Incumbent Mike Thompson holds the leading position in the CA-04 general election market following the June 2 top-two primary, where he secured 41% of the vote compared to 22% for Democratic challenger Eric Jones. California's nonpartisan primary system advanced both Democrats after eliminating several Republican candidates, including Ray Riehle at 21%, in a district redrawn under Proposition 50 to include additional Sacramento Valley counties. Forecasters rate the seat as solidly Democratic, reflecting Thompson's long tenure since 1999, institutional party endorsements, and established constituent base. Jones, a self-funded former venture capitalist, mounted a notable primary challenge focused on generational change and affordability issues but trails in the current trader consensus ahead of the November 3 general election.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоCA-04 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей (индивидуально)
CA-04 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей (индивидуально)
$10,718 Объем
$10,718 Объем
4 нояб. 2026 г.
Майк Томпсон
67%
Эрик Джонс
32%
$10,718 Объем
$10,718 Объем
4 нояб. 2026 г.
Майк Томпсон
$8,341 Объем
67%
Эрик Джонс
$2,377 Объем
32%
This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Mike Thompson holds the leading position in the CA-04 general election market following the June 2 top-two primary, where he secured 41% of the vote compared to 22% for Democratic challenger Eric Jones. California's nonpartisan primary system advanced both Democrats after eliminating several Republican candidates, including Ray Riehle at 21%, in a district redrawn under Proposition 50 to include additional Sacramento Valley counties. Forecasters rate the seat as solidly Democratic, reflecting Thompson's long tenure since 1999, institutional party endorsements, and established constituent base. Jones, a self-funded former venture capitalist, mounted a notable primary challenge focused on generational change and affordability issues but trails in the current trader consensus ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jul 6, 2026, 6:04 PM ET
Объем
$10,718Дата окончания
4 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 6, 2026, 6:04 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Mike Thompson holds the leading position in the CA-04 general election market following the June 2 top-two primary, where he secured 41% of the vote compared to 22% for Democratic challenger Eric Jones. California's nonpartisan primary system advanced both Democrats after eliminating several Republican candidates, including Ray Riehle at 21%, in a district redrawn under Proposition 50 to include additional Sacramento Valley counties. Forecasters rate the seat as solidly Democratic, reflecting Thompson's long tenure since 1999, institutional party endorsements, and established constituent base. Jones, a self-funded former venture capitalist, mounted a notable primary challenge focused on generational change and affordability issues but trails in the current trader consensus ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$10,718Дата окончания
4 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 6, 2026, 6:04 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Incumbent Mike Thompson holds the leading position in the CA-04 general election market following the June 2 top-two primary, where he secured 41% of the vote compared to 22% for Democratic challenger Eric Jones. California's nonpartisan primary system advanced both Democrats after eliminating several Republican candidates, including Ray Riehle at 21%, in a district redrawn under Proposition 50 to include additional Sacramento Valley counties. Forecasters rate the seat as solidly Democratic, reflecting Thompson's long tenure since 1999, institutional party endorsements, and established constituent base. Jones, a self-funded former venture capitalist, mounted a notable primary challenge focused on generational change and affordability issues but trails in the current trader consensus ahead of the November 3 general election.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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