Cilia Flores and Nicolás Maduro have remained in U.S. federal custody at the Metropolitan Detention Center in Brooklyn since their January 3, 2026 capture during a U.S. military operation in Caracas. Both pleaded not guilty at their January 5 arraignment to drug trafficking and weapons charges in the Southern District of New York. A July 22, 2026 hearing set their joint trial for June 1, 2027, with the defense indicating plans to seek dismissal on sovereign immunity grounds. Traders monitor potential diplomatic negotiations between Washington and Caracas that could produce a release or prisoner exchange ahead of trial, alongside scheduled pretrial proceedings such as the November 17 hearing. These legal timelines and bilateral dynamics shape assessments of release probabilities by late 2026.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоЖена Мадуро Силия Флорес освобождена из-под стражи...?
Жена Мадуро Силия Флорес освобождена из-под стражи...?
$1,375,000 Объем
31 янв. 2026 г.
31 декабря
16%
$1,375,000 Объем
31 декабря
$328,398 Объем
16%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Cilia Flores is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Cilia Flores is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Cilia Flores is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Cilia Flores to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Cilia Flores and Nicolás Maduro have remained in U.S. federal custody at the Metropolitan Detention Center in Brooklyn since their January 3, 2026 capture during a U.S. military operation in Caracas. Both pleaded not guilty at their January 5 arraignment to drug trafficking and weapons charges in the Southern District of New York. A July 22, 2026 hearing set their joint trial for June 1, 2027, with the defense indicating plans to seek dismissal on sovereign immunity grounds. Traders monitor potential diplomatic negotiations between Washington and Caracas that could produce a release or prisoner exchange ahead of trial, alongside scheduled pretrial proceedings such as the November 17 hearing. These legal timelines and bilateral dynamics shape assessments of release probabilities by late 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Cilia Flores is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Cilia Flores is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Cilia Flores is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Cilia Flores to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Cilia Flores is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Cilia Flores is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Cilia Flores to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Jan 3, 2026, 10:23 AM ET
Объем
$1,375,000Дата окончания
31 янв. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 3, 2026, 10:23 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Cilia Flores is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Cilia Flores is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Cilia Flores is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Cilia Flores to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Cilia Flores and Nicolás Maduro have remained in U.S. federal custody at the Metropolitan Detention Center in Brooklyn since their January 3, 2026 capture during a U.S. military operation in Caracas. Both pleaded not guilty at their January 5 arraignment to drug trafficking and weapons charges in the Southern District of New York. A July 22, 2026 hearing set their joint trial for June 1, 2027, with the defense indicating plans to seek dismissal on sovereign immunity grounds. Traders monitor potential diplomatic negotiations between Washington and Caracas that could produce a release or prisoner exchange ahead of trial, alongside scheduled pretrial proceedings such as the November 17 hearing. These legal timelines and bilateral dynamics shape assessments of release probabilities by late 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Cilia Flores is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Cilia Flores is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Cilia Flores is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Cilia Flores to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Cilia Flores is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Cilia Flores is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Cilia Flores to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$1,375,000Дата окончания
31 янв. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 3, 2026, 10:23 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Cilia Flores and Nicolás Maduro have remained in U.S. federal custody at the Metropolitan Detention Center in Brooklyn since their January 3, 2026 capture during a U.S. military operation in Caracas. Both pleaded not guilty at their January 5 arraignment to drug trafficking and weapons charges in the Southern District of New York. A July 22, 2026 hearing set their joint trial for June 1, 2027, with the defense indicating plans to seek dismissal on sovereign immunity grounds. Traders monitor potential diplomatic negotiations between Washington and Caracas that could produce a release or prisoner exchange ahead of trial, alongside scheduled pretrial proceedings such as the November 17 hearing. These legal timelines and bilateral dynamics shape assessments of release probabilities by late 2026.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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