Xavier Becerra holds a consistent polling lead over Steve Hilton of 18–22 points among likely voters ahead of the November 3 election, reflecting California’s Democratic registration advantage and broad support across most regions and demographics. Recent PPIC and Berkeley IGS surveys show Becerra at 55–60 percent to Hilton’s 37–38 percent, with independents breaking toward the Democrat and only the Central Valley favoring the Republican. Affordability and cost-of-living concerns rank as top voter priorities, though neither candidate has shifted the race decisively in recent weeks. The September 30 debate and final turnout patterns among independents and Central Valley voters could still widen or narrow the margin before election day.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоМаржа победы на выборах губернатора Калифорнии
Маржа победы на выборах губернатора Калифорнии
Бесерра 20-25% 28%
Бесерра 25-30% 24.3%
Бесерра 15-20% 17%
Бесерра 30-35% 13.6%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Бессерра 40%+
11%
Бесерра 35-40%
4%
Бесерра 30-35%
14%
Бесерра 25-30%
24%
Бесерра 20-25%
28%
Бесерра 15-20%
17%
Бесерра 10-15%
9%
Бессерра 0–10%
<1%
Хилтон выигрывает
<1%
Бесерра 20-25% 28%
Бесерра 25-30% 24.3%
Бесерра 15-20% 17%
Бесерра 30-35% 13.6%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Бессерра 40%+
$811 Объем
11%
Бесерра 35-40%
$363 Объем
4%
Бесерра 30-35%
$789 Объем
14%
Бесерра 25-30%
$1,535 Объем
24%
Бесерра 20-25%
$1,899 Объем
28%
Бесерра 15-20%
$1,035 Объем
17%
Бесерра 10-15%
$350 Объем
9%
Бессерра 0–10%
$231 Объем
<1%
Хилтон выигрывает
$349 Объем
<1%
The 2026 California gubernatorial election is currently expected to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
The candidates named in this market are individual candidates appearing on the general election ballot. They do not represent party options, and this market will not resolve based on the party affiliation of any candidate.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 California gubernatorial election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Xavier Becerra holds a consistent polling lead over Steve Hilton of 18–22 points among likely voters ahead of the November 3 election, reflecting California’s Democratic registration advantage and broad support across most regions and demographics. Recent PPIC and Berkeley IGS surveys show Becerra at 55–60 percent to Hilton’s 37–38 percent, with independents breaking toward the Democrat and only the Central Valley favoring the Republican. Affordability and cost-of-living concerns rank as top voter priorities, though neither candidate has shifted the race decisively in recent weeks. The September 30 debate and final turnout patterns among independents and Central Valley voters could still widen or narrow the margin before election day.
The 2026 California gubernatorial election is currently expected to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
The candidates named in this market are individual candidates appearing on the general election ballot. They do not represent party options, and this market will not resolve based on the party affiliation of any candidate.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 California gubernatorial election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
The candidates named in this market are individual candidates appearing on the general election ballot. They do not represent party options, and this market will not resolve based on the party affiliation of any candidate.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 California gubernatorial election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Sep 2, 2026, 3:21 PM ET
Объем
$7,361Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 2, 2026, 3:21 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 California gubernatorial election is currently expected to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
The candidates named in this market are individual candidates appearing on the general election ballot. They do not represent party options, and this market will not resolve based on the party affiliation of any candidate.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 California gubernatorial election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Xavier Becerra holds a consistent polling lead over Steve Hilton of 18–22 points among likely voters ahead of the November 3 election, reflecting California’s Democratic registration advantage and broad support across most regions and demographics. Recent PPIC and Berkeley IGS surveys show Becerra at 55–60 percent to Hilton’s 37–38 percent, with independents breaking toward the Democrat and only the Central Valley favoring the Republican. Affordability and cost-of-living concerns rank as top voter priorities, though neither candidate has shifted the race decisively in recent weeks. The September 30 debate and final turnout patterns among independents and Central Valley voters could still widen or narrow the margin before election day.
The 2026 California gubernatorial election is currently expected to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
The candidates named in this market are individual candidates appearing on the general election ballot. They do not represent party options, and this market will not resolve based on the party affiliation of any candidate.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 California gubernatorial election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
The candidates named in this market are individual candidates appearing on the general election ballot. They do not represent party options, and this market will not resolve based on the party affiliation of any candidate.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 California gubernatorial election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$7,361Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 2, 2026, 3:21 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Xavier Becerra holds a consistent polling lead over Steve Hilton of 18–22 points among likely voters ahead of the November 3 election, reflecting California’s Democratic registration advantage and broad support across most regions and demographics. Recent PPIC and Berkeley IGS surveys show Becerra at 55–60 percent to Hilton’s 37–38 percent, with independents breaking toward the Democrat and only the Central Valley favoring the Republican. Affordability and cost-of-living concerns rank as top voter priorities, though neither candidate has shifted the race decisively in recent weeks. The September 30 debate and final turnout patterns among independents and Central Valley voters could still widen or narrow the margin before election day.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСвязанные
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