Incumbent Ned Lamont’s comfortable Democratic primary win over challenger Josh Elliott on August 11 has clarified the November 3 general-election matchup against Republican Ryan Fazio, yet trader consensus remains dispersed across turnout bands near 1.0–1.4 million votes. Low primary participation, typical mid-cycle voter fatigue for a third-term incumbent, and Connecticut’s historically moderate general-election engagement keep probabilities tightly bunched. Key variables that could widen spreads include shifts in early and absentee ballot volumes, late-campaign mobilization by both parties, Election Day weather, and any national political events that alter enthusiasm among independents and suburban voters in the weeks ahead.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено1М–1,1М 44%
1,1М-1,2М 44%
1,2М–1,3М 44%
1,3–1,4 млн 44%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
3 нояб. 2026 г.
<1М
43%
1М–1,1М
44%
1,1М-1,2М
44%
1,2М–1,3М
44%
1,3–1,4 млн
44%
1,4М-1,5М
43%
1,5M-1,6M
44%
1,6 млн+
44%
1М–1,1М 44%
1,1М-1,2М 44%
1,2М–1,3М 44%
1,3–1,4 млн 44%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
3 нояб. 2026 г.
<1М
$0 Объем
43%
1М–1,1М
$0 Объем
44%
1,1М-1,2М
$0 Объем
44%
1,2М–1,3М
$0 Объем
44%
1,3–1,4 млн
$0 Объем
44%
1,4М-1,5М
$0 Объем
43%
1,5M-1,6M
$0 Объем
44%
1,6 млн+
$0 Объем
44%
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Connecticut.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Connecticut, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Incumbent Ned Lamont’s comfortable Democratic primary win over challenger Josh Elliott on August 11 has clarified the November 3 general-election matchup against Republican Ryan Fazio, yet trader consensus remains dispersed across turnout bands near 1.0–1.4 million votes. Low primary participation, typical mid-cycle voter fatigue for a third-term incumbent, and Connecticut’s historically moderate general-election engagement keep probabilities tightly bunched. Key variables that could widen spreads include shifts in early and absentee ballot volumes, late-campaign mobilization by both parties, Election Day weather, and any national political events that alter enthusiasm among independents and suburban voters in the weeks ahead.
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Connecticut.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Connecticut, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Connecticut, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Aug 18, 2026, 10:07 AM ET
Объем
$0Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 18, 2026, 10:07 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Connecticut.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Connecticut, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Incumbent Ned Lamont’s comfortable Democratic primary win over challenger Josh Elliott on August 11 has clarified the November 3 general-election matchup against Republican Ryan Fazio, yet trader consensus remains dispersed across turnout bands near 1.0–1.4 million votes. Low primary participation, typical mid-cycle voter fatigue for a third-term incumbent, and Connecticut’s historically moderate general-election engagement keep probabilities tightly bunched. Key variables that could widen spreads include shifts in early and absentee ballot volumes, late-campaign mobilization by both parties, Election Day weather, and any national political events that alter enthusiasm among independents and suburban voters in the weeks ahead.
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Connecticut.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Connecticut, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Connecticut, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$0Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 18, 2026, 10:07 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Incumbent Ned Lamont’s comfortable Democratic primary win over challenger Josh Elliott on August 11 has clarified the November 3 general-election matchup against Republican Ryan Fazio, yet trader consensus remains dispersed across turnout bands near 1.0–1.4 million votes. Low primary participation, typical mid-cycle voter fatigue for a third-term incumbent, and Connecticut’s historically moderate general-election engagement keep probabilities tightly bunched. Key variables that could widen spreads include shifts in early and absentee ballot volumes, late-campaign mobilization by both parties, Election Day weather, and any national political events that alter enthusiasm among independents and suburban voters in the weeks ahead.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСвязанные
Будет ли общее количество голосов, поданных на промежуточных выборах губернатора Нью-Йорка в 2026 году, менее 4 500 000?
45%
Да
Будет ли общее число голосов, поданных на промежуточных выборах губернатора Вермонта в 2026 году, находиться в пределах от 225 000 до 250 000?
45%
Да
Будет ли общее количество голосов, отданных на промежуточных выборах губернатора Калифорнии в 2026 году, меньше 10 500 000?
45%
Да
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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