Recent soft consumer price data have anchored trader expectations for China's 2026 annual inflation rate near the lower end of forecasts. The July CPI reading eased to 0.5% year-on-year, the softest since January and below consensus, driven by continued food-price declines—especially pork amid ample supply—and slower non-food gains from subdued domestic demand. Easing global energy costs after earlier Middle East supply concerns and limited pass-through from producer prices have reinforced this moderation. Institutional projections cluster around 1.0-1.2%, yet persistent weakness in retail sales and core measures near 0.9% support the market's heaviest weighting on the 0.6-1.0% band as the most probable full-year outcome.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоГодовая инфляция в Китае в 2026 году
Годовая инфляция в Китае в 2026 году
0,6–1,0% 52%
1,1 – 1,5% 19%
0,1 – 0,5% 17.4%
2,0-2,4% 5.7%
$72,298 Объем
$72,298 Объем
10 янв. 2027 г.
<-1,0%
4%
-0,9 – -0,5%
2%
-0,4 – 0,0%
3%
0,1 – 0,5%
17%
0,6–1,0%
52%
1,1 – 1,5%
19%
1,6–2,0%
4%
2,0-2,4%
6%
2,5%+
<1%
0,6–1,0% 52%
1,1 – 1,5% 19%
0,1 – 0,5% 17.4%
2,0-2,4% 5.7%
$72,298 Объем
$72,298 Объем
10 янв. 2027 г.
<-1,0%
$19,736 Объем
4%
-0,9 – -0,5%
$3,327 Объем
2%
-0,4 – 0,0%
$4,597 Объем
3%
0,1 – 0,5%
$4,841 Объем
17%
0,6–1,0%
$8,752 Объем
52%
1,1 – 1,5%
$13,366 Объем
19%
1,6–2,0%
$6,462 Объем
4%
2,0-2,4%
$7,874 Объем
6%
2,5%+
$3,344 Объем
<1%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/Recent soft consumer price data have anchored trader expectations for China's 2026 annual inflation rate near the lower end of forecasts. The July CPI reading eased to 0.5% year-on-year, the softest since January and below consensus, driven by continued food-price declines—especially pork amid ample supply—and slower non-food gains from subdued domestic demand. Easing global energy costs after earlier Middle East supply concerns and limited pass-through from producer prices have reinforced this moderation. Institutional projections cluster around 1.0-1.2%, yet persistent weakness in retail sales and core measures near 0.9% support the market's heaviest weighting on the 0.6-1.0% band as the most probable full-year outcome.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/
Открытие рынка: Jan 21, 2026, 7:27 PM ET
Объем
$72,298Дата окончания
10 янв. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 21, 2026, 7:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/Recent soft consumer price data have anchored trader expectations for China's 2026 annual inflation rate near the lower end of forecasts. The July CPI reading eased to 0.5% year-on-year, the softest since January and below consensus, driven by continued food-price declines—especially pork amid ample supply—and slower non-food gains from subdued domestic demand. Easing global energy costs after earlier Middle East supply concerns and limited pass-through from producer prices have reinforced this moderation. Institutional projections cluster around 1.0-1.2%, yet persistent weakness in retail sales and core measures near 0.9% support the market's heaviest weighting on the 0.6-1.0% band as the most probable full-year outcome.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/
Объем
$72,298Дата окончания
10 янв. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 21, 2026, 7:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent soft consumer price data have anchored trader expectations for China's 2026 annual inflation rate near the lower end of forecasts. The July CPI reading eased to 0.5% year-on-year, the softest since January and below consensus, driven by continued food-price declines—especially pork amid ample supply—and slower non-food gains from subdued domestic demand. Easing global energy costs after earlier Middle East supply concerns and limited pass-through from producer prices have reinforced this moderation. Institutional projections cluster around 1.0-1.2%, yet persistent weakness in retail sales and core measures near 0.9% support the market's heaviest weighting on the 0.6-1.0% band as the most probable full-year outcome.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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