Ella Langley’s “Choosin’ Texas” leads CMA Song of the Year odds at 69.5% implied probability, driven by its record-shattering 24-week run at No. 1 on the Billboard Hot 100 and dominant country airplay through mid-October 2026. The track, co-written with Miranda Lambert, has earned widespread industry acclaim for its organic twang and storytelling, following wins at the 2026 ACM Awards and strong precursor momentum. Its parent album *Dandelion* further boosted Langley’s profile, landing her nine CMA nominations overall. Other nominees like her own “Be Her” (9%), Megan Moroney’s “Beautiful Things” (4%), Kacey Musgraves’ “Dry Spell” (4%), and Stephen Wilson Jr.’s “Gary” (1.6%) trail significantly. The 60th CMA Awards on November 18 will resolve the category, with voting patterns historically favoring massive commercial and critical standouts.