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icon for Население Канады в этом году увеличилось или уменьшилось?

Население Канады в этом году увеличилось или уменьшилось?

icon for Население Канады в этом году увеличилось или уменьшилось?

Население Канады в этом году увеличилось или уменьшилось?

Увеличилось

53% вероятность
Polymarket
НОВОЕ

Увеличилось

53% вероятность
Polymarket
НОВОЕ
This market will resolve to "Up" if the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2026 is greater than the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2025. This market will resolve to "Down" if the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2026 is less than the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2025. If the population in the 4th quarter of 2025 and the population in the 4th quarter of 2026 are exactly equal, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the relevant quarterly population estimate release is not available by April 30, 2027, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be the quarterly population estimates release for the 4th quarter of 2026 from StatCan (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start). Note: data from the initial release of the referenced population estimate report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to population estimate report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a 2026 population decline at 61%, driven by Statistics Canada's March 18 preliminary estimates showing Canada's population fell 103,504 (-0.2%) to 41,472,081 on January 1, 2026—the first year-over-year quarterly drop on record since Confederation. This stems from sharp reductions in non-permanent residents, including temporary workers and students, following the federal government's November 2025 Immigration Levels Plan capping new temporary arrivals at 385,000 for 2026, down over 40% from 2025 peaks. The Parliamentary Budget Officer projected zero growth for the year on February 26, amid sustained low permanent resident targets of 380,000. Upcoming Q2 estimates in June could shift odds if inflows rebound unexpectedly.

This market will resolve to "Up" if the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2026 is greater than the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2025.

This market will resolve to "Down" if the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2026 is less than the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2025.

If the population in the 4th quarter of 2025 and the population in the 4th quarter of 2026 are exactly equal, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the relevant quarterly population estimate release is not available by April 30, 2027, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be the quarterly population estimates release for the 4th quarter of 2026 from StatCan (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start).

Note: data from the initial release of the referenced population estimate report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to population estimate report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$1,488
Дата окончания
30 апр. 2027 г.
Открытие рынка
Jan 27, 2026, 5:18 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Up" if the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2026 is greater than the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2025. This market will resolve to "Down" if the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2026 is less than the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2025. If the population in the 4th quarter of 2025 and the population in the 4th quarter of 2026 are exactly equal, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the relevant quarterly population estimate release is not available by April 30, 2027, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be the quarterly population estimates release for the 4th quarter of 2026 from StatCan (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start). Note: data from the initial release of the referenced population estimate report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to population estimate report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
This market will resolve to "Up" if the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2026 is greater than the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2025. This market will resolve to "Down" if the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2026 is less than the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2025. If the population in the 4th quarter of 2025 and the population in the 4th quarter of 2026 are exactly equal, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the relevant quarterly population estimate release is not available by April 30, 2027, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be the quarterly population estimates release for the 4th quarter of 2026 from StatCan (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start). Note: data from the initial release of the referenced population estimate report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to population estimate report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a 2026 population decline at 61%, driven by Statistics Canada's March 18 preliminary estimates showing Canada's population fell 103,504 (-0.2%) to 41,472,081 on January 1, 2026—the first year-over-year quarterly drop on record since Confederation. This stems from sharp reductions in non-permanent residents, including temporary workers and students, following the federal government's November 2025 Immigration Levels Plan capping new temporary arrivals at 385,000 for 2026, down over 40% from 2025 peaks. The Parliamentary Budget Officer projected zero growth for the year on February 26, amid sustained low permanent resident targets of 380,000. Upcoming Q2 estimates in June could shift odds if inflows rebound unexpectedly.

This market will resolve to "Up" if the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2026 is greater than the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2025.

This market will resolve to "Down" if the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2026 is less than the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2025.

If the population in the 4th quarter of 2025 and the population in the 4th quarter of 2026 are exactly equal, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the relevant quarterly population estimate release is not available by April 30, 2027, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be the quarterly population estimates release for the 4th quarter of 2026 from StatCan (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start).

Note: data from the initial release of the referenced population estimate report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to population estimate report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$1,488
Дата окончания
30 апр. 2027 г.
Открытие рынка
Jan 27, 2026, 5:18 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Up" if the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2026 is greater than the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2025. This market will resolve to "Down" if the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2026 is less than the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2025. If the population in the 4th quarter of 2025 and the population in the 4th quarter of 2026 are exactly equal, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the relevant quarterly population estimate release is not available by April 30, 2027, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be the quarterly population estimates release for the 4th quarter of 2026 from StatCan (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start). Note: data from the initial release of the referenced population estimate report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to population estimate report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.

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Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Население Канады в этом году увеличилось или уменьшилось?» — это рынок прогнозов дневной на Polymarket, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на то, закончится ли цена Население Канады в этом году увеличилось или уменьшилось? выше («Up») или ниже («Down») своей цены открытия в течение окна дневной, указанного в заголовке. Текущая вероятность рынка составляет 61% для «Уменьшилось». Цена 61% означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 61%. Цены обновляются в реальном времени по мере реакции трейдеров на движение цены Население Канады в этом году увеличилось или уменьшилось?. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

«Население Канады в этом году увеличилось или уменьшилось?» — активный краткосрочный рынок на Polymarket. Объём торгов может быстро расти по мере продвижения окна дневной — входи раньше, чтобы помочь сформировать коэффициенты до закрытия этого окна.

Чтобы торговать на «Население Канады в этом году увеличилось или уменьшилось?», реши, считаешь ли ты, что цена Население Канады в этом году увеличилось или уменьшилось? в полдень ET April 29 будет выше («Up») или ниже («Down»), чем в полдень ET January 27. Купи «Up», если считаешь, что цена вырастет, или «Down», если считаешь, что упадёт. Введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой исход правильный, каждая акция принесёт $1,00. Если нет — акции будут стоить $0.

Текущая вероятность для «Население Канады в этом году увеличилось или уменьшилось?» составляет 61% для «Уменьшилось», что означает, что сообщество Polymarket в настоящее время оценивает вероятность того, что цена Население Канады в этом году увеличилось или уменьшилось? закроется уменьшилось в этом окне дневной, в 61%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере реакции трейдеров на данные о цене Население Канады в этом году увеличилось или уменьшилось?. За целый день коэффициенты отражают развивающиеся настроения по мере развёртывания ценового движения дня. Заходи чаще или торгуй сейчас, пока окно не закрылось.

Рынок «Население Канады в этом году увеличилось или уменьшилось?» разрешается на основе сравнения цены Население Канады в этом году увеличилось или уменьшилось? в полдень ET April 29 с ценой в полдень ET January 27, используя цены закрытия минутных свечей Binance CANADAS-POPULATION/USDT. Если цена в полдень April 29 выше — исход «Up»; если ниже — «Down»; если равна — рынок разрешается 50-50. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии в разделе «Правила».