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CA-03 Primary Winners

icon for CA-03 Primary Winners

CA-03 Primary Winners

НОВОЕ
2 июн. 2026 г.
Polymarket

$4,465 Объем

Polymarket

Ami Bera

$459 Объем

93%

Robb Tucker

$1,972 Объем

70%

Christine Bish

$1,125 Объем

24%

Heidi Hall

$452 Объем

17%

Chris Bennett

$258 Объем

7%

Laura Koscki

$73 Объем

6%

Chris Richardson

$125 Объем

4%

Lyndon Cervantes

$0 Объем

4%

The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 3rd congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.California's 3rd Congressional District nonpartisan top-two primary on June 2 will determine the two general election candidates, with early voting underway since May 4 showing Republicans narrowly leading ballot returns despite Democratic voter registration edges. Incumbent Ami Bera (D), who shifted into the redrawn district after Proposition 50's 2025 mid-decade remap boosted its Safe Democratic lean by adding Sacramento areas and trimming GOP strongholds, dominates fundraising with over $850,000 raised and stands as the clear frontrunner. A crowded Democratic field—including challengers Chris Bennett, Heidi Hall, and Lyndon Cervantes—competes for second place, while Republicans Christine Bish, Robb Tucker (endorsed by former Rep. Kevin Kiley), and inactive Laura Koscki trail; traders watch turnout and late polls for potential top-two surprises in this low-turnout primary.

The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.

This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 3rd congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.

Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Объем
$4,465
Дата окончания
2 июн. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Apr 22, 2026, 1:01 PM ET
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 3rd congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 3rd congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.California's 3rd Congressional District nonpartisan top-two primary on June 2 will determine the two general election candidates, with early voting underway since May 4 showing Republicans narrowly leading ballot returns despite Democratic voter registration edges. Incumbent Ami Bera (D), who shifted into the redrawn district after Proposition 50's 2025 mid-decade remap boosted its Safe Democratic lean by adding Sacramento areas and trimming GOP strongholds, dominates fundraising with over $850,000 raised and stands as the clear frontrunner. A crowded Democratic field—including challengers Chris Bennett, Heidi Hall, and Lyndon Cervantes—competes for second place, while Republicans Christine Bish, Robb Tucker (endorsed by former Rep. Kevin Kiley), and inactive Laura Koscki trail; traders watch turnout and late polls for potential top-two surprises in this low-turnout primary.

The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.

This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 3rd congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.

Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Объем
$4,465
Дата окончания
2 июн. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Apr 22, 2026, 1:01 PM ET
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 3rd congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«CA-03 Primary Winners» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 8 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «Ami Bera» с 93%, за ним следует «Robb Tucker» с 70%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 93¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 93%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

«CA-03 Primary Winners» — недавно созданный рынок на Polymarket, запущен Apr 22, 2026. Как ранний рынок, это твоя возможность быть среди первых трейдеров, устанавливающих коэффициенты и формирующих начальные ценовые сигналы. Ты также можешь добавить эту страницу в закладки, чтобы следить за объёмом и активностью торгов.

Чтобы торговать на «CA-03 Primary Winners», просмотри 8 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «CA-03 Primary Winners» — «Ami Bera» с 93%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 93%. Следующий ближайший исход — «Robb Tucker» с 70%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «CA-03 Primary Winners» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.