California's 3rd Congressional District nonpartisan top-two primary on June 2 will determine the two general election candidates, with early voting underway since May 4 showing Republicans narrowly leading ballot returns despite Democratic voter registration edges. Incumbent Ami Bera (D), who shifted into the redrawn district after Proposition 50's 2025 mid-decade remap boosted its Safe Democratic lean by adding Sacramento areas and trimming GOP strongholds, dominates fundraising with over $850,000 raised and stands as the clear frontrunner. A crowded Democratic field—including challengers Chris Bennett, Heidi Hall, and Lyndon Cervantes—competes for second place, while Republicans Christine Bish, Robb Tucker (endorsed by former Rep. Kevin Kiley), and inactive Laura Koscki trail; traders watch turnout and late polls for potential top-two surprises in this low-turnout primary.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоCA-03 Primary Winners
CA-03 Primary Winners
Ami Bera
93%
Robb Tucker
70%
Christine Bish
24%
Heidi Hall
17%
Chris Bennett
7%
Laura Koscki
6%
Chris Richardson
4%
Lyndon Cervantes
4%
$4,465 Объем
Ami Bera
93%
Robb Tucker
70%
Christine Bish
24%
Heidi Hall
17%
Chris Bennett
7%
Laura Koscki
6%
Chris Richardson
4%
Lyndon Cervantes
4%
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 3rd congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Открытие рынка: Apr 22, 2026, 1:01 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 3rd congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...California's 3rd Congressional District nonpartisan top-two primary on June 2 will determine the two general election candidates, with early voting underway since May 4 showing Republicans narrowly leading ballot returns despite Democratic voter registration edges. Incumbent Ami Bera (D), who shifted into the redrawn district after Proposition 50's 2025 mid-decade remap boosted its Safe Democratic lean by adding Sacramento areas and trimming GOP strongholds, dominates fundraising with over $850,000 raised and stands as the clear frontrunner. A crowded Democratic field—including challengers Chris Bennett, Heidi Hall, and Lyndon Cervantes—competes for second place, while Republicans Christine Bish, Robb Tucker (endorsed by former Rep. Kevin Kiley), and inactive Laura Koscki trail; traders watch turnout and late polls for potential top-two surprises in this low-turnout primary.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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