Chen Su-yueh, the Democratic Progressive Party nominee and sitting legislator, holds an 80% implied probability in the November 28, 2026 Changhua County Magistrate race, reflecting trader consensus on her structural advantages in a competitive county. Wei Ping-cheng, the Kuomintang nominee drafted after internal party deliberations, trails at 20% amid reports of incomplete pan-blue consolidation. Recent polling averages show Chen ahead by double digits, supported by her established local record and the DPP's nomination process completed in late 2025. Potential independent candidacies, including from former DPP figures like Chiu Chien-fu, introduce risks of vote fragmentation that could narrow margins but have not yet shifted the overall positioning. The county's near-even partisan balance and historical KMT control of the magistracy provide context for Wei's residual support, though current dynamics favor Chen absent major late developments.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоЧэнь Су-юэ 80%
Вэй Пинчэн 20%
Чю Чяньфу 2.1%
Линь Шисянь <1%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
30 июн. 2027 г.
Чэнь Су-юэ
80%
Вэй Пинчэн
20%
Чю Чяньфу
2%
Линь Шисянь
<1%
Хун Жунчжан
<1%
Хуан Сюфан
<1%
Чэнь Су-юэ 80%
Вэй Пинчэн 20%
Чю Чяньфу 2.1%
Линь Шисянь <1%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
30 июн. 2027 г.
Чэнь Су-юэ
$2,433 Объем
80%
Вэй Пинчэн
$1,097 Объем
20%
Чю Чяньфу
$839 Объем
2%
Линь Шисянь
$1,229 Объем
<1%
Хун Жунчжан
$694 Объем
<1%
Хуан Сюфан
$649 Объем
<1%
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Changhua County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Chen Su-yueh, the Democratic Progressive Party nominee and sitting legislator, holds an 80% implied probability in the November 28, 2026 Changhua County Magistrate race, reflecting trader consensus on her structural advantages in a competitive county. Wei Ping-cheng, the Kuomintang nominee drafted after internal party deliberations, trails at 20% amid reports of incomplete pan-blue consolidation. Recent polling averages show Chen ahead by double digits, supported by her established local record and the DPP's nomination process completed in late 2025. Potential independent candidacies, including from former DPP figures like Chiu Chien-fu, introduce risks of vote fragmentation that could narrow margins but have not yet shifted the overall positioning. The county's near-even partisan balance and historical KMT control of the magistracy provide context for Wei's residual support, though current dynamics favor Chen absent major late developments.
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Changhua County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Changhua County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Открытие рынка: Aug 14, 2026, 8:57 AM ET
Объем
$6,942Дата окончания
28 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 14, 2026, 8:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Changhua County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Chen Su-yueh, the Democratic Progressive Party nominee and sitting legislator, holds an 80% implied probability in the November 28, 2026 Changhua County Magistrate race, reflecting trader consensus on her structural advantages in a competitive county. Wei Ping-cheng, the Kuomintang nominee drafted after internal party deliberations, trails at 20% amid reports of incomplete pan-blue consolidation. Recent polling averages show Chen ahead by double digits, supported by her established local record and the DPP's nomination process completed in late 2025. Potential independent candidacies, including from former DPP figures like Chiu Chien-fu, introduce risks of vote fragmentation that could narrow margins but have not yet shifted the overall positioning. The county's near-even partisan balance and historical KMT control of the magistracy provide context for Wei's residual support, though current dynamics favor Chen absent major late developments.
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Changhua County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Changhua County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Объем
$6,942Дата окончания
28 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 14, 2026, 8:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Chen Su-yueh, the Democratic Progressive Party nominee and sitting legislator, holds an 80% implied probability in the November 28, 2026 Changhua County Magistrate race, reflecting trader consensus on her structural advantages in a competitive county. Wei Ping-cheng, the Kuomintang nominee drafted after internal party deliberations, trails at 20% amid reports of incomplete pan-blue consolidation. Recent polling averages show Chen ahead by double digits, supported by her established local record and the DPP's nomination process completed in late 2025. Potential independent candidacies, including from former DPP figures like Chiu Chien-fu, introduce risks of vote fragmentation that could narrow margins but have not yet shifted the overall positioning. The county's near-even partisan balance and historical KMT control of the magistracy provide context for Wei's residual support, though current dynamics favor Chen absent major late developments.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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