China's 2026 annual CPI inflation market reflects trader focus on subdued domestic demand offset by external price pressures. Recent April data showed headline inflation rising to 1.2% year-over-year—above consensus—driven by higher energy costs and supply-chain effects from the Middle East conflict, with producer prices also turning positive after three years of deflation. Consensus forecasts from institutions such as Nomura, UBS, and the Asian Development Bank cluster around 0.4–0.6%, citing weak consumption and property-sector drag, yet the 1.1–1.5% range commands the highest implied probability as markets price in modest reflation from policy stimulus and base effects. Key upcoming catalysts include May–June CPI releases and any further central-bank easing signals that could shift the rate path.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоГодовая инфляция в Китае в 2026 году
Годовая инфляция в Китае в 2026 году
1,1 – 1,5% 50%
0,6–1,0% 23%
1,6–2,0% 20.9%
2,0-2,4% 8.9%
$40,816 Объем
$40,816 Объем
10 янв. 2027 г.
<-1,0%
<1%
-0,9 – -0,5%
<1%
-0,4 – 0,0%
<1%
0,1 – 0,5%
3%
0,6–1,0%
23%
1,1 – 1,5%
42%
1,6–2,0%
21%
2,0-2,4%
9%
2,5%+
5%
1,1 – 1,5% 50%
0,6–1,0% 23%
1,6–2,0% 20.9%
2,0-2,4% 8.9%
$40,816 Объем
$40,816 Объем
10 янв. 2027 г.
<-1,0%
$17,491 Объем
<1%
-0,9 – -0,5%
$2,347 Объем
<1%
-0,4 – 0,0%
$2,564 Объем
<1%
0,1 – 0,5%
$2,851 Объем
3%
0,6–1,0%
$2,956 Объем
23%
1,1 – 1,5%
$3,491 Объем
42%
1,6–2,0%
$3,995 Объем
21%
2,0-2,4%
$2,580 Объем
9%
2,5%+
$2,542 Объем
5%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/China's 2026 annual CPI inflation market reflects trader focus on subdued domestic demand offset by external price pressures. Recent April data showed headline inflation rising to 1.2% year-over-year—above consensus—driven by higher energy costs and supply-chain effects from the Middle East conflict, with producer prices also turning positive after three years of deflation. Consensus forecasts from institutions such as Nomura, UBS, and the Asian Development Bank cluster around 0.4–0.6%, citing weak consumption and property-sector drag, yet the 1.1–1.5% range commands the highest implied probability as markets price in modest reflation from policy stimulus and base effects. Key upcoming catalysts include May–June CPI releases and any further central-bank easing signals that could shift the rate path.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/
Открытие рынка: Jan 21, 2026, 7:27 PM ET
Объем
$40,816Дата окончания
10 янв. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 21, 2026, 7:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/China's 2026 annual CPI inflation market reflects trader focus on subdued domestic demand offset by external price pressures. Recent April data showed headline inflation rising to 1.2% year-over-year—above consensus—driven by higher energy costs and supply-chain effects from the Middle East conflict, with producer prices also turning positive after three years of deflation. Consensus forecasts from institutions such as Nomura, UBS, and the Asian Development Bank cluster around 0.4–0.6%, citing weak consumption and property-sector drag, yet the 1.1–1.5% range commands the highest implied probability as markets price in modest reflation from policy stimulus and base effects. Key upcoming catalysts include May–June CPI releases and any further central-bank easing signals that could shift the rate path.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/
Объем
$40,816Дата окончания
10 янв. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 21, 2026, 7:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...China's 2026 annual CPI inflation market reflects trader focus on subdued domestic demand offset by external price pressures. Recent April data showed headline inflation rising to 1.2% year-over-year—above consensus—driven by higher energy costs and supply-chain effects from the Middle East conflict, with producer prices also turning positive after three years of deflation. Consensus forecasts from institutions such as Nomura, UBS, and the Asian Development Bank cluster around 0.4–0.6%, citing weak consumption and property-sector drag, yet the 1.1–1.5% range commands the highest implied probability as markets price in modest reflation from policy stimulus and base effects. Key upcoming catalysts include May–June CPI releases and any further central-bank easing signals that could shift the rate path.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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