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icon for Жена Мадуро Силия Флорес освобождена из-под стражи...?

Жена Мадуро Силия Флорес освобождена из-под стражи...?

icon for Жена Мадуро Силия Флорес освобождена из-под стражи...?

Жена Мадуро Силия Флорес освобождена из-под стражи...?

$1,169,709 Объем

31 янв. 2026 г.
Polymarket

$1,169,709 Объем

Polymarket

31 декабря

$123,107 Объем

17%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Cilia Flores is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Cilia Flores is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes". If Cilia Flores is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes". Transporting Cilia Flores to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes". Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Cilia Flores**, wife of ousted Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro, remains in pretrial detention at Brooklyn's Metropolitan Detention Center since U.S. forces captured her in Caracas on January 3, 2026, alongside Maduro on narco-terrorism conspiracy and cocaine importation charges in New York's Southern District. A federal judge delayed the latest pretrial hearing to June 30 on May 5, rejecting defense motions to dismiss while denying bail amid concerns over flight risk and case strength. Prosecutors cite her alleged bribery to aid drug flows through Venezuela's anti-narcotics agency. With no plea deal or release signaled, trader consensus reflects prolonged custody, hinging on the upcoming hearing for potential shifts in bail, dismissal, or trial scheduling.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Cilia Flores is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If Cilia Flores is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".

If Cilia Flores is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".

Transporting Cilia Flores to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".

Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$1,169,709
Дата окончания
31 янв. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Jan 3, 2026, 10:23 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Cilia Flores is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Cilia Flores is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes". If Cilia Flores is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes". Transporting Cilia Flores to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes". Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Cilia Flores is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Cilia Flores is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes". If Cilia Flores is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes". Transporting Cilia Flores to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes". Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Cilia Flores**, wife of ousted Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro, remains in pretrial detention at Brooklyn's Metropolitan Detention Center since U.S. forces captured her in Caracas on January 3, 2026, alongside Maduro on narco-terrorism conspiracy and cocaine importation charges in New York's Southern District. A federal judge delayed the latest pretrial hearing to June 30 on May 5, rejecting defense motions to dismiss while denying bail amid concerns over flight risk and case strength. Prosecutors cite her alleged bribery to aid drug flows through Venezuela's anti-narcotics agency. With no plea deal or release signaled, trader consensus reflects prolonged custody, hinging on the upcoming hearing for potential shifts in bail, dismissal, or trial scheduling.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Cilia Flores is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If Cilia Flores is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".

If Cilia Flores is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".

Transporting Cilia Flores to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".

Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$1,169,709
Дата окончания
31 янв. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Jan 3, 2026, 10:23 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Cilia Flores is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Cilia Flores is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes". If Cilia Flores is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes". Transporting Cilia Flores to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes". Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Жена Мадуро Силия Флорес освобождена из-под стражи...?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 3 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «31 декабря» с 17%, за ним следует «9 января» с 0%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 17¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 17%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Жена Мадуро Силия Флорес освобождена из-под стражи...?» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $1.2 million с момента запуска рынка Jan 3, 2026. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Жена Мадуро Силия Флорес освобождена из-под стражи...?», просмотри 3 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Жена Мадуро Силия Флорес освобождена из-под стражи...?» — «31 декабря» с 17%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 17%. Следующий ближайший исход — «9 января» с 0%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Жена Мадуро Силия Флорес освобождена из-под стражи...?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.