidential election in Bulgaria.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission (Centralna izbiratelna komisia, CEC) (www.cik.bg/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent President Iliana Iotova commands trader consensus at 60.5% implied probability to win Bulgaria's autumn 2026 presidential election, bolstered by her eligibility for a full term and the April 19 parliamentary landslide by former President Rumen Radev's Progressive Bulgaria party, which secured a rare single-party majority. Iotova, a Bulgarian Socialist Party veteran who assumed the presidency after Radev's January resignation, handed him an exploratory mandate to form a government on May 5, signaling alignment that has consolidated support amid voter fatigue with prior instability. Pro-EU challengers Vassil Terziev, Sofia's mayor from We Continue the Change-Democratic Bulgaria at 16.1%, and former PM Nikolai Denkov at 12.0% lag, hampered by their coalition's parliamentary rout. GERB's Rosen Zhelyazkov (4.5%) and Boyko Borissov (2.5%) face uphill battles in the two-round system requiring over 50% in the first or a runoff victory. No new polls have emerged in the past week, leaving odds vulnerable to candidate announcements and endorsements.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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