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icon for Победитель выборов мэра Центрального побережья

Победитель выборов мэра Центрального побережья

icon for Победитель выборов мэра Центрального побережья

Победитель выборов мэра Центрального побережья

Polymarket
НОВОЕ
Polymarket
НОВОЕ
icon for Шерил Фуллер

Шерил Фуллер

$304 Объем

75%

icon for Гарри Карпентер

Гарри Карпентер

$424 Объем

13%

Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Central Coast Council area as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).**Cheryl Fuller holds a strong lead in the Central Coast (Tasmania) mayoral race ahead of the October 2026 election, reflecting her incumbency and the limited field of challengers.** As of mid-2026 reporting, Fuller confirmed plans to seek a second term, with no candidates from within the current council emerging to oppose her and only limited indications that outsiders might contest. She previously defeated Garry Carpenter in 2022 by securing 54.51% of the vote after preferences. Carpenter, a sitting councillor and former deputy, has signaled uncertainty about running again amid other commitments. Trader pricing aligns with this environment, assigning Fuller the highest implied probability while treating Carpenter as a distant alternative and assigning minimal or placeholder weight to other names. Council priorities such as financial strengthening and organizational reform continue to frame the contest, with no major late developments reported that would alter the low-competition dynamic. The October vote remains the key resolution trigger.

Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Central Coast Council area as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).
Объем
$728
Дата окончания
28 окт. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Sep 3, 2026, 4:04 PM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/

Кто определяет исход

0x69c47De9D...
Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Central Coast Council area as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).
Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Central Coast Council area as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).**Cheryl Fuller holds a strong lead in the Central Coast (Tasmania) mayoral race ahead of the October 2026 election, reflecting her incumbency and the limited field of challengers.** As of mid-2026 reporting, Fuller confirmed plans to seek a second term, with no candidates from within the current council emerging to oppose her and only limited indications that outsiders might contest. She previously defeated Garry Carpenter in 2022 by securing 54.51% of the vote after preferences. Carpenter, a sitting councillor and former deputy, has signaled uncertainty about running again amid other commitments. Trader pricing aligns with this environment, assigning Fuller the highest implied probability while treating Carpenter as a distant alternative and assigning minimal or placeholder weight to other names. Council priorities such as financial strengthening and organizational reform continue to frame the contest, with no major late developments reported that would alter the low-competition dynamic. The October vote remains the key resolution trigger.

Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Central Coast Council area as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).
Объем
$728
Дата окончания
28 окт. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Sep 3, 2026, 4:04 PM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/

Кто определяет исход

0x69c47De9D...
Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Central Coast Council area as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).

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Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Победитель выборов мэра Центрального побережья» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 2 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «Шерил Фуллер» с 75%, за ним следует «Гарри Карпентер» с 13%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 75¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 75%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

«Победитель выборов мэра Центрального побережья» — недавно созданный рынок на Polymarket, запущен Sep 3, 2026. Как ранний рынок, это твоя возможность быть среди первых трейдеров, устанавливающих коэффициенты и формирующих начальные ценовые сигналы. Ты также можешь добавить эту страницу в закладки, чтобы следить за объёмом и активностью торгов.

Чтобы торговать на «Победитель выборов мэра Центрального побережья», просмотри 2 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Победитель выборов мэра Центрального побережья» — «Шерил Фуллер» с 75%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 75%. Следующий ближайший исход — «Гарри Карпентер» с 13%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Победитель выборов мэра Центрального побережья» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.