SpaceX achieved a successful upper-stage splashdown on Flight 13 in late July 2026, clearing the path for the first tower catch attempt on the next mission. Flight 14, now targeted for August, will mark the initial orbital-class Starship flight and the debut effort to have Mechazilla’s chopsticks capture the 50-meter upper stage after reentry and hover. Recent tower upgrades—including shorter arms and electromechanical actuators—aim to improve tracking speed and reliability for the higher-energy return profile compared with prior Super Heavy booster catches. Elon Musk stated that a clean data review from Flight 13 would green-light the maneuver, which would dramatically advance full reusability goals.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПалочки для еды поймают верхнюю ступень Starship к...?
Палочки для еды поймают верхнюю ступень Starship к...?
НОВОЕ
31 авг. 2026 г.
31 августа 2026 года
52%
30 сентября 2026 года
50%
31 октября 2026 года
59%
$1 Объем
31 августа 2026 года
$1 Объем
52%
30 сентября 2026 года
$0 Объем
50%
31 октября 2026 года
$0 Объем
59%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Starship upper stage is successfully caught by the chopsticks on the Orbital Launch Tower between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No."
A successful catch is defined as the chopsticks capturing and supporting the Starship upper stage without it falling to the ground or causing catastrophic damage during the landing process.
If SpaceX attempts an ocean splashdown of the Starship upper stage instead of attempting to catch it using the Orbital Launch Tower's chopsticks, that attempt will not qualify. If no Starship launch occurs, or a successful catch does not take place, by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source for this market will be official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.SpaceX achieved a successful upper-stage splashdown on Flight 13 in late July 2026, clearing the path for the first tower catch attempt on the next mission. Flight 14, now targeted for August, will mark the initial orbital-class Starship flight and the debut effort to have Mechazilla’s chopsticks capture the 50-meter upper stage after reentry and hover. Recent tower upgrades—including shorter arms and electromechanical actuators—aim to improve tracking speed and reliability for the higher-energy return profile compared with prior Super Heavy booster catches. Elon Musk stated that a clean data review from Flight 13 would green-light the maneuver, which would dramatically advance full reusability goals.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Starship upper stage is successfully caught by the chopsticks on the Orbital Launch Tower between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No."
A successful catch is defined as the chopsticks capturing and supporting the Starship upper stage without it falling to the ground or causing catastrophic damage during the landing process.
If SpaceX attempts an ocean splashdown of the Starship upper stage instead of attempting to catch it using the Orbital Launch Tower's chopsticks, that attempt will not qualify. If no Starship launch occurs, or a successful catch does not take place, by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source for this market will be official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.
A successful catch is defined as the chopsticks capturing and supporting the Starship upper stage without it falling to the ground or causing catastrophic damage during the landing process.
If SpaceX attempts an ocean splashdown of the Starship upper stage instead of attempting to catch it using the Orbital Launch Tower's chopsticks, that attempt will not qualify. If no Starship launch occurs, or a successful catch does not take place, by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source for this market will be official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.
Открытие рынка: Aug 8, 2026, 12:16 PM ET
Объем
$1Дата окончания
31 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 8, 2026, 12:16 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Starship upper stage is successfully caught by the chopsticks on the Orbital Launch Tower between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No."
A successful catch is defined as the chopsticks capturing and supporting the Starship upper stage without it falling to the ground or causing catastrophic damage during the landing process.
If SpaceX attempts an ocean splashdown of the Starship upper stage instead of attempting to catch it using the Orbital Launch Tower's chopsticks, that attempt will not qualify. If no Starship launch occurs, or a successful catch does not take place, by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source for this market will be official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.SpaceX achieved a successful upper-stage splashdown on Flight 13 in late July 2026, clearing the path for the first tower catch attempt on the next mission. Flight 14, now targeted for August, will mark the initial orbital-class Starship flight and the debut effort to have Mechazilla’s chopsticks capture the 50-meter upper stage after reentry and hover. Recent tower upgrades—including shorter arms and electromechanical actuators—aim to improve tracking speed and reliability for the higher-energy return profile compared with prior Super Heavy booster catches. Elon Musk stated that a clean data review from Flight 13 would green-light the maneuver, which would dramatically advance full reusability goals.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Starship upper stage is successfully caught by the chopsticks on the Orbital Launch Tower between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No."
A successful catch is defined as the chopsticks capturing and supporting the Starship upper stage without it falling to the ground or causing catastrophic damage during the landing process.
If SpaceX attempts an ocean splashdown of the Starship upper stage instead of attempting to catch it using the Orbital Launch Tower's chopsticks, that attempt will not qualify. If no Starship launch occurs, or a successful catch does not take place, by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source for this market will be official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.
A successful catch is defined as the chopsticks capturing and supporting the Starship upper stage without it falling to the ground or causing catastrophic damage during the landing process.
If SpaceX attempts an ocean splashdown of the Starship upper stage instead of attempting to catch it using the Orbital Launch Tower's chopsticks, that attempt will not qualify. If no Starship launch occurs, or a successful catch does not take place, by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source for this market will be official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.
Объем
$1Дата окончания
31 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 8, 2026, 12:16 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...SpaceX achieved a successful upper-stage splashdown on Flight 13 in late July 2026, clearing the path for the first tower catch attempt on the next mission. Flight 14, now targeted for August, will mark the initial orbital-class Starship flight and the debut effort to have Mechazilla’s chopsticks capture the 50-meter upper stage after reentry and hover. Recent tower upgrades—including shorter arms and electromechanical actuators—aim to improve tracking speed and reliability for the higher-energy return profile compared with prior Super Heavy booster catches. Elon Musk stated that a clean data review from Flight 13 would green-light the maneuver, which would dramatically advance full reusability goals.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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