**The 74.5% implied probability on “No” for Chud the Builder (Dalton Eatherly) being convicted of attempted murder reflects the early stage of Tennessee criminal proceedings following his May 13, 2026, courthouse shooting charge.** Eatherly faces attempted first-degree murder, employing a firearm during a dangerous felony, aggravated assault, and reckless endangerment after a confrontation outside the Montgomery County Courthouse in Clarksville that left both him and the other man wounded. The case was bound over to the grand jury in May, with bond maintained at $1 million amid added restrictions and later revocation hearings tied to conduct and separate Nashville charges. No indictment confirmation, trial date, or verdict has been reported as of early August 2026—roughly three months post-incident—consistent with standard timelines for felony cases involving self-defense claims and surveillance evidence. Traders price the extended pretrial process, potential plea negotiations, and procedural hurdles as the dominant factors keeping conviction odds below 50%.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено$14,586 Объем
$14,586 Объем
31 июл. 2027 г.
$14,586 Объем
$14,586 Объем
31 июл. 2027 г.
Dalton Eatherly (Chud the Builder) has been charged with Attempted Murder by The State of Tennessee. You can read more about that here: https://www.local3news.com/regional-national/livestreamer-known-for-racist-content-faces-attempted-murder-charge-bond-set-at-1-25-million/article_11dcac35-652f-5716-8a86-1f10157764e0.html
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Dalton Eatherly is convicted of any attempted murder charge in the ongoing State of Tennessee v. Dalton Levi Eatherly (63GS1-2026-CR-5295) by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If this case ends due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or results in any situation in which no judgment is rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
If all relevant charges are dropped, or otherwise changed such that no further attempted murder charges remain, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
If there is a mistrial, this market will stay open until the resolution date (July 31) to consider further retrials. If an attempted murder conviction has not been rendered by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve according to the initial judgment rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be an official judgment delivered by the ruling court; however, other credible reporting may be used.**The 74.5% implied probability on “No” for Chud the Builder (Dalton Eatherly) being convicted of attempted murder reflects the early stage of Tennessee criminal proceedings following his May 13, 2026, courthouse shooting charge.**
Eatherly faces attempted first-degree murder, employing a firearm during a dangerous felony, aggravated assault, and reckless endangerment after a confrontation outside the Montgomery County Courthouse in Clarksville that left both him and the other man wounded. The case was bound over to the grand jury in May, with bond maintained at $1 million amid added restrictions and later revocation hearings tied to conduct and separate Nashville charges. No indictment confirmation, trial date, or verdict has been reported as of early August 2026—roughly three months post-incident—consistent with standard timelines for felony cases involving self-defense claims and surveillance evidence. Traders price the extended pretrial process, potential plea negotiations, and procedural hurdles as the dominant factors keeping conviction odds below 50%.
Dalton Eatherly (Chud the Builder) has been charged with Attempted Murder by The State of Tennessee. You can read more about that here: https://www.local3news.com/regional-national/livestreamer-known-for-racist-content-faces-attempted-murder-charge-bond-set-at-1-25-million/article_11dcac35-652f-5716-8a86-1f10157764e0.html
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Dalton Eatherly is convicted of any attempted murder charge in the ongoing State of Tennessee v. Dalton Levi Eatherly (63GS1-2026-CR-5295) by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If this case ends due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or results in any situation in which no judgment is rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
If all relevant charges are dropped, or otherwise changed such that no further attempted murder charges remain, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
If there is a mistrial, this market will stay open until the resolution date (July 31) to consider further retrials. If an attempted murder conviction has not been rendered by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve according to the initial judgment rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be an official judgment delivered by the ruling court; however, other credible reporting may be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Dalton Eatherly is convicted of any attempted murder charge in the ongoing State of Tennessee v. Dalton Levi Eatherly (63GS1-2026-CR-5295) by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If this case ends due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or results in any situation in which no judgment is rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
If all relevant charges are dropped, or otherwise changed such that no further attempted murder charges remain, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
If there is a mistrial, this market will stay open until the resolution date (July 31) to consider further retrials. If an attempted murder conviction has not been rendered by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve according to the initial judgment rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be an official judgment delivered by the ruling court; however, other credible reporting may be used.
Открытие рынка: May 21, 2026, 10:29 AM ET
Объем
$14,586Дата окончания
31 июл. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
May 21, 2026, 10:29 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Dalton Eatherly (Chud the Builder) has been charged with Attempted Murder by The State of Tennessee. You can read more about that here: https://www.local3news.com/regional-national/livestreamer-known-for-racist-content-faces-attempted-murder-charge-bond-set-at-1-25-million/article_11dcac35-652f-5716-8a86-1f10157764e0.html
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Dalton Eatherly is convicted of any attempted murder charge in the ongoing State of Tennessee v. Dalton Levi Eatherly (63GS1-2026-CR-5295) by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If this case ends due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or results in any situation in which no judgment is rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
If all relevant charges are dropped, or otherwise changed such that no further attempted murder charges remain, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
If there is a mistrial, this market will stay open until the resolution date (July 31) to consider further retrials. If an attempted murder conviction has not been rendered by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve according to the initial judgment rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be an official judgment delivered by the ruling court; however, other credible reporting may be used.**The 74.5% implied probability on “No” for Chud the Builder (Dalton Eatherly) being convicted of attempted murder reflects the early stage of Tennessee criminal proceedings following his May 13, 2026, courthouse shooting charge.**
Eatherly faces attempted first-degree murder, employing a firearm during a dangerous felony, aggravated assault, and reckless endangerment after a confrontation outside the Montgomery County Courthouse in Clarksville that left both him and the other man wounded. The case was bound over to the grand jury in May, with bond maintained at $1 million amid added restrictions and later revocation hearings tied to conduct and separate Nashville charges. No indictment confirmation, trial date, or verdict has been reported as of early August 2026—roughly three months post-incident—consistent with standard timelines for felony cases involving self-defense claims and surveillance evidence. Traders price the extended pretrial process, potential plea negotiations, and procedural hurdles as the dominant factors keeping conviction odds below 50%.
Dalton Eatherly (Chud the Builder) has been charged with Attempted Murder by The State of Tennessee. You can read more about that here: https://www.local3news.com/regional-national/livestreamer-known-for-racist-content-faces-attempted-murder-charge-bond-set-at-1-25-million/article_11dcac35-652f-5716-8a86-1f10157764e0.html
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Dalton Eatherly is convicted of any attempted murder charge in the ongoing State of Tennessee v. Dalton Levi Eatherly (63GS1-2026-CR-5295) by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If this case ends due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or results in any situation in which no judgment is rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
If all relevant charges are dropped, or otherwise changed such that no further attempted murder charges remain, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
If there is a mistrial, this market will stay open until the resolution date (July 31) to consider further retrials. If an attempted murder conviction has not been rendered by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve according to the initial judgment rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be an official judgment delivered by the ruling court; however, other credible reporting may be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Dalton Eatherly is convicted of any attempted murder charge in the ongoing State of Tennessee v. Dalton Levi Eatherly (63GS1-2026-CR-5295) by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If this case ends due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or results in any situation in which no judgment is rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
If all relevant charges are dropped, or otherwise changed such that no further attempted murder charges remain, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
If there is a mistrial, this market will stay open until the resolution date (July 31) to consider further retrials. If an attempted murder conviction has not been rendered by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve according to the initial judgment rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be an official judgment delivered by the ruling court; however, other credible reporting may be used.
Объем
$14,586Дата окончания
31 июл. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
May 21, 2026, 10:29 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**The 74.5% implied probability on “No” for Chud the Builder (Dalton Eatherly) being convicted of attempted murder reflects the early stage of Tennessee criminal proceedings following his May 13, 2026, courthouse shooting charge.** Eatherly faces attempted first-degree murder, employing a firearm during a dangerous felony, aggravated assault, and reckless endangerment after a confrontation outside the Montgomery County Courthouse in Clarksville that left both him and the other man wounded. The case was bound over to the grand jury in May, with bond maintained at $1 million amid added restrictions and later revocation hearings tied to conduct and separate Nashville charges. No indictment confirmation, trial date, or verdict has been reported as of early August 2026—roughly three months post-incident—consistent with standard timelines for felony cases involving self-defense claims and surveillance evidence. Traders price the extended pretrial process, potential plea negotiations, and procedural hurdles as the dominant factors keeping conviction odds below 50%.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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