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icon for Выборы в Сенат штата Делавэр: явка

Выборы в Сенат штата Делавэр: явка

icon for Выборы в Сенат штата Делавэр: явка

Выборы в Сенат штата Делавэр: явка

325К–350К 44%

275К–300К 43%

475 тыс.+ 43%

350К–375К 42%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

325К–350К 44%

275К–300К 43%

475 тыс.+ 43%

350К–375К 42%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

<275К

$0 Объем

38%

275К–300К

$0 Объем

43%

300К–325К

$0 Объем

38%

325К–350К

$0 Объем

44%

350К–375К

$0 Объем

42%

375К-400К

$0 Объем

42%

400К-425К

$0 Объем

42%

425К–450К

$0 Объем

42%

450К–475К

$0 Объем

42%

475 тыс.+

$0 Объем

43%

This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Delaware. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Delaware, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Voter turnout in Delaware’s Senate election shows high uncertainty, with probabilities clustered tightly around multiple vote total brackets. In this solidly Democratic state, baseline participation typically hinges on historical patterns from prior midterm cycles, steady voter registration growth, and the degree of national political engagement driving mobilization by both parties. Limited early indicators, including the absence of highly competitive dynamics or major campaign events, leave forecasts sensitive to factors such as early voting volume, absentee ballot trends, and election-day conditions. The even distribution of trader positions across ranges underscores that no single development has yet emerged to narrow expectations, though upcoming candidate announcements or shifts in broader electoral enthusiasm could introduce separation before November.

This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Delaware.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Delaware, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$0
Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Aug 18, 2026, 10:06 AM ET
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Delaware. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Delaware, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Delaware. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Delaware, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Voter turnout in Delaware’s Senate election shows high uncertainty, with probabilities clustered tightly around multiple vote total brackets. In this solidly Democratic state, baseline participation typically hinges on historical patterns from prior midterm cycles, steady voter registration growth, and the degree of national political engagement driving mobilization by both parties. Limited early indicators, including the absence of highly competitive dynamics or major campaign events, leave forecasts sensitive to factors such as early voting volume, absentee ballot trends, and election-day conditions. The even distribution of trader positions across ranges underscores that no single development has yet emerged to narrow expectations, though upcoming candidate announcements or shifts in broader electoral enthusiasm could introduce separation before November.

This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Delaware.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Delaware, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$0
Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Aug 18, 2026, 10:06 AM ET
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Delaware. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Delaware, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Выборы в Сенат штата Делавэр: явка» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 10 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «275К–300К» с 44%, за ним следует «325К–350К» с 44%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 44¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 44%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

«Выборы в Сенат штата Делавэр: явка» — недавно созданный рынок на Polymarket, запущен Aug 18, 2026. Как ранний рынок, это твоя возможность быть среди первых трейдеров, устанавливающих коэффициенты и формирующих начальные ценовые сигналы. Ты также можешь добавить эту страницу в закладки, чтобы следить за объёмом и активностью торгов.

Чтобы торговать на «Выборы в Сенат штата Делавэр: явка», просмотри 10 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Выборы в Сенат штата Делавэр: явка» — «275К–300К» с 44%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 44%. Следующий ближайший исход — «325К–350К» с 44%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Выборы в Сенат штата Делавэр: явка» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.