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icon for Колорадо принимает избирательную меру, ограничивающую доступ трансгендерных школьников к спорту?

Колорадо принимает избирательную меру, ограничивающую доступ трансгендерных школьников к спорту?

icon for Колорадо принимает избирательную меру, ограничивающую доступ трансгендерных школьников к спорту?

Колорадо принимает избирательную меру, ограничивающую доступ трансгендерных школьников к спорту?

Да

42% вероятность
Polymarket
НОВОЕ

Да

42% вероятность
Polymarket
НОВОЕ
Colorado Initiative 109 is a ballot measure scheduled to appear in the statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, which would restrict certain school and college sports based on an individual's biological sex. This market will resolve to “Yes” if this ballot measure is approved as a result of the Colorado statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”. Subsequent litigation or any failure to implement the measure will have no impact on the resolution of this market. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of Colorado, including the Colorado Secretary of State (https://www.sos.state.co.us/). Colorado voters will decide Initiative 109 on the November 2026 ballot after Protect Kids Colorado submitted over 168,000 validated signatures in March, qualifying the measure that would require school and collegiate athletic teams to be designated by biological sex based on reproductive anatomy. In a state with Democratic-leaning voter registration and organized opposition campaigns from LGBTQ+ advocacy groups, traders assign a 59.5% implied probability against passage. Similar measures are advancing in Arizona and Washington, but Colorado’s electoral environment and coalition efforts to defeat the proposal remain the primary factors shaping current market positioning ahead of the general election.

Colorado Initiative 109 is a ballot measure scheduled to appear in the statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, which would restrict certain school and college sports based on an individual's biological sex.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if this ballot measure is approved as a result of the Colorado statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.

Subsequent litigation or any failure to implement the measure will have no impact on the resolution of this market.

This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of Colorado, including the Colorado Secretary of State (https://www.sos.state.co.us/).
Объем
$0
Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Jul 10, 2026, 6:29 PM ET
Colorado Initiative 109 is a ballot measure scheduled to appear in the statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, which would restrict certain school and college sports based on an individual's biological sex. This market will resolve to “Yes” if this ballot measure is approved as a result of the Colorado statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”. Subsequent litigation or any failure to implement the measure will have no impact on the resolution of this market. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of Colorado, including the Colorado Secretary of State (https://www.sos.state.co.us/).
Colorado Initiative 109 is a ballot measure scheduled to appear in the statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, which would restrict certain school and college sports based on an individual's biological sex. This market will resolve to “Yes” if this ballot measure is approved as a result of the Colorado statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”. Subsequent litigation or any failure to implement the measure will have no impact on the resolution of this market. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of Colorado, including the Colorado Secretary of State (https://www.sos.state.co.us/). Colorado voters will decide Initiative 109 on the November 2026 ballot after Protect Kids Colorado submitted over 168,000 validated signatures in March, qualifying the measure that would require school and collegiate athletic teams to be designated by biological sex based on reproductive anatomy. In a state with Democratic-leaning voter registration and organized opposition campaigns from LGBTQ+ advocacy groups, traders assign a 59.5% implied probability against passage. Similar measures are advancing in Arizona and Washington, but Colorado’s electoral environment and coalition efforts to defeat the proposal remain the primary factors shaping current market positioning ahead of the general election.

Colorado Initiative 109 is a ballot measure scheduled to appear in the statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, which would restrict certain school and college sports based on an individual's biological sex.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if this ballot measure is approved as a result of the Colorado statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.

Subsequent litigation or any failure to implement the measure will have no impact on the resolution of this market.

This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of Colorado, including the Colorado Secretary of State (https://www.sos.state.co.us/).
Объем
$0
Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Jul 10, 2026, 6:29 PM ET
Colorado Initiative 109 is a ballot measure scheduled to appear in the statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, which would restrict certain school and college sports based on an individual's biological sex. This market will resolve to “Yes” if this ballot measure is approved as a result of the Colorado statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”. Subsequent litigation or any failure to implement the measure will have no impact on the resolution of this market. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of Colorado, including the Colorado Secretary of State (https://www.sos.state.co.us/).

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«Колорадо принимает избирательную меру, ограничивающую доступ трансгендерных школьников к спорту?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 2 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «В Колорадо принят законопроект, ограничивающий доступ трансгендерных людей к участию в школьных спортивных соревнованиях?» с 41%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 41¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 41%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

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